IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v236y2021ics0360544221017679.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower plant considering the effects of climate change: A case study in the Longyangxia of China

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Zhikai
  • Liu, Pan
  • Cheng, Lei
  • Liu, Deli
  • Ming, Bo
  • Li, He
  • Xia, Qian

Abstract

Integrating intermittent photovoltaic (PV) power into dispatchable hydropower has become a promising way in the modern power systems. Despite being two primary energies, their planning and management often does not consider the effects of climate change. To determine the size of a PV plant appropriate for integration into a hydropower system, this study developed a climate–hydrology–operation framework to identify system resilience in a changing climate. This bottom-up framework comprises four modules: (1) a weather generation and hydrology simulation module; (2) a GCMs forecast information module; (3) a hydro/PV integrated operation optimization module; and (4) a resilience evaluation module. With a case study of the China's Longyangxia hybrid hydro/PV power system, our analysis revealed conclusions as follows. (1) This complementary propertity of precipitation and radiation in the study area provides a driving mechanism for complementary operation of the hybrid power system. (2) Precipitation and radiation are the factors dominating the variation of the system reliability and economy under climate change, respectively. (3) The optimal size of the PV plant is 600–800 MW, in this range, the hybrid power system exerts an excellent operational capacity adaptive to climate change, and it performs satisfactorily in terms of reliability and economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Zhikai & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Liu, Deli & Ming, Bo & Li, He & Xia, Qian, 2021. "Sizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower plant considering the effects of climate change: A case study in the Longyangxia of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:236:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221017679
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121519
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221017679
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121519?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Dahai & Wang, Jiaqi & Lin, Yonggang & Si, Yulin & Huang, Can & Yang, Jing & Huang, Bin & Li, Wei, 2017. "Present situation and future prospect of renewable energy in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 865-871.
    2. Peter, Jakob, 2019. "How does climate change affect electricity system planning and optimal allocation of variable renewable energy?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Li, Dingfang, 2021. "Identifying the effect of forecast uncertainties on hybrid power system operation: A case study of Longyangxia hydro–photovoltaic plant in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1303-1321.
    4. Miroslav Trnka & Reimund P. Rötter & Margarita Ruiz-Ramos & Kurt Christian Kersebaum & Jørgen E. Olesen & Zdeněk Žalud & Mikhail A. Semenov, 2014. "Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(7), pages 637-643, July.
    5. Michael Jakob & Jan Christoph Steckel & Stephan Klasen & Jann Lay & Nicole Grunewald & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Sebastian Renner & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2014. "Feasible mitigation actions in developing countries," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(11), pages 961-968, November.
    6. Huang, Kangdi & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Kim, Jong-Suk & Gong, Yu, 2021. "Economic operation of a wind-solar-hydro complementary system considering risks of output shortage, power curtailment and spilled water," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    7. Xiao, Dengpan & Liu, De Li & Wang, Bin & Feng, Puyu & Bai, Huizi & Tang, Jianzhao, 2020. "Climate change impact on yields and water use of wheat and maize in the North China Plain under future climate change scenarios," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    8. Peter, Jakob, 2019. "How Does Climate Change Affect Optimal Allocation of Variable Renewable Energy?," EWI Working Papers 2019-3, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    9. B. H. Samset & J. S. Fuglestvedt & M. T. Lund, 2020. "Delayed emergence of a global temperature response after emission mitigation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Zhou, Yanlai & Chang, Fi-John & Chang, Li-Chiu & Lee, Wei-De & Huang, Angela & Xu, Chong-Yu & Guo, Shenglian, 2020. "An advanced complementary scheme of floating photovoltaic and hydropower generation flourishing water-food-energy nexus synergies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    11. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Cheng, Lei & Zhou, Yanlai & Gao, Shida & Li, He, 2018. "Robust hydroelectric unit commitment considering integration of large-scale photovoltaic power: A case study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1341-1352.
    12. Wang, Bin & Feng, Puyu & Chen, Chao & Liu, De Li & Waters, Cathy & Yu, Qiang, 2019. "Designing wheat ideotypes to cope with future changing climate in South-Eastern Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 9-18.
