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Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability

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  • Afonso, António
  • Tovar Jalles, João

Abstract

We compute time-varying responses of the sovereign debt ratio to primary budget balances for 13 advanced economies between 1980 and 2012, and assess how fiscal sustainability reacts to different characteristics of government debt. We find that the sustainability time-varying coefficient increases and countries become more fiscally sustainable if they contract a higher share of long-term public debt, if more debt is held by the central bank or if it is easily marketable in capital markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Afonso, António & Tovar Jalles, João, 2017. "Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 144-155.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:144-155
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2017.07.008
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    Cited by:

    1. Khurram Ejaz Chandia & Sania Riaz & Attiya Y. Javid & Muhammad Badar Iqbal & Mariam Azam & Ifra Gul, 2019. "Assessment of Public and External Debt Sustainability Using Debt Dynamics Equation Approach: A Comparative Study of Pakistan and India," Millennial Asia, , vol. 10(1), pages 25-55, April.
    2. António Afonso & José Alves & José Carlos Coelho, 2023. "Determinants of the degree of fiscal sustainability," Working Papers REM 2023/0255, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Bitar, Nicholas & Chakrabarti, Avik & Zeaiter, Hussein, 2018. "Were Reinhart and Rogoff right?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 614-620.
    4. António Afonso & José Alves & Olegs Matvejevs & Olegs Tkacevs, 2024. "Impact of Sovereign Debt Maturity on Fiscal Sustainability," Working Papers REM 2024/0358, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. Piergallini, Alessandro & Postigliola, Michele, 2020. "Evaluating the sustainability of Italian public finances," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign debt; Fiscal sustainability; TIME-varying coefficients; Debt composition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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