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New digital technologies and heterogeneous wage and employment dynamics in the United States: Evidence from individual-level data

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  • Fossen, Frank M.
  • Sorgner, Alina

Abstract

We analyze heterogeneous effects of new digital technologies on individual-level wage and employment dynamics in the United States from 2011-2018. To this end, we employ four digital technology measures from recent literature: computerization probabilities of occupations, occupational impacts of artificial intelligence, and the suitability of tasks for machine learning and their within-occupation variance. Based on CPS and ASEC panel data, the results indicate that labor-displacing digital technologies are associated with slower wage growth and higher probabilities of switching one's occupation and becoming non-employed. In contrast, labor-reinstating digital technologies improve individual labor market outcomes. Workers with high levels of formal education are most affected by the new generation of digital technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Fossen, Frank M. & Sorgner, Alina, 2022. "New digital technologies and heterogeneous wage and employment dynamics in the United States: Evidence from individual-level data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:175:y:2022:i:c:s004016252100812x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121381
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