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Bayesian network model for buried gas pipeline failure analysis caused by corrosion and external interference

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  • Zhang, Y.
  • Weng, W.G.

Abstract

The unintentional release of urban buried gas pipeline may cause crucial consequences to the economy, society and environment. Corrosion and external interference are primary causes of pipeline failure incidents. Due to the complexity and unpredictability of outside influence on the buried gas pipeline, this paper presents an approach to analyze pipeline failure frequency and leakage size caused by corrosion and external interference based on pipeline characteristics. Bayesian network method is used to construct a knowledge model. Pipeline characteristics statistics and failure data are collected to build the relationships among variables in the model and verify the applicability of the model. Results show that the proposed model can estimate buried gas pipeline failure frequency and leakage size caused by corrosion and external interference. It is also capable of highlighting the critical parameters to pipeline failure. Practical application of the model is demonstrated on the underground gas pipeline in the City of H, China. Results indicate that proposed model can explicitly quantify uncertainties and then put forward practical measures for buried gas pipeline parameter design, laying plan and operating maintenance.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Y. & Weng, W.G., 2020. "Bayesian network model for buried gas pipeline failure analysis caused by corrosion and external interference," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:203:y:2020:i:c:s0951832020305901
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107089
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    17. Wu, Xingguang & Huang, Huirong & Xie, Jianyu & Lu, Meixing & Wang, Shaobo & Li, Wang & Huang, Yixuan & Yu, Weichao & Sun, Xiaobo, 2023. "A novel dynamic risk assessment method for the petrochemical industry using bow-tie analysis and Bayesian network analysis method based on the methodological framework of ARAMIS project," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    18. Zhang, Qiongfang & Xu, Nan & Ersoy, Daniel & Liu, Yongming, 2022. "Manifold-based Conditional Bayesian network for aging pipe yield strength estimation with non-destructive measurements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    19. Tao, Haohan & Jia, Peng & Wang, Xiangyu & Wang, Liquan, 2024. "Reliability analysis of subsea control module based on dynamic Bayesian network and digital twin," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
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    21. Hong, Bingyuan & Shao, Bowen & Guo, Jian & Fu, Jianzhong & Li, Cuicui & Zhu, Baikang, 2023. "Dynamic Bayesian network risk probability evolution for third-party damage of natural gas pipelines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    22. Tahir Javed Butt & Muhammad Amjad & Syed Farhan Raza & Fahid Riaz & Shafiq Ahmad & Mali Abdollahian, 2023. "Gas Leakage Identification and Prevention by Pressure Profiling for Sustainable Supply of Natural Gas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-15, September.
    23. Bibartiu, Otto & Dürr, Frank & Rothermel, Kurt & Ottenwälder, Beate & Grau, Andreas, 2021. "Scalable k-out-of-n models for dependability analysis with Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    24. Medeiros, Cristina Pereira & da Silva, Lucas Borges Leal & Alencar, Marcelo Hazin & de Almeida, Adiel Teixeira, 2021. "A new method for managing multidimensional risks in Natural Gas Pipelines based on non-Expected Utility," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).

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