IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v251y2024ics0951832024003946.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability and landslide consequence analysis of long heterogeneous soil infrastructure slopes: A parallel computing investigation

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Yajun
  • Qian, Cheng
  • Zhang, Bin
  • Xu, Nengxiong

Abstract

Long infrastructures, like flood defense levees, built upon diverse soils, often face complex landslide failures. Risk assessments for such structures involve evaluating slope stability reliability and potential landslide consequences. Historically, embankment slope reliability and failure assessments focused on shorter sections due to computational limitations. This study, however, delves into a longer 3D soil slope section, 100 times the height, using the random finite element method to analyse the size or length effect. It conducts a parametric study varying the soil strength’s horizontal correlation length to understand slope failure initiation in heterogeneous soils. In contrast to prior work, this paper emphasises several facets: the realised factor of safety (FOS) distribution, quantification of discrete unstable zones and failures, and the size impact on the reliability and landslide consequences of long embankment slopes. Findings indicate the Weibull distribution better fits the realised FOS, aiding in predicting long embankment slope system reliability when combined with the weakest link theory. While multiple failures are possible for very long soil embankment slopes, observations suggest a greater likelihood of a single localised failure despite this potential.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Yajun & Qian, Cheng & Zhang, Bin & Xu, Nengxiong, 2024. "Reliability and landslide consequence analysis of long heterogeneous soil infrastructure slopes: A parallel computing investigation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:251:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024003946
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110322
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024003946
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2024.110322?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ding, Jiayi & Zhou, Jianfang & Cai, Wei, 2023. "An efficient variable selection-based Kriging model method for the reliability analysis of slopes with spatially variable soils," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Lan, Meng & Zhu, Jiping & Lo, Siuming, 2021. "Hybrid Bayesian network-based landslide risk assessment method for modeling risk for industrial facilities subjected to landslides," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Jongejan, R.B. & Diermanse, F. & Kanning, W. & Bottema, M., 2020. "Reliability-based partial factors for flood defenses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    4. Jerez, Danko J. & Chwała, M. & Jensen, Hector A. & Beer, Michael, 2024. "Optimal borehole placement for the design of rectangular shallow foundation systems under undrained soil conditions: A stochastic framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    5. Liu, Qiang & Huang, Delong & Zhang, Bin & Tang, Aiping & Xu, Xiuchen, 2024. "Developing a probability-based technique to improve the measurement of landslide vulnerability on regional roads," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    6. Li, Peiping & Wang, Yu, 2022. "An active learning reliability analysis method using adaptive Bayesian compressive sensing and Monte Carlo simulation (ABCS-MCS)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    7. Li, Dian-Qing & Tang, Xiao-Song & Phoon, Kok-Kwang, 2015. "Bootstrap method for characterizing the effect of uncertainty in shear strength parameters on slope reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 99-106.
    8. Zhang, Yi & Gomes, António Topa & Beer, Michael & Neumann, Ingo & Nackenhorst, Udo & Kim, Chul-Woo, 2019. "Reliability analysis with consideration of asymmetrically dependent variables: Discussion and application to geotechnical examples," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 261-277.
