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Currency jumps and crises: Do developed and emerging market currencies jump together?

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  • Chan, Kam Fong
  • Powell, John G.
  • Treepongkaruna, Sirimon

Abstract

Emerging market currencies tend to jump together, thus intensifying short-term risk, whereas developed market currency jumps and cojumps are much less prevalent. Emerging market currency jumps are considerably more severe, especially during crisis periods. Jumps represent a majority of emerging market currency volatility, in stark contrast to the much lower jump contribution previously documented for developed market currencies. Emerging market currency jumps and cojumps do not appear to respond to macroeconomic news announcements, a new result that is in sharp contrast to developed market currency jumps and cojumps.

Suggested Citation

  • Chan, Kam Fong & Powell, John G. & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon, 2014. "Currency jumps and crises: Do developed and emerging market currencies jump together?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 132-157.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:30:y:2014:i:c:p:132-157
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2014.08.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Kuttu, Saint & Aboagye, Anthony Q.Q. & Bokpin, Godfred A., 2018. "Evidence of time-varying conditional discrete jump dynamics in sub-Saharan African foreign exchange markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 211-226.
    2. Ayadi, Mohamed A. & Ben Omrane, Walid & Das, Deepan Kumar, 2024. "Macroeconomic news, senior officials' speeches, and emerging currency markets: An intraday analysis of price jump reaction," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
    4. Piyachart Phiromswad & Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Sabin Srivannaboon, 2021. "Jumps and Cojumps analyses of major and minor cryptocurrencies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-9, February.
    5. Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Sirimon Treepongkaruna, 2023. "Investor Attention and Global Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 22(1), pages 85-104, March.
    6. Nattapong Laksomya & John G. Powell & Suparatana Tanthanongsakkun & Sirimon Treepongkaruna, 2018. "Are Internet message boards used to facilitate stock price manipulation? Evidence from an emerging market, Thailand," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 275-309, November.
    7. Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Pavitra Jindahra & Pattarake Sarajoti & Sirimon Treepongkaruna, 2021. "The effect of COVID‐19 on the global stock market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 4923-4953, September.
    8. Seema REHMAN & Saqib SHARIF & Wali ULLAH, 2023. "Relative Signed Jump and Future Stock Returns," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 25-45, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bipower variation; Realized jump variation; Currency cojumps; Emerging markets; Macroeconomic announcements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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