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A novel two-stage method via adversarial strategy for remaining useful life prediction of bearings under variable conditions

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  • Liu, Yang
  • Zhou, Guangda
  • Zhao, Shujian
  • Li, Liang
  • Xie, Wenhua
  • Su, Bengan
  • Li, Yongwei
  • Zhao, Zhen

Abstract

It is critical to accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings to avoid severe accidents and financial losses in the industry. Nevertheless, accurately determining the initial prediction time (IPT) continues to pose a challenge, and significant differences in the data distribution of bearings under different operating conditions are frequently overlooked. To deal with these problems, we propose a novel two-stage method based on the adversarial strategy for RUL prediction of bearings under variable conditions. Firstly, we create reliable health indicators in an unsupervised manner by recording the coded characteristics of the bearing’s state of health. Secondly, an adaptive threshold method based on rate-of-change (ATMROC) is developed to perform accurate health state classification. Finally, we propose a RUL prediction network based on the attention depth-gated recurrent unit with domain invariance (DIADGRU) to handle the inconsistent distribution of degradation features under different operating conditions. Experiments of RUL prediction on PHM2012 and XITU-SY datasets are implemented, and the promising results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Yang & Zhou, Guangda & Zhao, Shujian & Li, Liang & Xie, Wenhua & Su, Bengan & Li, Yongwei & Zhao, Zhen, 2025. "A novel two-stage method via adversarial strategy for remaining useful life prediction of bearings under variable conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832024006732
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110602
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Lu & Song, Xiao & Zhou, Zhetao, 2022. "Aircraft engine remaining useful life estimation via a double attention-based data-driven architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    2. Zhuang, Jichao & Jia, Minping & Ding, Yifei & Ding, Peng, 2021. "Temporal convolution-based transferable cross-domain adaptation approach for remaining useful life estimation under variable failure behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
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    4. Cheng, Han & Kong, Xianguang & Wang, Qibin & Ma, Hongbo & Yang, Shengkang, 2022. "The two-stage RUL prediction across operation conditions using deep transfer learning and insufficient degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    5. Cheng, Han & Kong, Xianguang & Wang, Qibin & Ma, Hongbo & Yang, Shengkang & Xu, Kun, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction combined dynamic model with transfer learning under insufficient degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
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    7. Li, Wanxiang & Shang, Zhiwu & Gao, Maosheng & Qian, Shiqi & Feng, Zehua, 2022. "Remaining useful life prediction based on transfer multi-stage shrinkage attention temporal convolutional network under variable working conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
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