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An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries

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  • Li, Penghua
  • Zhang, Zijian
  • Grosu, Radu
  • Deng, Zhongwei
  • Hou, Jie
  • Rong, Yujun
  • Wu, Rui

Abstract

This study proposes an end-to-end prognostic framework for state-of-health (SOH) estimation and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction. In such a framework, a hybrid neural network (NN), i.e., the concatenation of one-dimensional convolutional NN and active-state-tracking long–short-term memory NN, is designed to capture the hierarchical features between several variables affecting battery degeneration, as well as the temporal dependencies embedded in those features. The prior distribution over hyperparameters, specified to the popular NNs applied in SOH or RUL tasks, is built through the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. Such prior distribution is regarded as a surrogate to investigate the degeneration data’s impact on modeling such NNs. Based on such a surrogate, a Bayesian optimization algorithm is proposed to build SOH and RUL models, selecting the most promising configuration automatically in the sequential evolution progress of hyperparameters. Compared with the existing NNs, the experiments indicate that our method hits a lower average RMSE 0.0072 and global average RMSE 0.0269 for SOH and RUL tasks. Code and models are available at https://github.com/Lipenghua-CQ/CNN-ASTLSTM.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Penghua & Zhang, Zijian & Grosu, Radu & Deng, Zhongwei & Hou, Jie & Rong, Yujun & Wu, Rui, 2022. "An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:156:y:2022:i:c:s1364032121011102
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111843
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    2. Yang, Bo & Qian, Yucun & Li, Qiang & Chen, Qian & Wu, Jiyang & Luo, Enbo & Xie, Rui & Zheng, Ruyi & Yan, Yunfeng & Su, Shi & Wang, Jingbo, 2024. "Critical summary and perspectives on state-of-health of lithium-ion battery," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 190(PA).
    3. Gu, Xinyu & See, K.W. & Li, Penghua & Shan, Kangheng & Wang, Yunpeng & Zhao, Liang & Lim, Kai Chin & Zhang, Neng, 2023. "A novel state-of-health estimation for the lithium-ion battery using a convolutional neural network and transformer model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    4. Huang, Xucong & Peng, Zhaoqin & Tang, Diyin & Chen, Juan & Zio, Enrico & Zheng, Zaiping, 2024. "A physics-informed autoencoder for system health state assessment based on energy-oriented system performance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    5. Das, Kaushik & Kumar, Roushan & Krishna, Anurup, 2024. "Analyzing electric vehicle battery health performance using supervised machine learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PA).
    6. Guo, Fei & Wu, Xiongwei & Liu, Lili & Ye, Jilei & Wang, Tao & Fu, Lijun & Wu, Yuping, 2023. "Prediction of remaining useful life and state of health of lithium batteries based on time series feature and Savitzky-Golay filter combined with gated recurrent unit neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    7. Xu, Huanwei & Wu, Lingfeng & Xiong, Shizhe & Li, Wei & Garg, Akhil & Gao, Liang, 2023. "An improved CNN-LSTM model-based state-of-health estimation approach for lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    8. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    9. Ibraheem, Rasheed & Wu, Yue & Lyons, Terry & dos Reis, Gonçalo, 2023. "Early prediction of Lithium-ion cell degradation trajectories using signatures of voltage curves up to 4-minute sub-sampling rates," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    10. Li, Qingbo & Zhong, Jun & Du, Jinqiao & Yi, Yong & Tian, Jie & Li, Yan & Lai, Chunyan & Lu, Taolin & Xie, Jingying, 2024. "Probabilistic neural network-based flexible estimation of lithium-ion battery capacity considering multidimensional charging habits," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    11. Wang, Fujin & Zhao, Zhibin & Zhai, Zhi & Shang, Zuogang & Yan, Ruqiang & Chen, Xuefeng, 2023. "Explainability-driven model improvement for SOH estimation of lithium-ion battery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    12. Ardeshiri, Reza Rouhi & Liu, Ming & Ma, Chengbin, 2022. "Multivariate stacked bidirectional long short term memory for lithium-ion battery health management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    13. Molla Shahadat Hossain Lipu & Tahia F. Karim & Shaheer Ansari & Md. Sazal Miah & Md. Siddikur Rahman & Sheikh T. Meraj & Rajvikram Madurai Elavarasan & Raghavendra Rajan Vijayaraghavan, 2022. "Intelligent SOX Estimation for Automotive Battery Management Systems: State-of-the-Art Deep Learning Approaches, Open Issues, and Future Research Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-31, December.
    14. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    15. Hong, Jichao & Zhang, Huaqin & Zhang, Xinyang & Yang, Haixu & Chen, Yingjie & Wang, Facheng & Huang, Zhongguo & Wang, Wei, 2024. "Online accurate voltage prediction with sparse data for the whole life cycle of Lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    16. Hou, Jie & Liu, Jiawei & Chen, Fengwei & Li, Penghua & Zhang, Tao & Jiang, Jincheng & Chen, Xiaolei, 2023. "Robust lithium-ion state-of-charge and battery parameters joint estimation based on an enhanced adaptive unscented Kalman filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    17. Kurucan, Mehmet & Özbaltan, Mete & Yetgin, Zeki & Alkaya, Alkan, 2024. "Applications of artificial neural network based battery management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    18. Chen, Liping & Xie, Siqiang & Lopes, António M. & Li, Huafeng & Bao, Xinyuan & Zhang, Chaolong & Li, Penghua, 2024. "A new SOH estimation method for Lithium-ion batteries based on model-data-fusion," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    19. Pang, Hui & Chen, Kaiqiang & Geng, Yuanfei & Wu, Longxing & Wang, Fengbin & Liu, Jiahao, 2024. "Accurate capacity and remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on improved particle swarm optimization and particle filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    20. Dai, Houde & Wang, Jiaxin & Huang, Yiyang & Lai, Yuan & Zhu, Liqi, 2024. "Lightweight state-of-health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on statistical feature optimization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

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