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Global sensitivity analysis using sparse grid interpolation and polynomial chaos

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  • Buzzard, Gregery T.

Abstract

Sparse grid interpolation is widely used to provide good approximations to smooth functions in high dimensions based on relatively few function evaluations. By using an efficient conversion from the interpolating polynomial provided by evaluations on a sparse grid to a representation in terms of orthogonal polynomials (gPC representation), we show how to use these relatively few function evaluations to estimate several types of sensitivity coefficients and to provide estimates on local minima and maxima. First, we provide a good estimate of the variance-based sensitivity coefficients of Sobol' (1990) [1] and then use the gradient of the gPC representation to give good approximations to the derivative-based sensitivity coefficients described by Kucherenko and Sobol' (2009) [2]. Finally, we use the package HOM4PS-2.0 given in Lee et al. (2008) [3] to determine the critical points of the interpolating polynomial and use these to determine the local minima and maxima of this polynomial.

Suggested Citation

  • Buzzard, Gregery T., 2012. "Global sensitivity analysis using sparse grid interpolation and polynomial chaos," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 82-89.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:107:y:2012:i:c:p:82-89
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2011.07.011
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    1. Kucherenko, S. & Rodriguez-Fernandez, M. & Pantelides, C. & Shah, N., 2009. "Monte Carlo evaluation of derivative-based global sensitivity measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1135-1148.
    2. Borgonovo, E., 2007. "A new uncertainty importance measure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 771-784.
    3. Storlie, Curtis B. & Swiler, Laura P. & Helton, Jon C. & Sallaberry, Cedric J., 2009. "Implementation and evaluation of nonparametric regression procedures for sensitivity analysis of computationally demanding models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(11), pages 1735-1763.
    4. Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2009. "Kriging metamodeling in simulation: A review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(3), pages 707-716, February.
    5. Storlie, Curtis B. & Helton, Jon C., 2008. "Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: Description of techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 28-54.
    6. Sudret, Bruno, 2008. "Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(7), pages 964-979.
    7. Crestaux, Thierry & Le Maıˆtre, Olivier & Martinez, Jean-Marc, 2009. "Polynomial chaos expansion for sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1161-1172.
    8. Storlie, Curtis B. & Helton, Jon C., 2008. "Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: Example results," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 55-77.
    9. Timothy S. Gardner & Charles R. Cantor & James J. Collins, 2000. "Construction of a genetic toggle switch in Escherichia coli," Nature, Nature, vol. 403(6767), pages 339-342, January.
    10. Sobol’, I.M. & Kucherenko, S., 2009. "Derivative based global sensitivity measures and their link with global sensitivity indices," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(10), pages 3009-3017.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Song, Jingwen, 2015. "Regional and parametric sensitivity analysis of Sobol׳ indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 87-100.
    2. Brown, S. & Beck, J. & Mahgerefteh, H. & Fraga, E.S., 2013. "Global sensitivity analysis of the impact of impurities on CO2 pipeline failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 43-54.
    3. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2020. "Uncertainty quantification: a minimum variance unbiased (joint) estimator of the non-normalized Sobol’ indices," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 1939-1970, October.
    4. Palar, Pramudita Satria & Zuhal, Lavi Rizki & Shimoyama, Koji & Tsuchiya, Takeshi, 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis via multi-fidelity polynomial chaos expansion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 175-190.
    5. Daneshkhah, Alireza & Bedford, Tim, 2013. "Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of system availability using Gaussian processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 82-93.
    6. Attar, Peter J. & Vedula, Prakash, 2013. "On convergence of moments in uncertainty quantification based on direct quadrature," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 119-125.
    7. Cheng, Lei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Zhang, Leigang, 2015. "Application of Rejection Sampling based methodology to variance based parametric sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 9-18.
    8. Beccacece, Francesca & Borgonovo, Emanuele & Buzzard, Greg & Cillo, Alessandra & Zionts, Stanley, 2015. "Elicitation of multiattribute value functions through high dimensional model representations: Monotonicity and interactions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 246(2), pages 517-527.
    9. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis: a generalized, unbiased and optimal estimator of total-effect variance," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 361-386, March.
    10. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Wenjie & Wang, Donghui & Zhao, Kun & Zhang, Weihua, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis using orthogonal augmented radial basis function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 291-302.
    11. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Donghui & Okolo N, Patrick & Hu, Fan & Zhang, Weihua, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using a Gaussian Radial Basis Function metamodel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 171-179.
    12. Oladyshkin, Sergey & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2018. "Incomplete statistical information limits the utility of high-order polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 137-148.
    13. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Plischke, Elmar, 2016. "Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(3), pages 869-887.
    14. Francesca Beccacece & Emanuele Borgonovo & Greg Buzzard & Alessandra Cillo & Stanley Zionts, 2013. "Elicitation of Multiattribute Value Functions through High Dimensional Model Representations," Working Papers 495, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    15. Ling Tao & Yuanlai Xie & Chundong Hu, 2022. "Efficient Sensitivity Analysis for Enhanced Heat Transfer Performance of Heat Sink with Swirl Flow Structure under One-Side Heating," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-19, October.
    16. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Buzzard, Gregery T. & Wendell, Richard E., 2018. "A global tolerance approach to sensitivity analysis in linear programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 321-337.

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