An improved Akaike information criterion for state-space model selection
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- R. H. Shumway & D. S. Stoffer, 1982. "An Approach To Time Series Smoothing And Forecasting Using The Em Algorithm," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(4), pages 253-264, July.
- Clifford M. Hurvich & Chih‐Ling Tsai, 1993. "A Corrected Akaike Information Criterion For Vector Autoregressive Model Selection," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 271-279, May.
- Hirotugu Akaike, 1969. "Fitting autoregressive models for prediction," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 21(1), pages 243-247, December.
- Cavanaugh, Joseph E., 1997. "Unifying the derivations for the Akaike and corrected Akaike information criteria," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 201-208, April.
- Harvey, A C & Todd, P H J, 1983. "Forecasting Economic Time Series with Structural and Box-Jenkins Models: A Case Study," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(4), pages 299-307, October.
- Harvey, A C & Todd, P H J, 1983. "Forecasting Economic Time Series with Structural and Box-Jenkins Models: A Case Study: Response," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(4), pages 313-315, October.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Izquierdo, Segismundo S. & Hernández, Cesáreo & del Hoyo, Juan, 2006. "Forecasting VARMA processes using VAR models and subspace-based state space models," MPRA Paper 4235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Emmanuel Hagenimana & Song Lixin & Patrick Kandege, 2018. "Study of nonparametric estimation details of instant system availability average," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 9(2), pages 467-481, April.
- Besbeas, P.T. & McCrea, R.S. & Morgan, B.J.T., 2022. "Selecting age structure in integrated population models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 473(C).
- Alfredo García-Hiernaux & José Casals & Miguel Jerez, 2012.
"Estimating the system order by subspace methods,"
Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 411-425, September.
- García-Hiernaux, Alfredo & Casals, José & Jerez, Miguel, 2007. "Estimating the system order by subspace methods," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws070301, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Yi Pan & Qiqi Yuan & Jinsong Ma & Lachun Wang, 2022. "Improved Daily Spatial Precipitation Estimation by Merging Multi-Source Precipitation Data Based on the Geographically Weighted Regression Method: A Case Study of Taihu Lake Basin, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-18, October.
- G. Avlogiaris & A. C. Micheas & K. Zografos, 2019. "A Criterion for Local Model Selection," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(2), pages 406-444, December.
- Panagiotis Besbeas & Byron J. T. Morgan, 2017. "Variance estimation for integrated population models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 101(4), pages 439-460, October.
- Fábio Bayer & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2015. "Bootstrap-based model selection criteria for beta regressions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 776-795, December.
- Patrick Ten Eyck & Joseph E. Cavanaugh, 2018. "An Alternate Approach to Pseudo-Likelihood Model Selection in the Generalized Linear Mixed Modeling Framework," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 80(1), pages 98-122, May.
- Patrick Ten Eyck & Joseph E. Cavanaugh, 2018. "Model selection criteria based on cross-validatory concordance statistics," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 595-621, June.
- Rubén González Rodríguez & Jamer Jiménez Mares & Christian G. Quintero M., 2020. "Computational Intelligent Approaches for Non-Technical Losses Management of Electricity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-25, May.
- Panagiotis Mantalos & Kyriacos Mattheou & Alex Karagrigoriou, 2010. "Vector autoregressive order selection and forecasting via the modified divergence information criterion," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(3/4), pages 254-277.
- Liu Banteng & Haibo Yang & Qiuxia Chen & Zhangquan Wang, 2019. "Research on the subtractive clustering algorithm for mobile ad hoc network based on the Akaike information criterion," International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, , vol. 15(9), pages 15501477198, September.
- J. G. Liao & Joseph E. Cavanaugh & Timothy L. McMurry, 2018. "Extending AIC to best subset regression," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 787-806, June.
- Trevezas, S. & Malefaki, S. & Cournède, P.-H., 2014. "Parameter estimation via stochastic variants of the ECM algorithm with applications to plant growth modeling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 82-99.
- N. Dewaelheyns & C. van Hulle, 2007. "Aggregate Bankruptcy Rates and the Macroeconomic Environment. Forecasting Systematic Probabilities of Default," Review of Business and Economic Literature, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Review of Business and Economic Literature, vol. 0(4), pages 541-566.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Cavanaugh, Joseph E., 1999. "A large-sample model selection criterion based on Kullback's symmetric divergence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 333-343, May.