    13. Turner, Sean W.D. & Hejazi, Mohamad & Kim, Son H. & Clarke, Leon & Edmonds, Jae, 2017. "Climate impacts on hydropower and consequences for global electricity supply investment needs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 2081-2090.
    14. Declan Conway & Carole Dalin & Willem A. Landman & Timothy J. Osborn, 2017. "Hydropower plans in eastern and southern Africa increase risk of concurrent climate-related electricity supply disruption," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(12), pages 946-953, December.
    15. Maleki, Akbar & Ameri, Mehran & Keynia, Farshid, 2015. "Scrutiny of multifarious particle swarm optimization for finding the optimal size of a PV/wind/battery hybrid system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 552-563.
    16. V. Savo & D. Lepofsky & J. P. Benner & K. E. Kohfeld & J. Bailey & K. Lertzman, 2016. "Observations of climate change among subsistence-oriented communities around the world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 462-473, May.
    17. Xu, Weifeng & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Zhou, Yong & Xia, Qian & Gong, Yu & Liu, Yini, 2021. "Multi-step wind speed prediction by combining a WRF simulation and an error correction strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 772-782.
    18. Hussain, Akhtar & Arif, Syed Muhammad & Aslam, Muhammad, 2017. "Emerging renewable and sustainable energy technologies: State of the art," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 12-28.
    19. De Liu & Heping Zuo, 2012. "Statistical downscaling of daily climate variables for climate change impact assessment over New South Wales, Australia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 629-666, December.
    20. Müller, Johannes & Folini, Doris & Wild, Martin & Pfenninger, Stefan, 2019. "CMIP-5 models project photovoltaics are a no-regrets investment in Europe irrespective of climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 135-148.
    21. Zhao, Xiaohu & Huang, Guohe & Lu, Chen & Zhou, Xiong & Li, Yongping, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on photovoltaic energy potential: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    22. Tan, Qiaofeng & Wen, Xin & Sun, Yuanliang & Lei, Xiaohui & Wang, Zhenni & Qin, Guanghua, 2021. "Evaluation of the risk and benefit of the complementary operation of the large wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system considering forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    23. Burnett, Dougal & Barbour, Edward & Harrison, Gareth P., 2014. "The UK solar energy resource and the impact of climate change," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 333-343.
    24. A. T. D. Perera & Vahid M. Nik & Deliang Chen & Jean-Louis Scartezzini & Tianzhen Hong, 2020. "Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 150-159, February.
    25. Schaeffer, Roberto & Szklo, Alexandre Salem & Pereira de Lucena, André Frossard & Moreira Cesar Borba, Bruno Soares & Pupo Nogueira, Larissa Pinheiro & Fleming, Fernanda Pereira & Troccoli, Alberto & , 2012. "Energy sector vulnerability to climate change: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-12.
    26. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Zhang, Xiaoqi & Feng, Maoyuan & Wang, Xianxun, 2017. "Optimizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower reservoir by incorporating long- and short-term operational decisions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 432-445.
    27. De Li Liu & Garry J. O’Leary & Brendan Christy & Ian Macadam & Bin Wang & Muhuddin R. Anwar & Anna Weeks, 2017. "Effects of different climate downscaling methods on the assessment of climate change impacts on wheat cropping systems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(4), pages 687-701, October.
    28. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Cheng, Lei & Zhang, Jingwen, 2019. "Hydropower reservoir reoperation to adapt to large-scale photovoltaic power generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 268-279.
    29. Tarroja, Brian & AghaKouchak, Amir & Samuelsen, Scott, 2016. "Quantifying climate change impacts on hydropower generation and implications on electric grid greenhouse gas emissions and operation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 295-305.
    30. Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Lihua Xiong & Wei Li & Honggang Zhang, 2006. "Deriving Reservoir Refill Operating Rules by Using the Proposed DPNS Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(3), pages 337-357, June.
    31. Teotónio, Carla & Fortes, Patrícia & Roebeling, Peter & Rodriguez, Miguel & Robaina-Alves, Margarita, 2017. "Assessing the impacts of climate change on hydropower generation and the power sector in Portugal: A partial equilibrium approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 788-799.
