IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/teinso/v74y2023ics0160791x23001185.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Will automated vehicles solve the truck driver shortages? Perspectives from the trucking industry

Author

Listed:
  • Schuster, Amy M.
  • Agrawal, Shubham
  • Britt, Noah
  • Sperry, Danielle
  • Van Fossen, Jenna A.
  • Wang, Sicheng
  • Mack, Elizabeth A.
  • Liberman, Jessica
  • Cotten, Shelia R.

Abstract

The United States (U.S.) has experienced persistent truck driver shortages for the past several decades, as demand for truckers has increased while individuals willing to fill driving jobs have decreased. Studies in the transportation literature have not examined industry views on driver shortages, which are expected to become more severe, in combination with trucking industry perspectives on the impact of automated vehicles (AVs) on driving jobs. This study addresses these knowledge gaps through focus groups with trucking industry participants (N = 67) working in three organizational levels (25 upper-level management or owners, 20 supervisors or dispatchers, and 22 drivers) and a supplemental online survey. Using an inductive thematic analysis approach, findings indicate that companies struggle to address driver shortages because of difficulties recruiting younger workers related to quality-of-life issues, job requirements, and low rates of pay. AVs were thought to be a potential solution to the driver shortage, although there will be a continued need for drivers to perform certain tasks. The potential changes in industry positions could attract new workers but would require older workers to adapt to using new technology. From a workforce development perspective, training programs targeting technicians and drivers can help prepare the trucking workforce for an autonomous future.