- Franses, P.H. & McAleer, M., 1995.
"Testing Nested and Non-Nested Periodically Integrated Autoregressive Models,"
Papers
9510, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
- Franses, P.H. & McAleer, M., 1995. "Testing Nested and Non-Nested Periodically Integrated Autoregressive Models," Other publications TiSEM f6ea7d00-daeb-413b-a279-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Franses, P.H. & McAleer, M., 1995. "Testing Nested and Non-Nested Periodically Integrated Autoregressive Models," Discussion Paper 1995-10, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2016.
"Outlier detection in structural time series models: The indicator saturation approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 180-202.
- Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2014-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113137, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "Outlier detection in structural time series models: The indicator saturation approach," FZID Discussion Papers 90-2014, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
- Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CEIS Research Paper 325, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Aug 2014.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Gomez & Jorg Breitung, 1999.
"The Beveridge–Nelson Decomposition: A Different Perspective with New Results,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(5), pages 527-535, September.
- Gómez, Víctor & Breitung, Jörg, 1998. "The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition: A different perspective with new results," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,26, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
- Nan Li & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Jointly determining the state dimension and lag order for Markov‐switching vector autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 471-491, July.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso & Grassi, Stefano, 2018.
"A data-cleaning augmented Kalman filter for robust estimation of state space models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 107-123.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso & Grassi, Stefano, 2015. "A data-cleaning augmented Kalman filter for robust estimation of state space models," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 13-2015, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
- Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti & Stefano Grassi, 2016. "A Data–Cleaning Augmented Kalman Filter for Robust Estimation of State Space Models," CEIS Research Paper 374, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 31 Mar 2016.
- Maravall, Agustin & Planas, Christophe, 1999.
"Estimation error and the specification of unobserved component models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 325-353, October.
- Agustín Maravall & Cristophe Planas, 1996. "Estimation Error and the Specification of Unobserved Component Models," Working Papers 9608, Banco de España.
- Paolo Maranzano & Alessandro Fassò & Matteo Pelagatti & Manfred Mudelsee, 2020. "Statistical Modeling of the Early-Stage Impact of a New Traffic Policy in Milan, Italy," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-22, February.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023.
"The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve,"
Working Papers
789, DNB.
- Ascari, Guido & Bonomolo, Paolo & Haque, Qazi, 2024. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 19069, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-07 Classification-C3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," CAMA Working Papers 2023-37, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," DEM Working Papers Series 213, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Huishu Zhang & Jianrong Wei & Jiping Huang, 2014. "Scaling and Predictability in Stock Markets: A Comparative Study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(3), pages 1-5, March.
- Park, Gonyung, 1996. "The role of detrending methods in a model of real business cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 479-501.
- Thornton, Michael A., 2013. "Removing seasonality under a changing regime: Filtering new car sales," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 4-14.
- Marhuenda, Yolanda & Morales, Domingo & del Carmen Pardo, María, 2014. "Information criteria for Fay–Herriot model selection," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 268-280.
- Paolo Guarda, 2002. "Potential output and the output gap in Luxembourg: some alternative methods," BCL working papers 4, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- J. S. Shonkwiler, 1992. "A Structural Time Series Model Of Nevada Gross Taxable Gaming Revenues," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 22(3), pages 239-249, Winter.
- Lee, Shyan-Yuan & Tsai, Chih-Ling, 1998. "Model selection for causal models: The global procedure with AICC and AICU," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 205-223.
- Sbrana, Giacomo, 2013.
"The exact linkage between the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition and other permanent-transitory decompositions,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 311-316.
- Giacomo Sbrana, 2010. "The exact linkage between the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and other permanent-transitory decompositions," Working Papers 10-09, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
- Giacomo Sbrana, 2013. "The exact linkage between the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and other permanent-transitory decompositions," Post-Print hal-00779344, HAL.
- Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Adedoyin, Festus Fatai, 2021. "Regime switching effect of COVID-19 pandemic on renewable electricity generation in Denmark," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 797-806.
- Saligari, Grant R. & Snyder, Ralph D., 1997.
"Trends, lead times and forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 477-488, December.
- Saligari, G.R. & Snyder, R.D., 1996. "Trends, Lead Times and Forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/96, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:50:y:2006:i:10:p:2635-2654. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.