    32. Kun Yang & Baisheng Ye & Degang Zhou & Bingyi Wu & Thomas Foken & Jun Qin & Zhaoye Zhou, 2011. "Response of hydrological cycle to recent climate changes in the Tibetan Plateau," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 517-534, December.
    33. Yuan, Wenlin & Wang, Xinqi & Su, Chengguo & Cheng, Chuntian & Liu, Zhe & Wu, Zening, 2021. "Stochastic optimization model for the short-term joint operation of photovoltaic power and hydropower plants based on chance-constrained programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Jingxian & Liu, Junyong & Qiu, Gao & Liu, Jichun & Jawad, Shafqat & Zhang, Shuai, 2023. "A spatio-temporality-enabled parallel multi-agent-based real-time dynamic dispatch for hydro-PV-PHS integrated power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    2. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Xia, Jun & Ming, Bo & Cheng, Lei & Chen, Jie & Xie, Kang & Liu, Zheyuan & Li, Xiao, 2022. "Contribution of complementary operation in adapting to climate change impacts on a large-scale wind–solar–hydro system: A case study in the Yalong River Basin, China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    3. Jiang, Jianhua & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Guo, Yi & Shang, Jia’nan & Jurasz, Jakub & Liu, Pan, 2023. "A holistic techno-economic evaluation framework for sizing renewable power plant in a hydro-based hybrid generation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
    4. Zhou, Siyu & Han, Yang & Zalhaf, Amr S. & Chen, Shuheng & Zhou, Te & Yang, Ping & Elboshy, Bahaa, 2023. "A novel multi-objective scheduling model for grid-connected hydro-wind-PV-battery complementary system under extreme weather: A case study of Sichuan, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 818-833.
    5. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Xia, Qian & Cheng, Lei & Ming, Bo & Zhang, Wei & Xu, Weifeng & Zheng, Yalian & Han, Dongyang & Xia, Jun, 2023. "An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro–photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    6. Huang, Kangdi & Liu, Pan & Kim, Jong-Suk & Xu, Weifeng & Gong, Yu & Cheng, Qian & Zhou, Yong, 2023. "A model coupling current non-adjustable, coming adjustable and remaining stages for daily generation scheduling of a wind-solar-hydro complementary system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    7. Enas Taha Sayed & Abdul Ghani Olabi & Abdul Hai Alami & Ali Radwan & Ayman Mdallal & Ahmed Rezk & Mohammad Ali Abdelkareem, 2023. "Renewable Energy and Energy Storage Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-26, February.
    8. Yang, Zhikai & Liu, Pan & Xia, Qian & Li, He & Cheng, Qian & Cheng, Lei, 2024. "Operating rules for hydro-photovoltaic systems: A variance-based sensitivity analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 372(C).
    9. Noorollahi, Younes & Golshanfard, Aminabbas & Hashemi-Dezaki, Hamed, 2022. "A scenario-based approach for optimal operation of energy hub under different schemes and structures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    10. Lei, Hongxuan & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Qian & Xu, Huan & Liu, Weibo & Zheng, Yalian & Chen, Xiangding & Zhou, Yong, 2024. "Frequency, duration, severity of energy drought and its propagation in hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    11. Fathy, Ahmed & Ferahtia, Seydali & Rezk, Hegazy & Yousri, Dalia & Abdelkareem, Mohammad Ali & Olabi, A.G., 2022. "Optimal adaptive fuzzy management strategy for fuel cell-based DC microgrid," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Xia, Qian & Cheng, Lei & Ming, Bo & Zhang, Wei & Xu, Weifeng & Zheng, Yalian & Han, Dongyang & Xia, Jun, 2023. "An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro–photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Li, He & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Cheng, Lei & Huang, Kangdi & Feng, Maoyuan & He, Shaokun & Ming, Bo, 2021. "Deriving adaptive long-term complementary operating rules for a large-scale hydro-photovoltaic hybrid power plant using ensemble Kalman filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    3. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Xu, Weifeng & Huang, Kangdi & Li, Xiao, 2021. "Deriving pack rules for hydro–photovoltaic hybrid power systems considering diminishing marginal benefit of energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    4. Cohen, Stuart M. & Dyreson, Ana & Turner, Sean & Tidwell, Vince & Voisin, Nathalie & Miara, Ariel, 2022. "A multi-model framework for assessing long- and short-term climate influences on the electric grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 317(C).