Suggested Citation

  • Schuster, Amy M. & Agrawal, Shubham & Britt, Noah & Sperry, Danielle & Van Fossen, Jenna A. & Wang, Sicheng & Mack, Elizabeth A. & Liberman, Jessica & Cotten, Shelia R., 2023. "Will automated vehicles solve the truck driver shortages? Perspectives from the trucking industry," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:teinso:v:74:y:2023:i:c:s0160791x23001185
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2023.102313
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160791X23001185
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techsoc.2023.102313?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aniruddh Mohan & Parth Vaishnav, 2022. "Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Rice, Stephen & Winter, Scott R. & Mehta, Rian & Tamilselvan, Gajapriya & Anania, Emily C. & Milner, Mattie N., 2021. "Identifying the factors that predict a Consumer's willingness to ride in various types of driverless vehicles," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Ghimire, Ramesh & Skinner, Jim & Carnathan, Mike, 2020. "Who perceived automation as a threat to their jobs in metro Atlanta: Results from the 2019 Metro Atlanta Speaks survey," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Agrawal, Shubham & Schuster, Amy M. & Britt, Noah & Mack, Elizabeth A. & Tidwell, Michael L. & Cotten, Shelia R., 2023. "Building on the past to help prepare the workforce for the future with automated vehicles: A systematic review of automated passenger vehicle deployment timelines," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Mittal, Neha & Udayakumar, Prashanth D. & Raghuram, G. & Bajaj, Neha, 2018. "The endemic issue of truck driver shortage - A comparative study between India and the United States," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 76-84.
    6. Wade, Tara & Suttles, Shellye & Walters, Lurleen, 2021. "Transportation Safety Regulations via the Electronic Logging Device Mandate Can Affect Fresh Produce Shipment Costs," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 36(3), July.
    7. Maury Gittleman & Kristen Monaco, 2020. "Truck-Driving Jobs: Are They Headed for Rapid Elimination?," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 73(1), pages 3-24, January.
    8. Xindong Xue & W. Robert Reed & Robbie C.M. van Aert, 2022. "Social Capital and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers in Economics 22/20, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    9. Simpson, Jesse R. & Mishra, Sabyasachee & Talebian, Ahmadreza & Golias, Mihalis M., 2019. "An estimation of the future adoption rate of autonomous trucks by freight organizations," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Jessica Erin Mabry & Matthew Camden & Andrew Miller & Abhijit Sarkar & Aditi Manke & Christiana Ridgeway & Hardianto Iridiastadi & Tarah Crowder & Mouyid Islam & Susan Soccolich & Richard J. Hanowski, 2022. "Unravelling the Complexity of Irregular Shiftwork, Fatigue and Sleep Health for Commercial Drivers and the Associated Implications for Roadway Safety," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-12, November.
    11. Talebian, Ahmadreza & Mishra, Sabyasachee, 2022. "Unfolding the state of the adoption of connected autonomous trucks by the commercial fleet owner industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    12. Rice, Stephen & Winter, Scott R., 2019. "Do gender and age affect willingness to ride in driverless vehicles: If so, then why?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    13. Unknown, 2022. "Wildlife Economics in the American West - Summary," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), May.
    14. Swain, Ritwik & Truelove, Verity & Rakotonirainy, Andry & Kaye, Sherrie-Anne, 2023. "A comparison of the views of experts and the public on automated vehicles technologies and societal implications," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Pilz, Danny & Schwerdfeger, Stefan & Boysen, Nils, 2022. "Make or break: Coordinated assignment of parking space for breaks and rest periods in long-haul trucking," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 45-64.
    16. Dirsehan, Taşkın & Can, Ceren, 2020. "Examination of trust and sustainability concerns in autonomous vehicle adoption," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    17. Hall, Randolph W. & Mukherjee, Aviroop, 2008. "Bounds on effectiveness of driver hours-of-service regulations for freight motor carriers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 298-312, March.
    18. Suzuki, Yoshinori & Crum, Michael R. & Pautsch, Gregory R., 2009. "Predicting truck driver turnover," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 538-550, July.
    19. Srinivas, Sharan & Ramachandiran, Surya & Rajendran, Suchithra, 2022. "Autonomous robot-driven deliveries: A review of recent developments and future directions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    20. Alan McKinnon & Christoph Flöthmann & Kai Hoberg & Christina Busch, 2017. "Logistics Competencies, Skills, and Training," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 27723.
    21. Kishore Bhoopalam, A. & van den Berg, R. & Agatz, N.A.H. & Chorus, C.G., 2021. "The long road to automated trucking: Insights from driver focus groups," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2021-003-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    22. Escandon-Barbosa, Diana & Salas-Paramo, Jairo & Meneses-Franco, Ana Isabel & Giraldo- Gonzalez, Carlos, 2021. "Adoption of new technologies in developing countries: The case of autonomous car between Vietnam and Colombia," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    23. Penmetsa, Praveena & Okafor, Sunday & Adanu, Emmanuel & Hudnall, Matthew & Ramezani, Somayeh Bakhtiari & Holiday, Steven & Jones, Steven, 2023. "How is automated and self-driving vehicle technology presented in the news media?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Scherr, Yannick Oskar & Neumann Saavedra, Bruno Albert & Hewitt, Mike & Mattfeld, Dirk Christian, 2019. "Service network design with mixed autonomous fleets," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 40-55.
    25. Alexandre Truc, 2022. "Forty years of behavioral economics," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 393-437, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chandiran, P. & Ramasubramaniam, M. & Venkatesh, V.G. & Mani, Venkatesh & Shi, Yangyan, 2023. "Can driver supply disruption alleviate driver shortages? A systems approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 116-129.
    2. Mamak, Kamil & Glanc, Jadwiga, 2022. "Problems with the prospective connected autonomous vehicles regulation: Finding a fair balance versus the instinct for self-preservation," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Kishore Bhoopalam, A. & van den Berg, R. & Agatz, N.A.H. & Chorus, C.G., 2021. "The long road to automated trucking: Insights from driver focus groups," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2021-003-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    4. Xia, Xiqiang & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Dogan, Eyup, 2024. "Transition towards the sustainable development: unraveling the effects of mineral markets, Belt & Road Initiative, and the Paris Agreement on green economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Talebian, Ahmadreza & Mishra, Sabyasachee, 2022. "Unfolding the state of the adoption of connected autonomous trucks by the commercial fleet owner industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    6. Epting, Shane, 2021. "Ethical requirements for transport systems with automated buses," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Dukkanci, Okan & Campbell, James F. & Kara, Bahar Y., 2024. "Facility location decisions for drone delivery: A literature review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 316(2), pages 397-418.
    8. Catherine Taylor & Robert Waschik, 2022. "Evaluating the impact of automation in long-haul trucking using USAGE-Hwy," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-326, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    9. Sindi, Safaa & Woodman, Roger, 2021. "Implementing commercial autonomous road haulage in freight operations: An industry perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 235-253.
    10. Sharma, Ishant & Mishra, Sabyasachee, 2022. "Quantifying the consumer’s dependence on different information sources on acceptance of autonomous vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 179-203.
    11. Agrawal, Shubham & Schuster, Amy M. & Britt, Noah & Mack, Elizabeth A. & Tidwell, Michael L. & Cotten, Shelia R., 2023. "Building on the past to help prepare the workforce for the future with automated vehicles: A systematic review of automated passenger vehicle deployment timelines," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. Hamburger, Yair Amichai & Sela, Yaron & Kaufman, Sharon & Wellingstein, Tamar & Stein, Noy & Sivan, Joel, 2022. "Personality and the autonomous vehicle: Overcoming psychological barriers to the driverless car," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    13. Winter, Scott R. & Crouse, Sean R. & Rice, Stephen, 2021. "The development of ‘green’ airports: Which factors influence willingness to pay for sustainability and intention to act? A structural and mediation model analysis," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Önsel Ekici, Şule & Kabak, Özgür & Ülengin, Füsun, 2019. "Improving logistics performance by reforming the pillars of Global Competitiveness Index," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 197-207.
    15. Caspersen, Elise & Ørving, Tale & Tennøy, Aud, 2023. "Capacity reduction on urban main roads: How truck drivers adapted, and what effects and consequences they experienced," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 68-83.
    16. Diana Escandon-Barbosa & Agustin Ramirez & Jairo Salas-Paramo, 2022. "The Effect of Cultural Orientations on Country Innovation Performance: Hofstede Cultural Dimensions Revisited?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-13, May.
    17. Dubey, Subodh & Sharma, Ishant & Mishra, Sabyasachee & Cats, Oded & Bansal, Prateek, 2022. "A General Framework to Forecast the Adoption of Novel Products: A Case of Autonomous Vehicles," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 63-95.
    18. Srinivas, Sharan & Ramachandiran, Surya & Rajendran, Suchithra, 2022. "Autonomous robot-driven deliveries: A review of recent developments and future directions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    19. Mirzaei Abbasabadi, Hamed & Soleimani, Mohammad, 2021. "Examining the effects of digital technology expansion on Unemployment: A cross-sectional investigation," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    20. Combs, Elizabeth K. & Crouse, Sean R. & Bell, Katherine D. & Truong, Dothang, 2024. "Willingness to Fly during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:teinso:v:74:y:2023:i:c:s0160791x23001185. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/technology-in-society .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.