IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v216y2021ics0951832021005524.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capacity estimation of batteries: Influence of training dataset size and diversity on data driven prognostic models

Author

Listed:
  • Nagulapati, Vijay Mohan
  • Lee, Hyunjun
  • Jung, DaWoon
  • Brigljevic, Boris
  • Choi, Yunseok
  • Lim, Hankwon

Abstract

Prognostics of batteries involve state estimation and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction. Various data-driven approaches are being studied to achieve accurate RUL predictions and SOH estimations to ensure safety and reliability of battery systems. The Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a statistical approach that accommodates the nonlinear nature and small sample size data to effectively predict the RUL of lithium-ion batteries. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have the ability to approximate nonlinear data and since battery degradation is a nonlinear process, neural networks-based models can provide accurate RUL predictions for lithium-ion batteries. In this paper, both the GPR model and ANN model approaches are implemented on the NASA PCoE battery datasets and the predictions are compared. The model training and validation is performed by splitting the data into various proportions (30:70%, 50:50%, and 70:30% for training: validation). Furthermore, the model's prediction accuracy is compared with respect to single vs multi-variable data and single battery data vs combined multiple battery data. The approach improves the prediction accuracy with the models exhibiting low RMSE values of 0.0181 and 0.0367 for GPR and ANN models, respectively, for B0018 and RMSE values of 0.1516 and 0.0810 for GPR and ANN models, respectively, for B0048.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagulapati, Vijay Mohan & Lee, Hyunjun & Jung, DaWoon & Brigljevic, Boris & Choi, Yunseok & Lim, Hankwon, 2021. "Capacity estimation of batteries: Influence of training dataset size and diversity on data driven prognostic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021005524
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108048
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021005524
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.108048?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. You, Gae-won & Park, Sangdo & Oh, Dukjin, 2016. "Real-time state-of-health estimation for electric vehicle batteries: A data-driven approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 92-103.
    2. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    3. Jianfang Jia & Jianyu Liang & Yuanhao Shi & Jie Wen & Xiaoqiong Pang & Jianchao Zeng, 2020. "SOH and RUL Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Gaussian Process Regression with Indirect Health Indicators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-20, January.
    4. An, Dawn & Kim, Nam H. & Choi, Joo-Ho, 2015. "Practical options for selecting data-driven or physics-based prognostics algorithms with reviews," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 223-236.
    5. Li, Yuanyuan & Sheng, Hanmin & Cheng, Yuhua & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Teodorescu, Remus, 2020. "State-of-health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on semi-supervised transfer component analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    6. Zheng, Xiujuan & Fang, Huajing, 2015. "An integrated unscented kalman filter and relevance vector regression approach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life and short-term capacity prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 74-82.
    7. Li, Xiaoyu & Yuan, Changgui & Li, Xiaohui & Wang, Zhenpo, 2020. "State of health estimation for Li-Ion battery using incremental capacity analysis and Gaussian process regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    8. Deng, Yuanwang & Ying, Hejie & E, Jiaqiang & Zhu, Hao & Wei, Kexiang & Chen, Jingwei & Zhang, Feng & Liao, Gaoliang, 2019. "Feature parameter extraction and intelligent estimation of the State-of-Health of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 91-102.
    9. Mishra, Madhav & Martinsson, Jesper & Rantatalo, Matti & Goebel, Kai, 2018. "Bayesian hierarchical model-based prognostics for lithium-ion batteries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 25-35.
    10. Yunwei Zhang & Qiaochu Tang & Yao Zhang & Jiabin Wang & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2020. "Identifying degradation patterns of lithium ion batteries from impedance spectroscopy using machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, December.
    11. Li, Sai & Fang, Huajing & Shi, Bing, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation of Lithium-ion battery based on interacting multiple model particle filter and support vector regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    12. Downey, Austin & Lui, Yu-Hui & Hu, Chao & Laflamme, Simon & Hu, Shan, 2019. "Physics-based prognostics of lithium-ion battery using non-linear least squares with dynamic bounds," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 1-12.
