IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v549y2020ics0378437119321715.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-term traffic volume prediction using GA-BP based on wavelet denoising and phase space reconstruction

Author

Listed:
  • Peng, Yanni
  • Xiang, Wanli

Abstract

Accurate traffic volume prediction can help traffic managers to control traffic well,and can also provide convenient travel routes for passengers. In order to better describe the non-stationary, complex and spatial correlation of traffic volume, the traffic prediction model is proposed based on wavelet denoising and phase space reconstruction (WD-PSR-GA-BP). Pure traffic volume is firstly preprocessed by wavelet denoising method. Subsequently, the prediction model is built by BP neural network, which is optimized by genetic algorithm. In addition, one-dimensional traffic volume is mapped to high-dimensional space by the theory of phase space reconstruction. The inputsof the prediction model are obtained by the reconstructed traffic volume datasets. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, two groups of datasets and different models are studied in the experiment of Section 4. The experimental results show that the proposed model is superior to all other competitors in terms of MAPE, RMSE, and MAE.

Suggested Citation

  • Peng, Yanni & Xiang, Wanli, 2020. "Short-term traffic volume prediction using GA-BP based on wavelet denoising and phase space reconstruction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:549:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119321715
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123913
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119321715
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.123913?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hou, Qinzhong & Leng, Junqiang & Ma, Guosheng & Liu, Weiyi & Cheng, Yuxing, 2019. "An adaptive hybrid model for short-term urban traffic flow prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    2. Tang, Jinjun & Chen, Xinqiang & Hu, Zheng & Zong, Fang & Han, Chunyang & Li, Leixiao, 2019. "Traffic flow prediction based on combination of support vector machine and data denoising schemes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    3. Wang, Yibing & Papageorgiou, Markos, 2005. "Real-time freeway traffic state estimation based on extended Kalman filter: a general approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 141-167, February.
    4. Zhang, Jin-Liang & Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Lu, 2015. "A novel hybrid method for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 649-659.
    5. Wen-chuan Wang & Kwok-wing Chau & Dong-mei Xu & Xiao-Yun Chen, 2015. "Improving Forecasting Accuracy of Annual Runoff Time Series Using ARIMA Based on EEMD Decomposition," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2655-2675, June.
    6. Tang, Jinjun & Wang, Yinhai & Liu, Fang, 2013. "Characterizing traffic time series based on complex network theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(18), pages 4192-4201.
    7. Wang, Shouxiang & Zhang, Na & Wu, Lei & Wang, Yamin, 2016. "Wind speed forecasting based on the hybrid ensemble empirical mode decomposition and GA-BP neural network method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 629-636.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Xinqiang & Chen, Huixing & Yang, Yongsheng & Wu, Huafeng & Zhang, Wenhui & Zhao, Jiansen & Xiong, Yong, 2021. "Traffic flow prediction by an ensemble framework with data denoising and deep learning model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    2. Ma, Changxi & Zhao, Mingxi & Huang, Xiaoting & Zhao, Yongpeng, 2024. "Optimized deep extreme learning machine for traffic prediction and autonomous vehicle lane change decision-making," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 633(C).
    3. Yang, Hongtai & Ping, An & Wei, Hongmin & Zhai, Guocong, 2023. "Unique in the metro system: The likelihood to re-identify a metro user with limited trajectory points," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 628(C).
    4. Zeng, Chao & Ma, Changxi & Wang, Ke & Cui, Zihao, 2022. "Predicting vacant parking space availability: A DWT-Bi-LSTM model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 599(C).
    5. Wang, Ke & Ma, Changxi & Qiao, Yihuan & Lu, Xijin & Hao, Weining & Dong, Sheng, 2021. "A hybrid deep learning model with 1DCNN-LSTM-Attention networks for short-term traffic flow prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 583(C).
    6. Xing Zhao & Chenxi Li & Xueting Zou & Xiwang Du & Ahmed Ismail, 2024. "Passenger Flow Prediction for Rail Transit Stations Based on an Improved SSA-LSTM Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
    7. Fei Qu & Yi-Ting Wang & Wen-Hui Hou & Xiao-Yu Zhou & Xiao-Kang Wang & Jun-Bo Li & Jian-Qiang Wang, 2022. "Forecasting of Automobile Sales Based on Support Vector Regression Optimized by the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-22, June.
    8. Yingli Wu & Xin Li & Qingquan Liu & Guangji Tong, 2022. "The Analysis of Credit Risks in Agricultural Supply Chain Finance Assessment Model Based on Genetic Algorithm and Backpropagation Neural Network," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(4), pages 1269-1292, December.
