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Macroeconomic News Announcements, Systemic Risk, Financial Market Volatility and Jumps

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Abstract

This paper studies financial market volatility and jump responses to macroeconomic news announcements. Based on two decades of high-frequency data, we finds that there are significantly more jumps on news days than on no-news days, with the bond market being more responsive than the equity market, and nonfarm payroll employment being the most influential news. Both the first moment of news surprises and the second moments of disagreement and uncertainty affect financial market responses, with their impact significance changing over different market and response types. Market responses to news vary with economic situations, financial systemic risk and the zero-lower-bound policy.

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  • Xin Huang, 2015. "Macroeconomic News Announcements, Systemic Risk, Financial Market Volatility and Jumps," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-97, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2015-97
    DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.097
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Omrane, Walid & Savaşer, Tanseli, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility response to macroeconomic news during the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 130-143.

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    Keywords

    Macroeconomic news announcements; realized variance; jumps; disagreement and uncertainty; economic derivatives; financial systemic risk;
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