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Multi-attribute risk assessment for risk ranking of natural gas pipelines

Author

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  • Brito, A.J.
  • de Almeida, A.T.

Abstract

The paper presents a decision model for risk assessment and for risk ranking of sections of natural gas pipelines based on multi-attribute utility theory. Pipeline hazard scenarios are surveyed and the reasons for a risk assessment model based on a multi-attribute approach are presented. Three dimensions of impact and the need to translate decision-makers’ preferences into risk management decisions are highlighted. The model approaches these factors by using a multi-attribute utility function, in order to produce multi-dimensional risk measurements. By using decision analysis concepts, this model quantitatively incorporates the decision-maker's preferences and behavior regarding risk within clear and consistent risk measurements. In order to support the prioritizing of critical sections of pipeline in natural gas companies, this multi-attribute model also allows sections of pipeline to be ranked into a risk hierarchy. A numerical application based on a real case study was undertaken so that the effectiveness of the decision model could be verified.

Suggested Citation

  • Brito, A.J. & de Almeida, A.T., 2009. "Multi-attribute risk assessment for risk ranking of natural gas pipelines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 187-198.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:94:y:2009:i:2:p:187-198
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2008.02.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhao, Yang & Xihong, Li & Jianbo, Lai, 2007. "Analysis on the diffusion hazards of dynamic leakage of gas pipeline," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 47-53.
    2. Adiel Almeida, 2005. "Multicriteria Modelling of Repair Contract Based on Utility and ELECTRE I Method with Dependability and Service Quality Criteria," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 113-126, September.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gangadharan, Lata & Harrison, Glenn W. & Leroux, Anke D., 2019. "Are risks over multiple attributes traded off? A case study of aid," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 166-198.
    3. Casado, Ramon Swell Gomes Rodrigues & Alencar, Marcelo Hazin & de Almeida, Adiel Teixeira, 2022. "Combining a multidimensional risk evaluation with an implicit enumeration algorithm to tackle the portfolio selection problem of a natural gas pipeline," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    4. Chen, Yinuo & Xie, Shuyi & Tian, Zhigang, 2022. "Risk assessment of buried gas pipelines based on improved cloud-variable weight theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    5. de Gusmão, Ana Paula Henriques & e Silva, Lúcio Camara & Silva, Maisa Mendonça & Poleto, Thiago & Costa, Ana Paula Cabral Seixas, 2016. "Information security risk analysis model using fuzzy decision theory," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 25-34.
    6. Zhang, Y. & Weng, W.G., 2020. "Bayesian network model for buried gas pipeline failure analysis caused by corrosion and external interference," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    7. Zhen-Song Chen & Min Li & Wen-Tao Kong & Kwai-Sang Chin, 2019. "Evaluation and Selection of HazMat Transportation Alternatives: A PHFLTS- and TOPSIS-Integrated Multi-Perspective Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-33, October.
    8. Medeiros, C.P. & Alencar, M.H. & de Almeida, A.T., 2017. "Multidimensional risk evaluation of natural gas pipelines based on a multicriteria decision model using visualization tools and statistical tests for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 268-276.
    9. Ditta, A. & Figueroa, O. & Galindo, G. & Yie-Pinedo, R., 2019. "A review on research in transportation of hazardous materials," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Yin, Yuanbo & Yang, Hao & Duan, Pengfei & Li, Luling & Zio, Enrico & Liu, Cuiwei & Li, Yuxing, 2022. "Improved quantitative risk assessment of a natural gas pipeline considering high-consequence areas," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    11. Rogerson, Ellen C. & Lambert, James H., 2012. "Prioritizing risks via several expert perspectives with application to runway safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 22-34.
    12. Aorui Bi & Shuya Huang & Xinguo Sun, 2023. "Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline Based on Vague Set-Weighted Set Pair Analysis Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.
    13. Noguchi, H. & Hienuki, S. & Fuse, M., 2020. "Network theory-based accident scenario analysis for hazardous material transport: A case study of liquefied petroleum gas transport in japan," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    14. Hao Fanghua & Chen Guanchun, 2010. "A Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Group Decision-Making Model Based on Weighted Borda Scoring Method for Watershed Ecological Risk Management: a Case Study of Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2139-2165, August.
    15. Garcez, Thalles Vitelli & de Almeida, Adiel Teixeira, 2014. "A risk measurement tool for an underground electricity distribution system considering the consequences and uncertainties of manhole events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 68-80.
    16. Marlow, David R. & Beale, David J. & Mashford, John S., 2012. "Risk-based prioritization and its application to inspection of valves in the water sector," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 67-74.
    17. Cailloux, Olivier & Mayag, Brice & Meyer, Patrick & Mousseau, Vincent, 2013. "Operational tools to build a multicriteria territorial risk scale with multiple stakeholders," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 88-97.
    18. Mohsin, R. & Majid, Z.A. & Yusof, M.Z., 2014. "Safety distance between underground natural gas and water pipeline facilities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 53-60.
    19. Rui Peng & Yan-Fu Li & Jun-Guang Zhang & Xiang Li, 2015. "A risk-reduction approach for optimal software release time determination with the delay incurred cost," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(9), pages 1628-1637, July.
    20. Medeiros, Cristina Pereira & da Silva, Lucas Borges Leal & Alencar, Marcelo Hazin & de Almeida, Adiel Teixeira, 2021. "A new method for managing multidimensional risks in Natural Gas Pipelines based on non-Expected Utility," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    21. Hamilton, Michelle C. & Lambert, James H. & Connelly, Elizabeth B. & Barker, Kash, 2016. "Resilience analytics with disruption of preferences and lifecycle cost analysis for energy microgrids," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 11-21.

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