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What drives the Libor–OIS spread? Evidence from five major currency Libor–OIS spreads

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  • Cui, Jin
  • In, Francis
  • Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann

Abstract

We investigate the determinants of five major currency Libor–OIS spread changes during the long run and interbank market distress periods. Consistent with recent studies, we find that systemic credit and counterparty risks, market liquidity, and volatility are spread determinants. However, the impact and relevance of these determinants change, depending on the stages of the interbank market crisis. We show that commercial bank leverage and the state of the economy are additional spread drivers. We also discover that the key USD spread is strongly related to banks' risk tolerance levels, capital concerns, and secondary market liquidity during the crisis, even after controlling for other factors.

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  • Cui, Jin & In, Francis & Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann, 2016. "What drives the Libor–OIS spread? Evidence from five major currency Libor–OIS spreads," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 358-375.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:45:y:2016:i:c:p:358-375
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2016.04.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Fleckenstein & Francis A. Longstaff, 2018. "Floating Rate Money? The Stability Premium in Treasury Floating Rate Notes," NBER Working Papers 25216, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2018. "The missing spillover of base expansion into monetary aggregates: Is there a puzzle?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 64-76.
    3. Janbaz, M. & Hassan, M.K. & Floreani, J. & Dreassi, A., 2024. "Liquidity pressure and the sovereign-bank diabolic loop," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1039-1057.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Libor–OIS spread change determinants; Credit and counterparty risks; Market liquidity and volatility; Banking system leverage; State of the economy; Bank risk fundamentals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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