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Dynamics of return and liquidity (co) jumps in emerging foreign exchange markets

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  • Serdengeçti, Süleyman
  • Sensoy, Ahmet
  • Nguyen, Duc Khuong

Abstract

We investigate the dynamics of return and liquidity (co) jumps for three of the most traded emerging market currencies vis-à-vis US dollar. Accordingly, an increase in the average bid-ask spread (realized volatility) significantly reduces the duration between consecutive return (liquidity) jumps, while liquidity and volatility only play a partial role on the duration between consecutive return-liquidity cojumps. There is also evidence of vicious return-liquidity spirals in views of the positive contemporaneous impact of liquidity jumps on volatility and return jumps on the bid-ask spread. Finally, scheduled macroeconomic news and central bank announcements increase the likelihood of both return and liquidity (co) jumps.

Suggested Citation

  • Serdengeçti, Süleyman & Sensoy, Ahmet & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2021. "Dynamics of return and liquidity (co) jumps in emerging foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:73:y:2021:i:c:s1042443121000962
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101377
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wang, Mengjiao & Liu, Jianxu & Yang, Bing, 2024. "Does the strength of the US dollar affect the interdependence among currency exchange rates of RCEP and CPTPP countries?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    3. Choi, Jin Ho & Suh, Sangwon, 2022. "Conditionally-hedged currency carry trades," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Ziyun Zhang & Sen Guo, 2021. "What Factors Affect the RMB Carry Trade Return for Sustainability? An Empirical Analysis by Using an ARDL Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.
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    6. Zhang, Ziyun & Chen, Su & Li, Bo, 2022. "Does previous carry trade position affect following investors' decision-making and carry returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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