IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v172y2013i1p1-13.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation in threshold autoregressive models with a stationary and a unit root regime

Author

Listed:
  • Gao, Jiti
  • Tjøstheim, Dag
  • Yin, Jiying

Abstract

This paper treats estimation in a class of new nonlinear threshold autoregressive models with both a stationary and a unit root regime. Existing literature on nonstationary threshold models has basically focused on models where the nonstationarity can be removed by differencing and/or where the threshold variable is stationary. This is not the case for the process we consider, and nonstandard estimation problems are the result.

Suggested Citation

  • Gao, Jiti & Tjøstheim, Dag & Yin, Jiying, 2013. "Estimation in threshold autoregressive models with a stationary and a unit root regime," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:1:p:1-13
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.12.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407612002047
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.12.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gao, Jiti & King, Maxwell & Lu, Zudi & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2009. "Nonparametric Specification Testing For Nonlinear Time Series With Nonstationarity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1869-1892, December.
    2. Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 413-430, March.
    3. Gao, Jiti, 2007. "Nonlinear time series: semiparametric and nonparametric methods," MPRA Paper 39563, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2007.
    4. Wang, Qiying & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2009. "Asymptotic Theory For Local Time Density Estimation And Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 710-738, June.
    5. Qiying Wang & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2009. "Structural Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(6), pages 1901-1948, November.
    6. Jia Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li, 2009. "Semiparametric Regression Estimation in Null Recurrent Nonlinear Time Series," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2009-02, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    7. Frédérique Bec & Anders Rahbek & Neil Shephard, 2008. "The ACR Model: A Multivariate Dynamic Mixture Autoregression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(5), pages 583-618, October.
    8. Phillips, P C B, 1987. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
    9. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
    10. Phillips, P C B, 1987. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
    11. Mehmet Caner & Bruce E. Hansen, 2001. "Threshold Autoregression with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(6), pages 1555-1596, November.
    12. Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & Granger, Clive W. J., 2010. "Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199587155.
    13. Peter C.B. Phillips & Joon Y. Park, 1998. "Nonstationary Density Estimation and Kernel Autoregression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1181, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    14. Park, Joon Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 2001. "Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 117-161, January.
    15. Cai, Zongwu & Li, Qi & Park, Joon Y., 2009. "Functional-coefficient models for nonstationary time series data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 101-113, February.
    16. Myklebust, Terje & Karlsen, Hans Arnfinn & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2012. "Null Recurrent Unit Root Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 1-41, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Biqing Cai & Jiti Gao & Dag Tjøstheim, 2017. "A New Class of Bivariate Threshold Cointegration Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 288-305, April.
    2. Gao, Jiti & Kanaya, Shin & Li, Degui & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2015. "Uniform Consistency For Nonparametric Estimators In Null Recurrent Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(5), pages 911-952, October.
    3. Bravo, Francesco & Li, Degui & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2021. "Robust nonlinear regression estimation in null recurrent time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 416-438.
    4. Gao, Jiti, 2012. "Identification, Estimation and Specification in a Class of Semi-Linear Time Series Models," MPRA Paper 39256, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 May 2012.
    5. Yaxing Yang & Shiqing Ling, 2018. "A Note On The Lse Of Three-Regime Tar Model With An Infinite Variance," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-13, June.
    6. Francesco Giordano & Marcella Niglio & Cosimo Damiano Vitale, 2017. "Unit Root Testing in Presence of a Double Threshold Process," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 539-556, June.
    7. Victor V. Konev & Sergey E. Vorobeychikov, 2022. "Fixed accuracy estimation of parameters in a threshold autoregressive model," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(4), pages 685-711, August.
    8. Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji & Madan L. Puri & Michel Harel & Echarif Elharfaoui, 2019. "Testing nonstationary and absolutely regular nonlinear time series models," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 557-593, October.
    9. George Athanasopoulos & Minfeng Deng & Gang Li & Haiyan Song, 2013. "Domestic and outbound tourism demand in Australia: a System-of-Equations Approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    10. James A. Duffy & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Sam Wycherley, 2022. "Cointegration with Occasionally Binding Constraints," Papers 2211.09604, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    11. Thouraya Boujelbène Dammak & Kamel Helali, 2016. "A Nonlinear Approach to Tunisian Inflation Rate," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 19(61), pages 147-164, September.
