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Integrated risk management of safety and development on transportation corridors

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  • Thekdi, Shital A.
  • Lambert, James H.

Abstract

Prioritization of investments to protect safety and performance of multi-regional transportation networks from adjacent land development is a key concern for infrastructure agencies, land developers, and other stakeholders. Despite ample literature describing relationships between transportation and land use, no evidence-based methods exist for monitoring corridor needs on a large scale. Risk analysis is essential to the preservation of system safety and capacity, including avoidance of costly retrofits, regret, and belated action. This paper introduces the Corridor Trace Analysis (CTA) for prioritizing corridor segments that are vulnerable to adjacent land development. The method integrates several components: (i) estimation of likelihood of adjacent land development, using influence diagram and rule-based modeling, (ii) characterization of access point density using geospatial methods, and (iii) plural-model evaluation of corridors, monitoring indices of land development likelihood, access point densities, and traffic volumes. The results inform deployment of options that include closing access points, restricting development, and negotiation of agencies and developers. The CTA method is demonstrated on a region encompassing 6000 centerline miles (about 10,000km) of transportation corridors. The method will be of interest to managers investing in safety and performance of infrastructure systems, balancing safety, financial, and other criteria of concern for diverse stakeholders.

Suggested Citation

  • Thekdi, Shital A. & Lambert, James H., 2015. "Integrated risk management of safety and development on transportation corridors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:138:y:2015:i:c:p:1-12
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2014.11.015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander S. Linthicum & James H. Lambert, 2010. "Risk management for infrastructure corridors vulnerable to adjacent land development," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 983-1006, December.
    2. F Wu & C J Webster, 1998. "Simulation of Land Development through the Integration of Cellular Automata and Multicriteria Evaluation," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 25(1), pages 103-126, February.
    3. Teng, Kuei-Yung & Thekdi, Shital A. & Lambert, James H., 2012. "Identification and evaluation of priorities in the business process of a risk or safety organization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 74-86.
    4. Rosqvist, Tony, 2010. "On the validation of risk analysis—A commentary," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1261-1265.
    5. Michelle C. Hamilton & Shital A. Thekdi & Elisabeth M. Jenicek & Russell S. Harmon & Michael E. Goodsite & Michael P. Case & Christopher W. Karvetski & James H. Lambert, 2013. "Case studies of scenario analysis for adaptive management of natural resource and infrastructure systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 89-103, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    5. Alsultan, Marwan & Jun, Jungwook & Lambert, James H., 2020. "Program evaluation of highway access with innovative risk-cost-benefit analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    6. Xu, Wangtu (Ato) & Long, Ying & Zhang, Wei, 2019. "Prioritizing future funding and construction of the planned high-speed rail corridors of China – According to regional structure and urban land development potential indices," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 381-395.
    7. Pennetti, Cody A. & Fontaine, Michael D. & Jun, Jungwook & Lambert, James H., 2020. "Evaluating capacity of transportation operations with highway travel time reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    8. Hamilton, Michelle C. & Lambert, James H. & Connelly, Elizabeth B. & Barker, Kash, 2016. "Resilience analytics with disruption of preferences and lifecycle cost analysis for energy microgrids," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 11-21.

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