IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v254y2025ipas0951832024006653.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On fractional moment estimation from polynomial chaos expansion

Author

Listed:
  • Novák, Lukáš
  • Valdebenito, Marcos
  • Faes, Matthias

Abstract

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by statistical sampling is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design due to limitations in computing capacity. This paper presents a novel approach for the analytical estimation of fractional moments, directly from polynomial chaos expansions. Specifically, the first four statistical moments obtained from the deterministic coefficients of polynomial chaos expansion are used for an estimation of arbitrary fractional moments via Hölder’s inequality. The proposed approach is utilized for an estimation of statistical moments and probability distributions in four numerical examples of increasing complexity. Obtained results show that the proposed approach achieves a superior performance in estimating the distribution of the response, in comparison to a standard Latin hypercube sampling in the presented examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Novák, Lukáš & Valdebenito, Marcos & Faes, Matthias, 2025. "On fractional moment estimation from polynomial chaos expansion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832024006653
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110594
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024006653
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2024.110594?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xiao, Sinan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Xu, Liyang, 2016. "A new effective screening design for structural sensitivity analysis of failure probability with the epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 1-14.
    2. Zhu, Xujia & Sudret, Bruno, 2021. "Global sensitivity analysis for stochastic simulators based on generalized lambda surrogate models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    3. Sudret, Bruno, 2008. "Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(7), pages 964-979.
    4. He, Wanxin & Wang, Yiyuan & Li, Gang & Zhou, Jinhang, 2024. "A novel maximum entropy method based on the B-spline theory and the low-discrepancy sequence for complex probability distribution reconstruction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    5. Park, Sangun & Rao, Murali & Shin, Dong Wan, 2012. "On cumulative residual Kullback–Leibler information," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(11), pages 2025-2032.
    6. Crestaux, Thierry & Le Maıˆtre, Olivier & Martinez, Jean-Marc, 2009. "Polynomial chaos expansion for sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1161-1172.
    7. Zhao, Yan-Gang & Zhang, Xuan-Yi & Lu, Zhao-Hui, 2018. "A flexible distribution and its application in reliability engineering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 1-12.
    8. Xu, Jun & Song, Jinheng & Yu, Quanfu & Kong, Fan, 2023. "Generalized distribution reconstruction based on the inversion of characteristic function curve for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    9. Shields, Michael D. & Zhang, Jiaxin, 2016. "The generalization of Latin hypercube sampling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 96-108.
    10. Deng, Jian, 2022. "Probabilistic characterization of soil properties based on the maximum entropy method from fractional moments: Model development, case study, and application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    11. Yun, Wanying & Lu, Zhenzhou & Jiang, Xian, 2019. "An efficient method for moment-independent global sensitivity analysis by dimensional reduction technique and principle of maximum entropy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 174-182.
    12. Zhang, Ruijing & Dai, Hongzhe, 2022. "A non-Gaussian stochastic model from limited observations using polynomial chaos and fractional moments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gu, Hang-Hang & Wang, Run-Zi & Zhang, Kun & Li, Kai-Shang & Sun, Li & Zhang, Xian-Cheng & Tu, Shan-Tung, 2025. "Damage-driven framework for reliability assessment of steam turbine rotors operating under flexible conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    2. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Wenjie & Wang, Donghui & Zhao, Kun & Zhang, Weihua, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis using orthogonal augmented radial basis function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 291-302.
    3. Jung, WoongHee & Taflanidis, Alexandros A., 2023. "Efficient global sensitivity analysis for high-dimensional outputs combining data-driven probability models and dimensionality reduction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    4. Brown, S. & Beck, J. & Mahgerefteh, H. & Fraga, E.S., 2013. "Global sensitivity analysis of the impact of impurities on CO2 pipeline failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 43-54.
    5. Turati, Pietro & Pedroni, Nicola & Zio, Enrico, 2017. "Simulation-based exploration of high-dimensional system models for identifying unexpected events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 317-330.
    6. Oladyshkin, S. & Nowak, W., 2012. "Data-driven uncertainty quantification using the arbitrary polynomial chaos expansion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 179-190.
    7. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Donghui & Okolo N, Patrick & Hu, Fan & Zhang, Weihua, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using a Gaussian Radial Basis Function metamodel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 171-179.
    8. Zdeněk Kala, 2020. "Sensitivity Analysis in Probabilistic Structural Design: A Comparison of Selected Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-19, June.
    9. Steiner, M. & Bourinet, J.-M. & Lahmer, T., 2019. "An adaptive sampling method for global sensitivity analysis based on least-squares support vector regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 323-340.
    10. Beccacece, Francesca & Borgonovo, Emanuele & Buzzard, Greg & Cillo, Alessandra & Zionts, Stanley, 2015. "Elicitation of multiattribute value functions through high dimensional model representations: Monotonicity and interactions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 246(2), pages 517-527.
    11. Oladyshkin, Sergey & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2018. "Incomplete statistical information limits the utility of high-order polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 137-148.
    12. Zhang, Kun & Chen, Ning & Zeng, Peng & Liu, Jian & Beer, Michael, 2022. "An efficient reliability analysis method for structures with hybrid time-dependent uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    13. El Moçayd, Nabil & Seaid, Mohammed, 2021. "Data-driven polynomial chaos expansions for characterization of complex fluid rheology: Case study of phosphate slurry," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    14. Palar, Pramudita Satria & Zuhal, Lavi Rizki & Shimoyama, Koji & Tsuchiya, Takeshi, 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis via multi-fidelity polynomial chaos expansion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 175-190.
    15. Arnst, M. & Goyal, K., 2017. "Sensitivity analysis of parametric uncertainties and modeling errors in computational-mechanics models by using a generalized probabilistic modeling approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 394-405.
    16. Buzzard, Gregery T., 2012. "Global sensitivity analysis using sparse grid interpolation and polynomial chaos," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 82-89.
    17. Attar, Peter J. & Vedula, Prakash, 2013. "On convergence of moments in uncertainty quantification based on direct quadrature," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 119-125.
    18. Thapa, Mishal & Missoum, Samy, 2022. "Uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis of composite wind turbine blades," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Deng, Jian, 2022. "Probabilistic characterization of soil properties based on the maximum entropy method from fractional moments: Model development, case study, and application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    20. Chen, Xin & Molina-Cristóbal, Arturo & Guenov, Marin D. & Riaz, Atif, 2019. "Efficient method for variance-based sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 97-115.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832024006653. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.