    13. Lin, Chun Pang & Ling, Man Ho & Cabrera, Javier & Yang, Fangfang & Yu, Denis Yau Wai & Tsui, Kwok Leung, 2021. "Prognostics for lithium-ion batteries using a two-phase gamma degradation process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    14. Yu, Jianbo, 2018. "State of health prediction of lithium-ion batteries: Multiscale logic regression and Gaussian process regression ensemble," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 82-95.
    15. Xiaochuan Li & Faris Elasha & Suliman Shanbr & David Mba, 2019. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Rolling Element Bearings Using Supervised Machine Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-17, July.
    16. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    17. Xu, Xiaodong & Tang, Shengjin & Yu, Chuanqiang & Xie, Jian & Han, Xuebing & Ouyang, Minggao, 2021. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries Based on Wiener Process Under Time-Varying Temperature Condition," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ospina Agudelo, Brian & Zamboni, Walter & Postiglione, Fabio & Monmasson, Eric, 2023. "Battery State-of-Health estimation based on multiple charge and discharge features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    2. Zhang, Xiaoxi & Pan, Yongjun & Zhou, Junxiao & Li, Zhixiong & Liao, Tianjun & Li, Jie, 2024. "Forward and reverse design of adhesive in batteries via dynamics and machine learning algorithms for enhanced mechanical safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    3. Ardeshiri, Reza Rouhi & Liu, Ming & Ma, Chengbin, 2022. "Multivariate stacked bidirectional long short term memory for lithium-ion battery health management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    4. Chang, Leilei & Zhang, Limao & Xu, Xiaobin, 2023. "Causality-based multi-model ensemble learning for safety assessment in metro tunnel construction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    5. Shunli Wang & Pu Ren & Paul Takyi-Aninakwa & Siyu Jin & Carlos Fernandez, 2022. "A Critical Review of Improved Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Multi-Timescale State Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-27, July.
    6. Xu, Xiaodong & Tang, Shengjin & Han, Xuebing & Lu, Languang & Wu, Yu & Yu, Chuanqiang & Sun, Xiaoyan & Xie, Jian & Feng, Xuning & Ouyang, Minggao, 2023. "Fast capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries using aging mechanism-informed bidirectional long short-term memory network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    7. Tian, Yuan & Han, Minghao & Kulkarni, Chetan & Fink, Olga, 2022. "A prescriptive Dirichlet power allocation policy with deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    8. Liu, Jie & Xu, Huoyao & Peng, Xiangyu & Wang, Junlang & He, Chaoming, 2023. "Reliable composite fault diagnosis of hydraulic systems based on linear discriminant analysis and multi-output hybrid kernel extreme learning machine," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. Lin, Mingqiang & You, Yuqiang & Wang, Wei & Wu, Ji, 2023. "Battery health prognosis with gated recurrent unit neural networks and hidden Markov model considering uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    10. Bai, Guangxing & Su, Yunsheng & Rahman, Maliha Maisha & Wang, Zequn, 2023. "Prognostics of Lithium-Ion batteries using knowledge-constrained machine learning and Kalman filtering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    11. Shi, Yan & Behrensdorf, Jasper & Zhou, Jiayan & Hu, Yue & Broggi, Matteo & Beer, Michael, 2024. "Network reliability analysis through survival signature and machine learning techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    12. Huang, Cheng-Hao & Huang, Ding-Hsiang & Lin, Yi-Kuei, 2023. "Network reliability prediction for random capacitated-flow networks via an artificial neural network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    13. Wei, Yupeng & Wu, Dazhong, 2023. "Prediction of state of health and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery using graph convolutional network with dual attention mechanisms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    14. Wang, Shunli & Wu, Fan & Takyi-Aninakwa, Paul & Fernandez, Carlos & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Huang, Qi, 2023. "Improved singular filtering-Gaussian process regression-long short-term memory model for whole-life-cycle remaining capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries adaptive to fast aging and multi-curren," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    15. Shu, Xing & Shen, Jiangwei & Chen, Zheng & Zhang, Yuanjian & Liu, Yonggang & Lin, Yan, 2022. "Remaining capacity estimation for lithium-ion batteries via co-operation of multi-machine learning algorithms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    16. Meng, Huixing & Geng, Mengyao & Xing, Jinduo & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "A hybrid method for prognostics of lithium-ion batteries capacity considering