IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v637y2024ics0378437124000396.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Renyi entropy based design of heavy tailed distribution for return of financial assets

Author

Listed:
  • Van Tran, Quang
  • Kukal, Jaromir

Abstract

It is well-known that returns of financial assets exhibit heavy tail property and there has been no distribution which can reliably capture this characteristic so far. To contribute to the solution of this problem, we derive a new heavy tail distribution using the maximum entropy principle for Renyi entropy under the absolute moment constraints. Our newly derived distribution with two shape parameters forms a family of distributions. They are smooth, scaleable, symmetric and may be heavy tailed if their shape parameter attains the appropriate value. As a result, parameters of this distribution can be estimated by maximum likelihood estimation technique. The ability of the derived distribution to model the heavy tail property of financial assets is verified on a range of financial instruments. The results we obtained show that it can be a better option for modeling the returns of financial assets compared to other well-known heavy tailed distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Van Tran, Quang & Kukal, Jaromir, 2024. "Renyi entropy based design of heavy tailed distribution for return of financial assets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:637:y:2024:i:c:s0378437124000396
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2024.129531
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437124000396
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2024.129531?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Park, Sung Y. & Bera, Anil K., 2009. "Maximum entropy autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 219-230, June.
    2. Panayiotis Theodossiou, 1998. "Financial Data and the Skewed Generalized T Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(12-Part-1), pages 1650-1661, December.
    3. Tran, Quang Van & Kukal, Jaromir, 2022. "A novel heavy tail distribution of logarithmic returns of cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    4. Tata Subba Rao & Granville Tunnicliffe Wilson & Andrew Harvey & Rutger-Jan Lange, 2017. "Volatility Modeling with a Generalized t Distribution," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 175-190, March.
    5. Federica De Domenico & Giacomo Livan & Guido Montagna & Oreste Nicrosini, 2023. "Modeling and Simulation of Financial Returns under Non-Gaussian Distributions," Papers 2302.02769, arXiv.org.
    6. Eryiğit, Mehmet & Çukur, Sadik & Eryiğit, Resul, 2009. "Tail distribution of index fluctuations in World markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(9), pages 1879-1886.
    7. Benoit Mandelbrot, 1962. "Paretian Distributions and Income Maximization," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 76(1), pages 57-85.
    8. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2012. "Maximum entropy distributions inferred from option portfolios on an asset," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 293-318, April.
    9. Alex Dytso & Ronit Bustin & H. Vincent Poor & Shlomo Shamai, 2018. "Analytical properties of generalized Gaussian distributions," Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-40, December.
    10. Tanaka, Ken’ichiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2013. "Discrete approximations of continuous distributions by maximum entropy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(3), pages 445-450.
    11. Eugene F. Fama, 1963. "Mandelbrot and the Stable Paretian Hypothesis," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 420-420.
    12. McDonald, James B. & Newey, Whitney K., 1988. "Partially Adaptive Estimation of Regression Models via the Generalized T Distribution," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 428-457, December.
    13. De Domenico, Federica & Livan, Giacomo & Montagna, Guido & Nicrosini, Oreste, 2023. "Modeling and simulation of financial returns under non-Gaussian distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 622(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Victor Korolev, 2023. "Analytic and Asymptotic Properties of the Generalized Student and Generalized Lomax Distributions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, June.
    2. Higbee, Joshua D. & McDonald, James B., 2024. "A comparison of the GB2 and skewed generalized log-t distributions with an application in finance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
    3. BenSaïda, Ahmed & Slim, Skander, 2016. "Highly flexible distributions to fit multiple frequency financial returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 442(C), pages 203-213.
    4. Harvey, A., 2021. "Score-driven time series models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2133, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Turan Bali & Panayiotis Theodossiou, 2007. "A conditional-SGT-VaR approach with alternative GARCH models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 241-267, April.
    6. Klein, Ingo & Fischer, Matthias J., 2003. "Skewness by splitting the scale parameter," Discussion Papers 55/2003, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Statistics and Econometrics.
    7. C. James Hueng & Ruey Yau, 2006. "Investor preferences and portfolio selection: is diversification an appropriate strategy?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 255-271.
    8. Laura Garcia‐Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2021. "Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 189-212, March.
    9. Lin, Chu-Hsiung & Changchien, Chang-Cheng & Kao, Tzu-Chuan & Kao, Wei-Shun, 2014. "High-order moments and extreme value approach for value-at-risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 421-434.
    10. Tae-Hwy Lee & Yong Bao & Burak Saltoğlu, 2007. "Comparing density forecast models Previous versions of this paper have been circulated with the title, 'A Test for Density Forecast Comparison with Applications to Risk Management' since October 2003;," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 203-225.
    11. Dufera, Tamirat Temesgen, 2024. "Fractional Brownian motion in option pricing and dynamic delta hedging: Experimental simulations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    12. M. Kateregga & S. Mataramvura & D. Taylor, 2017. "Parameter estimation for stable distributions with application to commodity futures log-returns," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1318813-131, January.
    13. Adcock, C.J. & Shutes, K., 2005. "An analysis of skewness and skewness persistence in three emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 396-418, December.
    14. C. James Hueng, 2006. "Short-sales constraints and stock return asymmetry: evidence from the Chinese stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(10), pages 707-716.
    15. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2020. "A dominance approach for comparing the performance of VaR forecasting models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 1411-1448, September.
    16. Andrew Harvey & Ryoko Ito, 2017. "Modeling time series with zero observations," Economics Papers 2017-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    17. C. J. Adcock, 2005. "Exploiting skewness to build an optimal hedge fund with a currency overlay," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 445-462.
    18. López-Martín, Carmen & Arguedas-Sanz, Raquel & Muela, Sonia Benito, 2022. "A cryptocurrency empirical study focused on evaluating their distribution functions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 387-407.
    19. Paola Zerilli, 2005. "Option pricing and spikes in volatility: theoretical and empirical analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 76, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    20. Hansen, James V. & McDonald, James B. & Turley, Robert S., 2006. "Partially adaptive robust estimation of regression models and applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 132-143, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Renyi entropy; Maximum entropy principle; Heavy tail distribution; Returns of financial assets; MLE parameter estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:637:y:2024:i:c:s0378437124000396. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.