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Znikający rynek stawek WIBOR. Efekt zmian regulacyjnych dla wyceny stóp rynku międzybankowego w Polsce

Author

Listed:
  • Marcin Maciaszczyk

    (Doktorant w Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych w Szkole Głównej Handlowej w Warszawie)

Abstract

Okres po kryzysie finansowym to czas zanikającej aktywności na rynku pożyczek międzybankowych w Polsce. Zjawisko to miało swoje odzwierciedlenie w obserwowanym zachowaniu stóp WIBOR, szczególnie w latach 2015−2017. Odnotowano wtedy niemal zerową zmienność i brak zróżnicowania między kwotowaniami, które uczestnicy panelu deklarują w procesie fixingu stawek. Przyczynę stanowiły zmiany w otoczeniu regulacyjnym, które zredukowały ekonomiczny sens zawierania transakcji na rynku międzybankowym i wpłynęły na model finansowania banków. W celu zbadania zmian we wzorcu wyceny stopy procentowej oszacowano modele efektów mieszanych dla dekompozycji spreadu stawek WIBOR 3M i stopy referencyjnej NBP, w dwóch okresach: 2010−2014 i 2015−2017. Wyniki dowiodły zaniku zróżnicowania reakcji stawek banków w latach 2015−2017. W przeciwieństwie do wcześniejszego okresu rozkłady parametrów wrażliwości spreadu na zmiany premii za ryzyko cechowało skupienie wokół wartości oczekiwanej. Uczestników panelu nie różnił sposób wyceny stawek na rynku pieniężnym, mimo niejednorodnej pozycji płynnościowej i kapitałowej. Z uwagi na brak faktycznie zawieranych transakcji kwotowania miały w dużej mierze charakter ekspercki.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcin Maciaszczyk, 2018. "Znikający rynek stawek WIBOR. Efekt zmian regulacyjnych dla wyceny stóp rynku międzybankowego w Polsce," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(3), pages 217-252.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpbik:v:49:y:2018:i:3:p:217-252
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stopy WIBOR; rynek międzybankowy; LCR; reforma indeksów finansowych; model efektów mieszanych;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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