regeneration phenomena," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    17. Lin, Mingqiang & Wu, Jian & Meng, Jinhao & Wang, Wei & Wu, Ji, 2023. "State of health estimation with attentional long short-term memory network for lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    18. Yazdi, Mohammad & Khan, Faisal & Abbassi, Rouzbeh & Quddus, Noor & Castaneda-Lopez, Homero, 2022. "A review of risk-based decision-making models for microbiologically influenced corrosion (MIC) in offshore pipelines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rauf, Huzaifa & Khalid, Muhammad & Arshad, Naveed, 2022. "Machine learning in state of health and remaining useful life estimation: Theoretical and technological development in battery degradation modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    2. Zhang, Jiusi & Jiang, Yuchen & Li, Xiang & Huo, Mingyi & Luo, Hao & Yin, Shen, 2022. "An adaptive remaining useful life prediction approach for single battery with unlabeled small sample data and parameter uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Cao, Mengda & Zhang, Tao & Liu, Yajie & Zhang, Yajun & Wang, Yu & Li, Kaiwen, 2022. "An ensemble learning prognostic method for capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on the V-IOWGA operator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    4. Lin, Mingqiang & You, Yuqiang & Wang, Wei & Wu, Ji, 2023. "Battery health prognosis with gated recurrent unit neural networks and hidden Markov model considering uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    5. He, Jiabei & Tian, Yi & Wu, Lifeng, 2022. "A hybrid data-driven method for rapid prediction of lithium-ion battery capacity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    6. Tang, Ting & Yuan, Huimei, 2022. "A hybrid approach based on decomposition algorithm and neural network for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Kong, Jin-zhen & Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Xi & Pan, Ershun & Peng, Zhike & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Voltage-temperature health feature extraction to improve prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    8. Ma, Yan & Shan, Ce & Gao, Jinwu & Chen, Hong, 2023. "Multiple health indicators fusion-based health prognostic for lithium-ion battery using transfer learning and hybrid deep learning method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    9. Ardeshiri, Reza Rouhi & Liu, Ming & Ma, Chengbin, 2022. "Multivariate stacked bidirectional long short term memory for lithium-ion battery health management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    10. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    11. Sui, Xin & He, Shan & Vilsen, Søren B. & Meng, Jinhao & Teodorescu, Remus & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan, 2021. "A review of non-probabilistic machine learning-based state of health estimation techniques for Lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    12. Bai, Guangxing & Su, Yunsheng & Rahman, Maliha Maisha & Wang, Zequn, 2023. "Prognostics of Lithium-Ion batteries using knowledge-constrained machine learning and Kalman filtering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    13. Son, Seho & Jeong, Siheon & Kwak, Eunji & Kim, Jun-hyeong & Oh, Ki-Yong, 2022. "Integrated framework for SOH estimation of lithium-ion batteries using multiphysics features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    14. Wang, Fujin & Zhao, Zhibin & Zhai, Zhi & Guo, Yanjie & Xi, Huan & Wang, Shibin & Chen, Xuefeng, 2023. "Feature disentanglement and tendency retainment with domain adaptation for Lithium-ion battery capacity estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    15. Xue, Qiao & Li, Junqiu & Xu, Peipei, 2022. "Machine learning based swift online capacity prediction of lithium-ion battery through whole cycle life," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    16. Che, Yunhong & Zheng, Yusheng & Wu, Yue & Sui, Xin & Bharadwaj, Pallavi & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Yang, Yalian & Hu, Xiaosong & Teodorescu, Remus, 2022. "Data efficient health prognostic for batteries based on sequential information-driven probabilistic neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    17. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    18. Kurucan, Mehmet & Özbaltan, Mete & Yetgin, Zeki & Alkaya, Alkan, 2024. "Applications of artificial neural network based battery management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    19. Zhongxian Sun & Weilin He & Junlei Wang & Xin He, 2024. "State of Health Estimation for Lithium-Ion Batteries with Deep Learning Approach and Direct Current Internal Resistance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-14, May.
    20. Liu, Xingheng & Matias, José & Jäschke, Johannes & Vatn, Jørn, 2022. "Gibbs sampler for noisy Transformed Gamma process: Inference and remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021005524. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.