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Short and medium-term cloudiness forecasting using remote sensing techniques and sky camera imagery

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  • Alonso, J.
  • Batlles, F.J.

Abstract

The increasingly widespread use of CSP (concentrated solar power) plants to produce electricity has generated a constant search to improve and optimize final production. These plants are looking for new technologies and methodologies that offer significant, reliable strategies which can be applied to their systems. Clouds are hydrometeors which affect solar radiation, decreasing its value and, consequently, electricity production. Knowing when solar radiation is obstructed by clouds provides useful information to CSP operators to adapt electricity production to the cloud presence, optimizing electricity production processes. As a result of this necessity to study cloud cover, short and medium-term cloudiness forecasting is presented here, where cloudiness is predicted for the following three hours.

Suggested Citation

  • Alonso, J. & Batlles, F.J., 2014. "Short and medium-term cloudiness forecasting using remote sensing techniques and sky camera imagery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 890-897.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:73:y:2014:i:c:p:890-897
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2014.06.101
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    Cited by:

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    2. Trigo-González, Mauricio & Batlles, F.J. & Alonso-Montesinos, Joaquín & Ferrada, Pablo & del Sagrado, J. & Martínez-Durbán, M. & Cortés, Marcelo & Portillo, Carlos & Marzo, Aitor, 2019. "Hourly PV production estimation by means of an exportable multiple linear regression model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 303-312.
    3. Manisha Sawant & Mayur Kishor Shende & Andrés E. Feijóo-Lorenzo & Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde, 2021. "The State-of-the-Art Progress in Cloud Detection, Identification, and Tracking Approaches: A Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-26, December.
    4. Alonso-Montesinos, J. & Batlles, F.J., 2015. "The use of a sky camera for solar radiation estimation based on digital image processing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 377-386.
    5. Rodríguez-Benítez, Francisco J. & López-Cuesta, Miguel & Arbizu-Barrena, Clara & Fernández-León, María M. & Pamos-Ureña, Miguel Á. & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquín & Santos-Alamillos, Francisco J. & Pozo-Váz, 2021. "Assessment of new solar radiation nowcasting methods based on sky-camera and satellite imagery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    6. Alonso-Montesinos, J. & Polo, Jesús & Ballestrín, Jesús & Batlles, F.J. & Portillo, C., 2019. "Impact of DNI forecasting on CSP tower plant power production," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 368-377.
    7. Paletta, Quentin & Arbod, Guillaume & Lasenby, Joan, 2023. "Omnivision forecasting: Combining satellite and sky images for improved deterministic and probabilistic intra-hour solar energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    8. Kaur, Amanpreet & Nonnenmacher, Lukas & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2016. "Net load forecasting for high renewable energy penetration grids," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1073-1084.
    9. Visa, Ion & Burduhos, Bogdan & Neagoe, Mircea & Moldovan, Macedon & Duta, Anca, 2016. "Comparative analysis of the infield response of five types of photovoltaic modules," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 178-190.
    10. Alonso-Montesinos, J. & Batlles, F.J., 2015. "Solar radiation forecasting in the short- and medium-term under all sky conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 387-393.
    11. Rodríguez, Fermín & Martín, Fernando & Fontán, Luis & Galarza, Ainhoa, 2021. "Ensemble of machine learning and spatiotemporal parameters to forecast very short-term solar irradiation to compute photovoltaic generators’ output power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    12. Alonso-Montesinos, J. & Monterreal, R. & Fernández-Reche, J. & Ballestrín, J. & Carra, E. & Polo, J. & Barbero, J. & Batlles, F.J. & López, G. & Enrique, R. & Martínez-Durbán, M. & Marzo, A., 2019. "Intra-hour energy potential forecasting in a central solar power plant receiver combining Meteosat images and atmospheric extinction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    13. Mathieu David & Joaquín Alonso-Montesinos & Josselin Le Gal La Salle & Philippe Lauret, 2023. "Probabilistic Solar Forecasts as a Binary Event Using a Sky Camera," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-18, October.
    14. Trigo-González, Mauricio & Cortés-Carmona, Marcelo & Marzo, Aitor & Alonso-Montesinos, Joaquín & Martínez-Durbán, Mercedes & López, Gabriel & Portillo, Carlos & Batlles, Francisco Javier, 2023. "Photovoltaic power electricity generation nowcasting combining sky camera images and learning supervised algorithms in the Southern Spain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 251-262.
    15. Alonso-Montesinos, J. & Martínez-Durbán, M. & del Sagrado, J. & del Águila, I.M. & Batlles, F.J., 2016. "The application of Bayesian network classifiers to cloud classification in satellite images," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 155-161.

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