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Semiparametric Estimation in Multivariate Nonstationary Time Series Models

Author

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  • Jiti Gao
  • Peter C.B. Phillips

Abstract

A system of multivariate semiparametric nonlinear time series models is studied with possible dependence structures and nonstationarities in the parametric and nonparametric components. The parametric regressors may be endogenous while the nonparametric regressors are assumed to be strictly exogenous. The parametric regressors may be stationary or nonstationary and the nonparametric regressors are nonstationary integrated time series. Semiparametric least squares (SLS) estimation is considered and its asymptotic properties are derived. Due to endogeneity in the parametric regressors, SLS is not consistent for the parametric component and a semiparametric instrumental variable (SIV) method is proposed instead. Under certain regularity conditions, the SIV estimator of the parametric component is shown to have a limiting normal distribution. The rate of convergence in the parametric component depends on the properties of the regressors. The conventional √n rate may apply even when nonstationarity is involved in both sets of regressors.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiti Gao & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2011. "Semiparametric Estimation in Multivariate Nonstationary Time Series Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2011-17
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    File URL: http://business.monash.edu/econometrics-and-business-statistics/research/publications/ebs/wp17-11.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    10. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
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    19. Cai, Zongwu & Li, Qi & Park, Joon Y., 2009. "Functional-coefficient models for nonstationary time series data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 101-113, February.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gao, Jiti, 2012. "Identification, Estimation and Specification in a Class of Semi-Linear Time Series Models," MPRA Paper 39256, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 May 2012.
    2. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2012. "Expansion of Lévy Process Functionals and Its Application in Statistical Estimation," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    3. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2013. "Orthogonal Expansion of Levy Process Functionals: Theory and Practice," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    4. Jiti Gao, 2012. "Identification, Estimation and Specification in a Class of Semiparametic Time Series Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    5. George Athanasopoulos & Minfeng Deng & Gang Li & Haiyan Song, 2013. "Domestic and outbound tourism demand in Australia: a System-of-Equations Approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Endogeneity; integrated process; nonstationarity; partial linear model; simultaneity; vector semiparametric regression.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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