IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jforec/v3y2021i1p15-255d521101.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Load Forecasting in an Office Building with Different Data Structure and Learning Parameters

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Ramos

    (GECAD—Research Group on Intelligent Engineering and Computing for Advanced Innovation and Development, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal
    Polytechnic of Porto, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal)

  • Mahsa Khorram

    (GECAD—Research Group on Intelligent Engineering and Computing for Advanced Innovation and Development, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal
    Polytechnic of Porto, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal)

  • Pedro Faria

    (GECAD—Research Group on Intelligent Engineering and Computing for Advanced Innovation and Development, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal
    Polytechnic of Porto, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal)

  • Zita Vale

    (Polytechnic of Porto, Rua DR, Antonio Bernardino de Almeida 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal)

Abstract

Energy efficiency topics have been covered by several energy management approaches in the literature, including participation in demand response programs where the consumers provide load reduction upon request or price signals. In such approaches, it is very important to know in advance the electricity consumption for the future to adequately perform the energy management. In the present paper, a load forecasting service designed for office buildings is implemented. In the building, using several available sensors, different learning parameters and structures are tested for artificial neural networks and the K-nearest neighbor algorithm. Deep focus is given to the individual period errors. In the case study, the forecasting of one week of electricity consumption is tested. It has been concluded that it is impossible to identify a single combination of learning parameters as different parts of the day have different consumption patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Ramos & Mahsa Khorram & Pedro Faria & Zita Vale, 2021. "Load Forecasting in an Office Building with Different Data Structure and Learning Parameters," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jforec:v:3:y:2021:i:1:p:15-255:d:521101
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/3/1/15/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/3/1/15/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Trivedi, Shrawan Kumar, 2020. "A study on credit scoring modeling with different feature selection and machine learning approaches," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    2. Faria, P. & Vale, Z., 2011. "Demand response in electrical energy supply: An optimal real time pricing approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 5374-5384.
    3. Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali, 2020. "Modeling and Forecasting Medium-Term Electricity Consumption Using Component Estimation Technique," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-17, May.
    4. Vale, Zita & Morais, Hugo & Faria, Pedro & Ramos, Carlos, 2013. "Distribution system operation supported by contextual energy resource management based on intelligent SCADA," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 143-153.
    5. Alfredo Nespoli & Emanuele Ogliari & Silvia Pretto & Michele Gavazzeni & Sonia Vigani & Franco Paccanelli, 2021. "Electrical Load Forecast by Means of LSTM: The Impact of Data Quality," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-11, February.
    6. Pedro Faria & Zita Vale, 2019. "A Demand Response Approach to Scheduling Constrained Load Shifting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-16, May.
    7. Ahmad, Tanveer & Huanxin, Chen & Zhang, Dongdong & Zhang, Hongcai, 2020. "Smart energy forecasting strategy with four machine learning models for climate-sensitive and non-climate sensitive conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    2. Mota, Bruno & Faria, Pedro & Vale, Zita, 2024. "Energy cost optimization through load shifting in a photovoltaic energy-sharing household community," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Evgenia Kapassa & Marinos Themistocleous, 2022. "Blockchain Technology Applied in IoV Demand Response Management: A Systematic Literature Review," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-19, April.
    4. Sonia Leva, 2022. "Editorial for Special Issue: “Feature Papers of Forecasting 2021”," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-3, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bruno Mota & Luis Gomes & Pedro Faria & Carlos Ramos & Zita Vale & Regina Correia, 2021. "Production Line Optimization to Minimize Energy Cost and Participate in Demand Response Events," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Daniel Ramos & Pedro Faria & Zita Vale & João Mourinho & Regina Correia, 2020. "Industrial Facility Electricity Consumption Forecast Using Artificial Neural Networks and Incremental Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Davidescu Adriana AnaMaria & Agafiței Marina-Diana & Strat Vasile Alecsandru & Dima Alina Mihaela, 2024. "Mapping the Landscape: A Bibliometric Analysis of Rating Agencies in the Era of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 67-85.
    4. Zhang, Qi & Mclellan, Benjamin C. & Tezuka, Tetsuo & Ishihara, Keiichi N., 2013. "A methodology for economic and environmental analysis of electric vehicles with different operational conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 118-127.
    5. Dong, Jun & Xue, Guiyuan & Li, Rong, 2016. "Demand response in China: Regulations, pilot projects and recommendations – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 13-27.
    6. Meyabadi, A. Fattahi & Deihimi, M.H., 2017. "A review of demand-side management: Reconsidering theoretical framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 367-379.
    7. Zheng, Yingying & Jenkins, Bryan M. & Kornbluth, Kurt & Kendall, Alissa & Træholt, Chresten, 2018. "Optimization of a biomass-integrated renewable energy microgrid with demand side management under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 836-844.
    8. Sun, Zeyi & Li, Lin & Bego, Andres & Dababneh, Fadwa, 2015. "Customer-side electricity load management for sustainable manufacturing systems utilizing combined heat and power generation system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 112-119.
    9. Sousa, Tiago & Morais, Hugo & Soares, João & Vale, Zita, 2012. "Day-ahead resource scheduling in smart grids considering Vehicle-to-Grid and network constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 183-193.
    10. Li, Xiao Hui & Hong, Seung Ho, 2014. "User-expected price-based demand response algorithm for a home-to-grid system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 437-449.
    11. Alagoz, B. Baykant & Kaygusuz, Asim & Akcin, Murat & Alagoz, Serkan, 2013. "A closed-loop energy price controlling method for real-time energy balancing in a smart grid energy market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 95-104.
    12. Tomasz Sikorski & Michal Jasiński & Edyta Ropuszyńska-Surma & Magdalena Węglarz & Dominika Kaczorowska & Paweł Kostyla & Zbigniew Leonowicz & Robert Lis & Jacek Rezmer & Wilhelm Rojewski & Marian Sobi, 2020. "A Case Study on Distributed Energy Resources and Energy-Storage Systems in a Virtual Power Plant Concept: Technical Aspects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-30, June.
    13. Alessandro Bosisio & Matteo Moncecchi & Andrea Morotti & Marco Merlo, 2021. "Machine Learning and GIS Approach for Electrical Load Assessment to Increase Distribution Networks Resilience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-23, July.
    14. Soares, J. & Silva, M. & Sousa, T. & Vale, Z. & Morais, H., 2012. "Distributed energy resource short-term scheduling using Signaled Particle Swarm Optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 466-476.
    15. Zeng, Huibin & Shao, Bilin & Dai, Hongbin & Yan, Yichuan & Tian, Ning, 2023. "Prediction of fluctuation loads based on GARCH family-CatBoost-CNNLSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    16. Muhammad Ahmar & Fahad Ali & Yuexiang Jiang & Mamdooh Alwetaishi & Sherif S. M. Ghoneim, 2022. "Households’ Energy Choices in Rural Pakistan," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, April.
    17. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    18. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    19. Boukettaya, Ghada & Krichen, Lotfi, 2014. "A dynamic power management strategy of a grid connected hybrid generation system using wind, photovoltaic and Flywheel Energy Storage System in residential applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 148-159.
    20. Nebojsa Bacanin & Catalin Stoean & Miodrag Zivkovic & Miomir Rakic & Roma Strulak-Wójcikiewicz & Ruxandra Stoean, 2023. "On the Benefits of Using Metaheuristics in the Hyperparameter Tuning of Deep Learning Models for Energy Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jforec:v:3:y:2021:i:1:p:15-255:d:521101. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.