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Will leisure trips be more affected than work trips by autonomous technology? Modelling self-driving public transport and cars in Stockholm, Sweden

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  • Almlöf, Erik
  • Nybacka, Mikael
  • Pernestål, Anna
  • Jenelius, Erik

Abstract

Self-driving technology may lead to a paradigm shift for the transport industry with shared cars available to every-one. However, this vision has increasingly been challenged as too optimistic and unsubstantiated. In this study we explore societal impacts of using this technology for both cars and public transport and investigate differences depending on geography and trip purpose. Four scenarios were designed through workshops with 130 transport experts, modelled using a conventional four-step model for Stockholm, Sweden and evaluated in terms of changes to mode choice, number of trips and person kilometres.

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  • Almlöf, Erik & Nybacka, Mikael & Pernestål, Anna & Jenelius, Erik, 2022. "Will leisure trips be more affected than work trips by autonomous technology? Modelling self-driving public transport and cars in Stockholm, Sweden," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 1-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:165:y:2022:i:c:p:1-19
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.08.023
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    1. Tri Basuki Joewono & Mohamed Yusuf Faridian Wirayat & Prawira Fajarindra Belgiawan & I Gusti Ayu Andani & Clint Gunawijaya, 2023. "Users’ Preferences in Selecting Transportation Modes for Leisure Trips in the Digital Era: Evidence from Bandung, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-24, January.
    2. Dilshad Mohammed & Balázs Horváth, 2024. "Assessing the Paradox of Autonomous Vehicles: Promised Fuel Efficiency vs. Aggregate Fuel Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-19, March.

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