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Do the global stochastic trends drive the real house prices in OECD countries?

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  • Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that in the long-run the main determinants of the real housing prices for a panel dataset comprising the quarterly observations of 12 OECD countries are the real GDP per capita and the real interest rate along with the global stochastic trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan, 2014. "Do the global stochastic trends drive the real house prices in OECD countries?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 9-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:123:y:2014:i:1:p:9-13
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.01.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Balázs Égert & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2007. "Determinants of House Prices in Central and Eastern Europe," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 49(3), pages 367-388, September.
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    4. Englund, Peter & Ioannides, Yannis M., 1997. "House Price Dynamics: An International Empirical Perspective," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 119-136, June.
    5. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    6. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2004. "A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1127-1177, July.
    7. Kholodilin Konstantin A. & Menz Jan-Oliver & Siliverstovs Boriss, 2010. "What Drives Housing Prices Down? Evidence from an International Panel," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 230(1), pages 59-76, February.
    8. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015. "Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 1089-1117, December.
    9. Antonia Arsova & Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, 2018. "Likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend and cross-sectional dependence," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(10), pages 1033-1050, November.
    10. Bai, Jushan & Kao, Chihwa & Ng, Serena, 2009. "Panel cointegration with global stochastic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 82-99, April.
    11. Alexei Onatski, 2010. "Determining the Number of Factors from Empirical Distribution of Eigenvalues," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(4), pages 1004-1016, November.
    12. Heitor Almeida & Murillo Campello & Crocker Liu, 2006. "The Financial Accelerator: Evidence from International Housing Markets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 10(3), pages 321-352, September.
    13. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2010. "Panel Unit Root Tests With Cross-Section Dependence: A Further Investigation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 1088-1114, August.
    14. Jaroslava Hlouskova & Martin Wagner, 2006. "The Performance of Panel Unit Root and Stationarity Tests: Results from a Large Scale Simulation Study," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 85-116.
    15. Pentti Saikkonen & Helmut Lutkepohl, 2000. "Trend Adjustment Prior to Testing for the Cointegrating Rank of a Vector Autoregressive Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 435-456, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Panel cointegration; Global stochastic trends; Common factors; Rank test; Cross-sectional dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E39 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Other

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