The Effect of Offshore Wind Capacity Expansion on Uncertainties in Germany’s Day-Ahead Wind Energy Forecasts
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Mc Garrigle, E.V. & Leahy, P.G., 2015. "Quantifying the value of improved wind energy forecasts in a pool-based electricity market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 517-524.
- Lilin Cheng & Haixiang Zang & Tao Ding & Rong Sun & Miaomiao Wang & Zhinong Wei & Guoqiang Sun, 2018. "Ensemble Recurrent Neural Network Based Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-23, July.
- Anthony Papavasiliou & Shmuel S. Oren, 2013. "Multiarea Stochastic Unit Commitment for High Wind Penetration in a Transmission Constrained Network," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(3), pages 578-592, June.
- Kavasseri, Rajesh G. & Seetharaman, Krithika, 2009. "Day-ahead wind speed forecasting using f-ARIMA models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1388-1393.
- Ketterer, Janina C., 2014.
"The impact of wind power generation on the electricity price in Germany,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-280.
- Janina Ketterer, 2012. "The Impact of Wind Power Generation on the Electricity Price in Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 143, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Esteban, M. Dolores & Diez, J. Javier & López, Jose S. & Negro, Vicente, 2011. "Why offshore wind energy?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 444-450.
- Weber, Christoph, 2010. "Adequate intraday market design to enable the integration of wind energy into the European power systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3155-3163, July.
- Rui Wang & Jingrui Li & Jianzhou Wang & Chengze Gao, 2018. "Research and Application of a Hybrid Wind Energy Forecasting System Based on Data Processing and an Optimized Extreme Learning Machine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-29, July.
- Marco Marozzi, 2009. "Some notes on the location–scale Cucconi test," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 629-647.
- Jónsson, Tryggvi & Pinson, Pierre & Madsen, Henrik, 2010. "On the market impact of wind energy forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 313-320, March.
- Tuohy, Aidan & Meibom, Peter & Denny, Eleanor & O'Malley, Mark, 2009. "Unit commitment for systems with significant wind penetration," MPRA Paper 34849, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sanchez, Ismael, 2006. "Short-term prediction of wind energy production," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 43-56.
- Jianzhong Zhou & Na Sun & Benjun Jia & Tian Peng, 2018. "A Novel Decomposition-Optimization Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-27, July.
- Barthelmie, R.J. & Murray, F. & Pryor, S.C., 2008. "The economic benefit of short-term forecasting for wind energy in the UK electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 1687-1696, May.
- Staffell, Iain & Pfenninger, Stefan, 2016. "Using bias-corrected reanalysis to simulate current and future wind power output," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1224-1239.
- PAPAVASILIOU, Anthony & OREN, Schmuel S., 2013. "Multiarea stochastic unit commitment for high wind penetration in a transmission constrained network," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2500, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Wickham, Hadley, 2011. "The Split-Apply-Combine Strategy for Data Analysis," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 40(i01).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
- Ahmed, Adil & Khalid, Muhammad, 2019. "A review on the selected applications of forecasting models in renewable power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 9-21.
- Goodarzi, Shadi & Perera, H. Niles & Bunn, Derek, 2019. "The impact of renewable energy forecast errors on imbalance volumes and electricity spot prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Abdul Rauf & Mahmoud Kassas & Muhammad Khalid, 2022. "Data-Driven Optimal Battery Storage Sizing for Grid-Connected Hybrid Distributed Generations Considering Solar and Wind Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-27, September.
- De Vos, K. & Stevens, N. & Devolder, O. & Papavasiliou, A. & Hebb, B. & Matthys-Donnadieu, J., 2019. "Dynamic dimensioning approach for operating reserves: Proof of concept in Belgium," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 272-285.
- Jiang, Yu & Song, Zhe & Kusiak, Andrew, 2013. "Very short-term wind speed forecasting with Bayesian structural break model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 637-647.
- Johnson, Samuel C. & Papageorgiou, Dimitri J. & Mallapragada, Dharik S. & Deetjen, Thomas A. & Rhodes, Joshua D. & Webber, Michael E., 2019. "Evaluating rotational inertia as a component of grid reliability with high penetrations of variable renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 258-271.
- Aghaei, Jamshid & Nikoobakht, Ahmad & Siano, Pierluigi & Nayeripour, Majid & Heidari, Alireza & Mardaneh, Mohammad, 2016. "Exploring the reliability effects on the short term AC security-constrained unit commitment: A stochastic evaluation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1016-1032.
- Wang, Bo & Wang, Shuming & Zhou, Xianzhong & Watada, Junzo, 2016. "Multi-objective unit commitment with wind penetration and emission concerns under stochastic and fuzzy uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 18-31.
- Heejung Park, 2022. "A Unit Commitment Model Considering Feasibility of Operating Reserves under Stochastic Optimization Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, August.
- Fatih Karanfil and Yuanjing Li, 2017.
"The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
- Fatih Karanfil & Yuanjing Li, 2017. "The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark," Post-Print hal-01589279, HAL.
- Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista & José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro & Marco Pérez-Cisneros & Carlos Jesahel Vega-Gómez & Beatriz Castillo-Téllez, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-28, March.
- Yonghan Feng & Sarah Ryan, 2016. "Solution sensitivity-based scenario reduction for stochastic unit commitment," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 29-62, January.
- Ilias G. Marneris & Pandelis N. Biskas & Anastasios G. Bakirtzis, 2017. "Stochastic and Deterministic Unit Commitment Considering Uncertainty and Variability Reserves for High Renewable Integration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, January.
- Daraeepour, Ali & Patino-Echeverri, Dalia & Conejo, Antonio J., 2019. "Economic and environmental implications of different approaches to hedge against wind production uncertainty in two-settlement electricity markets: A PJM case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 336-354.
- Álvaro Lorca & X. Andy Sun & Eugene Litvinov & Tongxin Zheng, 2016. "Multistage Adaptive Robust Optimization for the Unit Commitment Problem," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(1), pages 32-51, February.
- Hohl, Cody & Lo Prete, Chiara & Radhakrishnan, Ashish & Webster, Mort, 2023. "Intraday markets, wind integration and uplift payments in a regional U.S. power system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
- Meng, Fanyi & Bai, Yang & Jin, Jingliang, 2021. "An advanced real-time dispatching strategy for a distributed energy system based on the reinforcement learning algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 13-24.
- Jan Abrell & Friedrich Kunz, 2015.
"Integrating Intermittent Renewable Wind Generation - A Stochastic Multi-Market Electricity Model for the European Electricity Market,"
Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 117-147, March.
- Jan Abrell & Friedrich Kunz, 2013. "Integrating Intermittent Renewable Wind Generation: A Stochastic Multi-Market Electricity Model for the European Electricity Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1301, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Sergei Kulakov & Florian Ziel, 2019. "The Impact of Renewable Energy Forecasts on Intraday Electricity Prices," Papers 1903.09641, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
More about this item
Keywords
wind energy forecasts; offshore capacity expansion; day-ahead wind energy uncertainties; machine learning; Extra Trees;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:13:p:2534-:d:244725. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.