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Likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend and cross-sectional dependence

Author

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  • Antonia Arsova

    (Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany)

  • Deniz Dilan Karaman Oersal

    (Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany)

Abstract

This paper proposes a new likelihood-based panel cointegration rank test which extends the test of Oersal and Droge (2012) (henceforth Panel SL test) to allow for crosssectional dependence. The dependence is modelled by unobserved common factors which affect the variables in each cross-section through heterogeneous loadings. The common components are estimated following the panel analysis of nonstationarity in idiosyncratic and common components (PANIC) approach of Bai and Ng (2004) and the estimates are subtracted from the observations. The cointegrating rank of the defactored data is then tested by the Panel SL test. A Monte Carlo study demonstrates that the proposed testing procedure has reasonable size and power properties in finite samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonia Arsova & Deniz Dilan Karaman Oersal, 2013. "Likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend and cross-sectional dependence," Working Paper Series in Economics 280, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:lue:wpaper:280
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonia Arsova, 2019. "Exchange rate pass-through to import prices in Europe: A panel cointegration approach," Working Paper Series in Economics 384, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
    2. Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan, 2014. "Do the global stochastic trends drive the real house prices in OECD countries?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 9-13.
    3. Arsova, Antonia & Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan, 2021. "A panel cointegrating rank test with structural breaks and cross-sectional dependence," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 107-129.
    4. Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan & Arsova, Antonia, 2017. "Meta-analytic cointegrating rank tests for dependent panels," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 2(C), pages 61-72.
    5. Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel & Wegener, Christoph & Basse, Tobias, 2022. "Re-investigating the insurance-growth nexus using common factors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    panel cointegration rank test; cross-sectional dependence; common factors; likelihoodratio; time trend;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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