    9. Huang, Haichao & Chen, Jingya & Sun, Rui & Wang, Shuang, 2022. "Short-term traffic prediction based on time series decomposition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    10. Ma, Changxi & Zhao, Mingxi, 2023. "Spatio-temporal multi-graph convolutional network based on wavelet analysis for vehicle speed prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).
    11. Hou, Yue & Zhang, Di & Li, Da & Deng, Zhiyuan, 2024. "Regional traffic flow combination prediction model considering virtual space of the road network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
    12. Min Li & Mengshan Li & Bilong Liu & Jiang Liu & Zhen Liu & Dijia Luo, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Coordinated Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Deyun & Luo, Hongyuan & Grunder, Olivier & Lin, Yanbing, 2017. "Multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting using an improved wavelet neural network combining variational mode decomposition and phase space reconstruction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1345-1358.
    2. Quande Qin & Huangda He & Li Li & Ling-Yun He, 2020. "A Novel Decomposition-Ensemble Based Carbon Price Forecasting Model Integrated with Local Polynomial Prediction," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1249-1273, April.
    3. Peng Chen & Andrew Vivian & Cheng Ye, 2022. "Forecasting carbon futures price: a hybrid method incorporating fuzzy entropy and extreme learning machine," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 559-601, June.
    4. Wang, Delu & Wang, Yadong & Song, Xuefeng & Liu, Yun, 2018. "Coal overcapacity in China: Multiscale analysis and prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 244-257.
    5. Du, Pei & Wang, Jianzhou & Yang, Wendong & Niu, Tong, 2018. "Multi-step ahead forecasting in electrical power system using a hybrid forecasting system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 533-550.
    6. Yuebing Xu & Jing Zhang & Zuqiang Long & Yan Chen, 2018. "A Novel Dual-Scale Deep Belief Network Method for Daily Urban Water Demand Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-15, April.
    7. Qin, Quande & Xie, Kangqiang & He, Huangda & Li, Li & Chu, Xianghua & Wei, Yi-Ming & Wu, Teresa, 2019. "An effective and robust decomposition-ensemble energy price forecasting paradigm with local linear prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 402-414.
    8. Florin, Ryan & Olariu, Stephan, 2020. "Towards real-time density estimation using vehicle-to-vehicle communications," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 435-456.
    9. Li, Min & Yang, Yi & He, Zhaoshuang & Guo, Xinbo & Zhang, Ruisheng & Huang, Bingqing, 2023. "A wind speed forecasting model based on multi-objective algorithm and interpretability learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    10. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
    11. Kaijian He & Rui Zha & Jun Wu & Kin Keung Lai, 2016. "Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-11, April.
    12. Ahmed, R. & Sreeram, V. & Mishra, Y. & Arif, M.D., 2020. "A review and evaluation of the state-of-the-art in PV solar power forecasting: Techniques and optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    13. Mojtaba Qolipour & Ali Mostafaeipour & Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad & Hamid R Arabnia, 2019. "Prediction of wind speed using a new Grey-extreme learning machine hybrid algorithm: A case study," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(1), pages 44-62, February.
    14. Weijun Wang & Dan Zhao & Liguo Fan & Yulong Jia, 2019. "Study on Icing Prediction of Power Transmission Lines Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Feature Selection Optimized Extreme Learning Machine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-21, June.
    15. Yulian Zhang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Forecasting Crude Oil Market Crashes Using Machine Learning Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-14, May.
    16. Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç, 2022. "Crude oil time series prediction model based on LSTM network with chaotic Henry gas solubility optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    17. Zonggui Yao & Chen Wang, 2018. "A Hybrid Model Based on A Modified Optimization Algorithm and An Artificial Intelligence Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Speed Multi-Step Ahead Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-33, May.
    18. Salman Sharifazari & Shahab Araghinejad, 2015. "Development of a Nonparametric Model for Multivariate Hydrological Monthly Series Simulation Considering Climate Change Impacts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5309-5322, November.
    19. Junjie Fu & Xinqiang Chen & Shubo Wu & Chaojian Shi & Huafeng Wu & Jiansen Zhao & Pengwen Xiong, 2020. "Mining ship deficiency correlations from historical port state control (PSC) inspection data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, February.
    20. Dong, Zhen & Li, Zhongguo & Liang, Zhongchao & Xu, Yiqiao & Ding, Zhengtao, 2021. "Distributed neural network enhanced power generation strategy of large-scale wind power plant for power expansion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:549:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119321715. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.