    12. Bykhovskaya, Anna & Duffy, James A., 2024. "The local to unity dynamic Tobit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(2).
    13. Li, Degui & Li, Runze, 2016. "Local composite quantile regression smoothing for Harris recurrent Markov processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 44-56.
    14. Jiti Gao & Maxwell King, 2012. "An Improved Nonparametric Unit-Root Test," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 16/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    15. Duan Lianjie, 2023. "Export Cutoff Productivity, Uncertainty and Duration of Waiting for Exporting," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19, January.
    16. Lihua Feng & Gaoyuan Luo, 2014. "Application of a nonlinear model in landfall number forecasting for tropical cyclones in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1475-1482, September.
    17. Anna Bykhovskaya & James A. Duffy, 2022. "The Local to Unity Dynamic Tobit Model," Papers 2210.02599, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    18. Yang, Yaxing & Ling, Shiqing, 2017. "Self-weighted LAD-based inference for heavy-tailed threshold autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 368-381.
    19. Jiti Gao, 2012. "Identification, Estimation and Specification in a Class of Semiparametic Time Series Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    20. Biqing Cai & Dag Tjøstheim, 2015. "Nonparametric Regression Estimation for Multivariate Null Recurrent Processes," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-24, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiti Gao & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2011. "Semiparametric Estimation in Multivariate Nonstationary Time Series Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    2. Dong, Chaohua & Gao, Jiti & Tjøstheim, Dag & Yin, Jiying, 2017. "Specification testing for nonlinear multivariate cointegrating regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(1), pages 104-117.
    3. Gao, Jiti & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2013. "Semiparametric estimation in triangular system equations with nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 59-79.
    4. Gao, Jiti & Kanaya, Shin & Li, Degui & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2015. "Uniform Consistency For Nonparametric Estimators In Null Recurrent Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(5), pages 911-952, October.
    5. Jia Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Zhengyan Lin, 2015. "Specification testing in nonstationary time series models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(1), pages 117-136, February.
    6. Jiti Gao & Maxwell King, 2011. "A New Test in Parametric Linear Models against Nonparametric Autoregressive Errors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 20/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    7. Biqing Cai & Jiti Gao & Dag Tjøstheim, 2017. "A New Class of Bivariate Threshold Cointegration Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 288-305, April.
    8. Phillips, Peter C.B. & Li, Degui & Gao, Jiti, 2017. "Estimating smooth structural change in cointegration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 180-195.
    9. repec:wyi:journl:002203 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Chen, Haiqiang, 2015. "Robust Estimation And Inference For Threshold Models With Integrated Regressors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 778-810, August.
    11. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Estimation and Inference in Threshold Predictive Regression Models with Locally Explosive Regressors," Papers 2305.00860, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    12. Honda, Toshio, 2013. "Nonparametric LAD cointegrating regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 150-162.
    13. Kasparis, Ioannis & Andreou, Elena & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015. "Nonparametric predictive regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 468-494.
    14. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van & Opschoor,Anne, 2014. "Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521520911, November.
    15. LeBaron, Blake, 2003. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,: Philip Hans Franses and Dick van Dijk, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000, 296 pp., Paperback, ISBN 0-521-77965-0, $33, [UK pound]22.95, [," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 751-752.
    16. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, January.
    17. Li, Degui & Li, Runze, 2016. "Local composite quantile regression smoothing for Harris recurrent Markov processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 44-56.
    18. Liang, Hanying & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Wang, Hanchao & Wang, Qiying, 2016. "Weak Convergence To Stochastic Integrals For Econometric Applications," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(6), pages 1349-1375, December.
    19. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-034 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Biqing Cai & Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2015. "Orthogonal Series Estimation in Nonlinear Cointegrating Models with Endogeneity," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    21. Tu, Yundong & Wang, Ying, 2022. "Spurious functional-coefficient regression models and robust inference with marginal integration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 396-421.
    22. Gao, Jiti, 2007. "Nonlinear time series: semiparametric and nonparametric methods," MPRA Paper 39563, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2007.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:1:p:1-13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.