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Robust estimation of intraweek periodicity in volatility and jump detection

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  • BOUDT, Kris
  • CROUX, Christophe
  • LAURENT, Sabéastien

Abstract

Opening, lunch and closing of financial markets induce a periodic component in the volatility of high-frequency returns. We show that price jumps cause a large bias in the classical periodicity estimators and propose robust alternatives. We find that accounting for periodicity greatly improves the accuracy of intraday jump detection methods. It increases the power to detect the relatively small jumps occurring at times for which volatility is periodically low and reduces the number of spurious jump detections at times of periodically high volatility. We use the series of detected jumps to estimate robustly the long memory parameter of the squared EUR/USD, GBP/USD and YEN/USD returns.
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Suggested Citation

  • BOUDT, Kris & CROUX, Christophe & LAURENT, Sabéastien, 2011. "Robust estimation of intraweek periodicity in volatility and jump detection," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2411, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvrp:2411
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2010.11.005
    Note: In : Journal of Empirical Finance, 18(2), 353-367, 2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, November.
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