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Modeling consideration sets and brand choice using artificial neural networks

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  • Vroomen, Bjorn
  • Hans Franses, Philip
  • van Nierop, Erjen

Abstract

The concept of consideration sets makes brand choice a two-step process. House-holds first construct a consideration set which not necessarily includes all available brands and conditional on this set they make a final choice. In this paper we put forward a parametric econometric model for this two-step process, where we take into account that consideration sets usually are not observed. It turns out that our model is an artificial neural network, where the consideration set corresponds with the hidden layer. We discuss representation, parameter estimation and inference. We illustrate our model for the choice between six detergent brands and show that the model improves upon a one-step multinomial logit model, in terms of fit and out-of-sample forecasting.
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  • Vroomen, Bjorn & Hans Franses, Philip & van Nierop, Erjen, 2004. "Modeling consideration sets and brand choice using artificial neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 206-217, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:154:y:2004:i:1:p:206-217
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    Cited by:

    1. Y Hayashi & M-H Hsieh & R Setiono, 2009. "Predicting consumer preference for fast-food franchises: a data mining approach," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(9), pages 1221-1229, September.
    2. Manash Pratim Kashyap, 2011. "Brand Categorization Process for Staple Goods: Comparison between Rural and Urban Customers," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 2(4), pages 162-172.
    3. Hauser, John R., 2014. "Consideration-set heuristics," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(8), pages 1688-1699.
    4. Potharst, R. & van Rijthoven, M. & van Wezel, M.C., 2005. "Modeling brand choice using boosted and stacked neural networks," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2005-05, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics
    • M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing

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