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Validation of direct normal irradiance predictions under arid conditions: A review of radiative models and their turbidity-dependent performance

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  • Gueymard, Christian A.
  • Ruiz-Arias, José Antonio

Abstract

In this study, a detailed review of the performance of 24 radiative models from the literature is presented. These models are used to predict the clear-sky surface direct normal irradiance (DNI) at a 1-min time resolution. Coincident radiometric and sunphotometric databases of the highest possible quality, and recorded at seven stations located in arid environments, are used for this analysis. At most sites, an extremely large range of aerosol loading conditions and high variability in their characteristics are noticed. At one site (Solar Village), DNI was measured routinely with an active cavity radiometer with very low uncertainty compared to field pyrheliometers, which makes its dataset exceptional.

Suggested Citation

  • Gueymard, Christian A. & Ruiz-Arias, José Antonio, 2015. "Validation of direct normal irradiance predictions under arid conditions: A review of radiative models and their turbidity-dependent performance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 379-396.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:45:y:2015:i:c:p:379-396
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.01.065
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    1. Badescu, Viorel & Gueymard, Christian A. & Cheval, Sorin & Oprea, Cristian & Baciu, Madalina & Dumitrescu, Alexandru & Iacobescu, Flavius & Milos, Ioan & Rada, Costel, 2012. "Computing global and diffuse solar hourly irradiation on clear sky. Review and testing of 54 models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 1636-1656.
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    3. Gueymard, Christian A., 2014. "A review of validation methodologies and statistical performance indicators for modeled solar radiation data: Towards a better bankability of solar projects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1024-1034.
    4. Gueymard, Christian A., 2005. "Importance of atmospheric turbidity and associated uncertainties in solar radiation and luminous efficacy modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(9), pages 1603-1621.
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    1. Gueymard, Christian A. & Bright, Jamie M. & Lingfors, David & Habte, Aron & Sengupta, Manajit, 2019. "A posteriori clear-sky identification methods in solar irradiance time series: Review and preliminary validation using sky imagers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 412-427.
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    3. Nonnenmacher, Lukas & Kaur, Amanpreet & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2016. "Day-ahead resource forecasting for concentrated solar power integration," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 866-876.
    4. Behar, O. & Sbarbaro, D. & Marzo, A. & Gonzalez, M. Trigo & Vidal, E. Fuentealba & Moran, L., 2020. "Critical analysis and performance comparison of thirty-eight (38) clear-sky direct irradiance models under the climate of Chilean Atacama Desert," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 49-60.
    5. Benkaciali, Saïd & Haddadi, Mourad & Khellaf, Abdellah, 2018. "Evaluation of direct solar irradiance from 18 broadband parametric models: Case of Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 694-711.
    6. WenminQin, & Wang, Lunche & Gueymard, Christian A. & Bilal, Muhammad & Lin, Aiwen & Wei, Jing & Zhang, Ming & Yang, Xuefang, 2020. "Constructing a gridded direct normal irradiance dataset in China during 1981–2014," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    7. Linares-Rodriguez, Alvaro & Quesada-Ruiz, Samuel & Pozo-Vazquez, David & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquin, 2015. "An evolutionary artificial neural network ensemble model for estimating hourly direct normal irradiances from meteosat imagery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 264-273.
    8. Ruiz-Arias, José A., 2021. "Aerosol transmittance for clear-sky solar irradiance models: Review and validation of an accurate universal parameterization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Sun, Xixi & Bright, Jamie M. & Gueymard, Christian A. & Acord, Brendan & Wang, Peng & Engerer, Nicholas A., 2019. "Worldwide performance assessment of 75 global clear-sky irradiance models using Principal Component Analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 550-570.
    10. Andreu Cecilia & Javier Carroquino & Vicente Roda & Ramon Costa-Castelló & Félix Barreras, 2020. "Optimal Energy Management in a Standalone Microgrid, with Photovoltaic Generation, Short-Term Storage, and Hydrogen Production," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-24, March.
    11. Ruiz-Arias, José A., 2022. "Spectral integration of clear-sky atmospheric transmittance: Review and worldwide performance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    12. Sun, Xixi & Bright, Jamie M. & Gueymard, Christian A. & Bai, Xinyu & Acord, Brendan & Wang, Peng, 2021. "Worldwide performance assessment of 95 direct and diffuse clear-sky irradiance models using principal component analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    13. Almorox, Javier & Voyant, Cyril & Bailek, Nadjem & Kuriqi, Alban & Arnaldo, J.A., 2021. "Total solar irradiance's effect on the performance of empirical models for estimating global solar radiation: An empirical-based review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    14. Ruiz-Arias, José A., 2023. "SPARTA: Solar parameterization for the radiative transfer of the cloudless atmosphere," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).

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