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Estimating the Excess Mortality Risk during Two Red Alert Periods in Beijing, China

Author

Listed:
  • Weilin Zeng

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Lingling Lang

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Yue Li

    (Jiangxi Medical School of Nanchang University, No. 461, Nanchang 330006, China)

  • Lingchuan Guo

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Hualiang Lin

    (Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China)

  • Yonghui Zhang

    (Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Tao Liu

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Jianpeng Xiao

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Xing Li

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Yanjun Xu

    (Institute of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Xiaojun Xu

    (Institute of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

  • Lauren D. Arnold

    (College for Public Health and Social Justice, Department of Epidemiology & Biostastics, Saint Louis University, Salus Center/Room 473, 3545 Lafayette Avenue, Saint Louis, MO 63104, USA)

  • Erik J. Nelson

    (Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-Bloomington, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA)

  • Zhengmin Qian

    (College for Public Health and Social Justice, Department of Epidemiology & Biostastics, Saint Louis University, Salus Center/Room 473, 3545 Lafayette Avenue, Saint Louis, MO 63104, USA)

  • Wenjun Ma

    (Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China)

Abstract

The magnitude of excess mortality risk due to exposures to heavy air pollution during the red alert periods in Beijing remains unknown. A health impact assessment tool combined with the PM 2.5 -mortality relationship was applied to estimate the number of excess deaths due to high air pollution exposure during two red alert periods in Beijing, China in December 2015. Daily PM 2.5 concentration increased from 80.2 µg/m 3 to 159.8 µg/m 3 during the first red alert period and from 61.9 µg/m 3 to 226 µg/m 3 during the second period in 2015 when compared to daily PM 2.5 concentrations during the same calendar date of 2013 and 2014. It was estimated that 26 to 42 excessive deaths (including 14 to 34 cardiovascular deaths, and four to 16 respiratory deaths) occurred during the first period, and 40 to 65 excessive deaths (22 to 53 cardiovascular deaths, and six to 13 respiratory deaths) occurred during the second period. The results show that heavy smog may have substantially increased the mortality risk in Beijing, suggesting more stringent air pollution controlling measures should be implemented to protect the public health.

Suggested Citation

  • Weilin Zeng & Lingling Lang & Yue Li & Lingchuan Guo & Hualiang Lin & Yonghui Zhang & Tao Liu & Jianpeng Xiao & Xing Li & Yanjun Xu & Xiaojun Xu & Lauren D. Arnold & Erik J. Nelson & Zhengmin Qian & W, 2017. "Estimating the Excess Mortality Risk during Two Red Alert Periods in Beijing, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:15:y:2017:i:1:p:50-:d:124794
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger D. Peng & Francesca Dominici & Thomas A. Louis, 2006. "Model choice in time series studies of air pollution and mortality," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 169(2), pages 179-203, March.
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