    5. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Yang, Zhikai & Cheng, Lei & Liu, Zheyuan & Huang, Kangdi & Xu, Weifeng & Gong, Lanqiang, 2024. "Synchronizing short-, mid-, and long-term operations of hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    6. Xu, Shitian & Liu, Pan & Li, Xiao & Cheng, Qian & Liu, Zheyuan, 2023. "Deriving long-term operating rules of the hydro-wind-PV hybrid energy system considering electricity price," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    7. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Feng, Maoyuan & Cheng, Lei & Ming, Bo & Luo, Xinran & Liu, Weibo & Xu, Weifeng & Huang, Kangdi & Xia, Jun, 2023. "Complementary operation with wind and photovoltaic power induces the decrease in hydropower efficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    8. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Li, Dingfang, 2021. "Identifying the effect of forecast uncertainties on hybrid power system operation: A case study of Longyangxia hydro–photovoltaic plant in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1303-1321.
    9. Jiang, Jianhua & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Guo, Yi & Shang, Jia’nan & Jurasz, Jakub & Liu, Pan, 2023. "A holistic techno-economic evaluation framework for sizing renewable power plant in a hydro-based hybrid generation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
    10. Jiang, Jianhua & Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Huang, Qiang & Guo, Yi & Chang, Jianxia & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Refining long-term operation of large hydro–photovoltaic–wind hybrid systems by nesting response functions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 359-371.
    11. Guo, Yi & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Wang, Yimin & Zheng, Xudong & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Risk-averse day-ahead generation scheduling of hydro–wind–photovoltaic complementary systems considering the steady requirement of power delivery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
    12. Li, Yan & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Wang, Yimin & Liu, Pan & Guo, Pengcheng, 2022. "Identifying effective operating rules for large hydro–solar–wind hybrid systems based on an implicit stochastic optimization framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    13. Zhang, Yusheng & Ma, Chao & Yang, Yang & Pang, Xiulan & Liu, Lu & Lian, Jijian, 2021. "Study on short-term optimal operation of cascade hydro-photovoltaic hybrid systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    14. Plaga, Leonie Sara & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    15. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Feng, Maoyuan & Huang, Kangdi & Wang, Yibo, 2022. "Identifying the functional form of operating rules for hydro–photovoltaic hybrid power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    16. Wang, Yanling & Wen, Xin & Su, Huaying & Qin, Jisen & Kong, Linghui, 2023. "Real-time dispatch of hydro-photovoltaic (PV) hybrid system based on dynamic load reserve capacity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    17. Figueiredo, Raquel & Nunes, Pedro & Brito, Miguel C., 2021. "The resilience of a decarbonized power system to climate variability: Portuguese case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    18. Li, He & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Zuo, Qiting & Cheng, Lei & Tao, Jie & Huang, Kangdi & Yang, Zhikai & Han, Dongyang & Ming, Bo, 2022. "Integrating teleconnection factors into long-term complementary operating rules for hybrid power systems: A case study of Longyangxia hydro-photovoltaic plant in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 517-534.
    19. Jin, Xiaoyu & Liu, Benxi & Liao, Shengli & Cheng, Chuntian & Yan, Zhiyu, 2022. "A Wasserstein metric-based distributionally robust optimization approach for reliable-economic equilibrium operation of hydro-wind-solar energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 204-219.
    20. Fortes, Patrícia & Simoes, Sofia G. & Amorim, Filipa & Siggini, Gildas & Sessa, Valentina & Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie & Carvalho, Sílvia & Mujtaba, Babar & Diogo, Paulo & Assoumou, Edi, 2022. "How sensitive is a carbon-neutral power sector to climate change? The interplay between hydro, solar and wind for Portugal," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:236:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221017679. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.