    9. Liu, Qiang & Tang, Aiping & Huang, Delong & Huang, Ziyuan & Zhang, Bin & Xu, Xiuchen, 2022. "Total probabilistic measure for the potential risk of regional roads exposed to landslides," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    10. Pol, Johannes C. & Kindermann, Paulina & van der Krogt, Mark G. & van Bergeijk, Vera M. & Remmerswaal, Guido & Kanning, Willem & Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. & Kok, Matthijs, 2023. "The effect of interactions between failure mechanisms on the reliability of flood defenses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Tengyuan & Wang, Yu, 2020. "Non-parametric simulation of non-stationary non-gaussian 3D random field samples directly from sparse measurements using signal decomposition and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    2. Wu, Yongxin & Wang, Juncheng & Cheng, Jialiang & Yang, Shangchuan, 2024. "Dimension-Reduction Spectral Representation of Soil Spatial Variability and Its Application in the Efficient Reliability Analysis of Seismic Response in Tunnels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    3. Pang, Rui & Yao, Haoyu & Xu, Mingyang & Zhou, Yang, 2024. "Slope displacement reliability analysis considering rock parameters spatial variability subjected to stochastic mainshock-aftershock earthquake," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    4. Ma, Guotao & Rezania, Mohammad & Mousavi Nezhad, Mohaddeseh & Phoon, Kok-Kwang, 2024. "Multivariate copula-based framework for stochastic analysis of landslide runout distance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    5. Ding, Jiayi & Zhou, Jianfang & Cai, Wei, 2023. "An efficient variable selection-based Kriging model method for the reliability analysis of slopes with spatially variable soils," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    6. Liu, Fuchao & Wei, Pengfei & Tang, Chenghu & Wang, Pan & Yue, Zhufeng, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis for multivariate outputs based on multiple response Gaussian process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 287-298.
    7. Luo, Changqi & Zhu, Shun-Peng & Keshtegar, Behrooz & Niu, Xiaopeng & Taylan, Osman, 2023. "An enhanced uniform simulation approach coupled with SVR for efficient structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    8. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Ozkut, Murat, 2020. "Optimization problems for a parallel system with multiple types of dependent components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    9. Liu, Wenli & Li, Ang & Fang, Weili & Love, Peter E.D. & Hartmann, Timo & Luo, Hanbin, 2023. "A hybrid data-driven model for geotechnical reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    10. Lan, Meng & Zhu, Jiping & Lo, Siuming, 2021. "Hybrid Bayesian network-based landslide risk assessment method for modeling risk for industrial facilities subjected to landslides," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Alibeikloo, Mehrnaz & Khabbaz, Hadi & Fatahi, Behzad, 2022. "Random Field Reliability Analysis for Time-Dependent Behaviour of Soft Soils Considering Spatial Variability of Elastic Visco-Plastic Parameters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    12. Murat Ozkut, 2022. "Comparison of the replacement policy in k-out-of-n systems having dependent components," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 236(1), pages 125-137, February.
    13. Rongen, G. & Morales-Nápoles, O. & Kok, M., 2022. "Expert judgment-based reliability analysis of the Dutch flood defense system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    14. Zhang, Ruijing & Dai, Hongzhe, 2022. "A non-Gaussian stochastic model from limited observations using polynomial chaos and fractional moments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    15. Pepper, Nick & Crespo, Luis & Montomoli, Francesco, 2022. "Adaptive learning for reliability analysis using Support Vector Machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. Ramadhani, Adhitya & Khan, Faisal & Colbourne, Bruce & Ahmed, Salim & Taleb-Berrouane, Mohammed, 2022. "Resilience assessment of offshore structures subjected to ice load considering complex dependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    17. Rahim Tavakolifar & Himan Shahabi & Mohsen Alizadeh & Sayed M. Bateni & Mazlan Hashim & Ataollah Shirzadi & Effi Helmy Ariffin & Isabelle D. Wolf & Saman Shojae Chaeikar, 2023. "Spatial Prediction of Landslides Using Hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Methods: A Case Study of the Saqqez-Marivan Mountain Road in Iran," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, May.
    18. den Heijer, Frank & Kok, Matthijs, 2024. "Risk-based portfolio planning of dike reinforcements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    19. Othman, Abdullah & El-Saoud, Waleed A. & Habeebullah, Turki & Shaaban, Fathy & Abotalib, Abotalib Z., 2023. "Risk assessment of flash flood and soil erosion impacts on electrical infrastructures in overcrowded mountainous urban areas under climate change," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    20. Hunte, Joshua L. & Neil, Martin & Fenton, Norman E., 2024. "A hybrid Bayesian network for medical device risk assessment and management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:251:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024003946. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.