IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v165y2022ip1s096007792200947x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A stochastic SICA model for HIV/AIDS transmission

Author

Listed:
  • Tan, Yiping
  • Cai, Yongli
  • Sun, Xiaodan
  • Wang, Kai
  • Yao, Ruoxia
  • Wang, Weiming
  • Peng, Zhihang

Abstract

In this paper, we present a stochastic HIV/AIDS model with standard incidence rate to investigate the impact of random fluctuations on the HIV viral dynamics. Firstly, the sufficient conditions for the stochastic extinction of the disease are obtained. Secondly, after defining the threshold parameter Rs, we prove that the model has a unique ergodic stationary distribution when Rs>1, which reveals that the disease will persist almost surely. Subsequently, we give the exact expression of the probability density function around a quasi-equilibrium point by applying four-dimensional Fokker–Planck equation. Finally, through the numerical simulations of several examples, we not only verify the correctness of the theoretical results, but also explore how the disease goes for the case of not giving clear results theoretically. Epidemiologically, we find that increasing the noise intensities may be conducive to control the spread of the HIV.

Suggested Citation

  • Tan, Yiping & Cai, Yongli & Sun, Xiaodan & Wang, Kai & Yao, Ruoxia & Wang, Weiming & Peng, Zhihang, 2022. "A stochastic SICA model for HIV/AIDS transmission," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:165:y:2022:i:p1:s096007792200947x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112768
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096007792200947X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112768?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "Dynamical behavior of a higher order stochastically perturbed SIRI epidemic model with relapse and media coverage," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Rao, Feng & Luo, Junling, 2021. "Stochastic effects on an HIV/AIDS infection model with incomplete diagnosis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing, 2020. "Dynamical behavior of a higher order stochastically perturbed HIV/AIDS model with differential infectivity and amelioration," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Li, Qiuyue & Cong, Fuzhong & Liu, Tianbao & Zhou, Yaoming, 2020. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic HIV model with two infective stages," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    5. Ji, Chunyan & Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing, 2018. "Dynamics of a stochastic cell-to-cell HIV-1 model with distributed delay," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 1053-1065.
    6. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SEIR epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 476(C), pages 58-69.
    7. Qi, Kai & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Virus dynamic behavior of a stochastic HIV/AIDS infection model including two kinds of target cell infections and CTL immune responses," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 548-570.
    8. Wang, Yan & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "A stochastic HIV infection model with T-cell proliferation and CTL immune response," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 315(C), pages 477-493.
    9. Mikhaylov, A.N. & Guseinov, D.V. & Belov, A.I. & Korolev, D.S. & Shishmakova, V.A. & Koryazhkina, M.N. & Filatov, D.O. & Gorshkov, O.N. & Maldonado, D. & Alonso, F.J. & Roldán, J.B. & Krichigin, A.V. , 2021. "Stochastic resonance in a metal-oxide memristive device," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Xie, Falan & Shan, Meijing & Lian, Xinze & Wang, Weiming, 2017. "Periodic solution of a stochastic HBV infection model with logistic hepatocyte growth," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 293(C), pages 630-641.
    11. Chen, Yiliang & Wen, Buyu & Teng, Zhidong, 2018. "The global dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model with isolation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 1604-1624.
    12. Mao, Xuerong & Marion, Glenn & Renshaw, Eric, 2002. "Environmental Brownian noise suppresses explosions in population dynamics," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 95-110, January.
    13. Li, Wei & Zhang, Ying & Huang, Dongmei & Rajic, Vesna, 2022. "Study on stationary probability density of a stochastic tumor-immune model with simulation by ANN algorithm," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    14. Surazhevsky, I.A. & Demin, V.A. & Ilyasov, A.I. & Emelyanov, A.V. & Nikiruy, K.E. & Rylkov, V.V. & Shchanikov, S.A. & Bordanov, I.A. & Gerasimova, S.A. & Guseinov, D.V. & Malekhonova, N.V. & Pavlov, D, 2021. "Noise-assisted persistence and recovery of memory state in a memristive spiking neuromorphic network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Luo, Yantao & Huang, Jianhua & Teng, Zhidong & Liu, Qun, 2024. "Role of ART and PrEP treatments in a stochastic HIV/AIDS epidemic model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 337-357.
    2. Zhai, Xuanpei & Li, Wenshuang & Wei, Fengying & Mao, Xuerong, 2023. "Dynamics of an HIV/AIDS transmission model with protection awareness and fluctuations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Han, Cheng & Wang, Yan & Jiang, Daqing, 2023. "Dynamics analysis of a stochastic HIV model with non-cytolytic cure and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).
    2. Shi, Zhenfeng & Jiang, Daqing, 2022. "Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic HTLV-I infection model with general infection form and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P2).
    3. Wang, Yan & Qi, Kai & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "An HIV latent infection model with cell-to-cell transmission and stochastic perturbation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Kim, Tae-Hyeon & Kim, Sungjoon & Hong, Kyungho & Park, Jinwoo & Hwang, Yeongjin & Park, Byung-Gook & Kim, Hyungjin, 2021. "Multilevel switching memristor by compliance current adjustment for off-chip training of neuromorphic system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
    5. Qi, Kai & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Virus dynamic behavior of a stochastic HIV/AIDS infection model including two kinds of target cell infections and CTL immune responses," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 548-570.
    6. Choi, Woo Sik & Jang, Jun Tae & Kim, Donguk & Yang, Tae Jun & Kim, Changwook & Kim, Hyungjin & Kim, Dae Hwan, 2022. "Influence of Al2O3 layer on InGaZnO memristor crossbar array for neuromorphic applications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    7. Qi, Haokun & Zhang, Shengqiang & Meng, Xinzhu & Dong, Huanhe, 2018. "Periodic solution and ergodic stationary distribution of two stochastic SIQS epidemic systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 223-241.
    8. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a hybrid stochastic SEQIHR epidemic model with media coverage, quarantine strategies and pre-existing immunity under discrete Markov switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 410(C).
    9. Jin, Yanfei & Wang, Haotian & Xu, Pengfei, 2023. "Noise-induced enhancement of stability and resonance in a tri-stable system with time-delayed feedback," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    10. Rajasekar, S.P. & Pitchaimani, M. & Zhu, Quanxin, 2020. "Progressive dynamics of a stochastic epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 538(C).
    11. Ai, Hao & Yang, GuiJiang & Liu, Wei & Wang, Qiubao, 2023. "A fast search method for optimal parameters of stochastic resonance based on stochastic bifurcation and its application in fault diagnosis of rolling bearings," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    12. Lin, Lifeng & Lin, Tianzhen & Zhang, Ruoqi & Wang, Huiqi, 2023. "Generalized stochastic resonance in a time-delay fractional oscillator with damping fluctuation and signal-modulated noise," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    13. Maldonado, D. & Aguilera-Pedregosa, C. & Vinuesa, G. & García, H. & Dueñas, S. & Castán, H. & Aldana, S. & González, M.B. & Moreno, E. & Jiménez-Molinos, F. & Campabadal, F. & Roldán, J.B., 2022. "An experimental and simulation study of the role of thermal effects on variability in TiN/Ti/HfO2/W resistive switching nonlinear devices," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    14. Zhang, Dongjian & Ma, Qihua & Dong, Hailiang & Liao, He & Liu, Xiangyu & Zha, Yibin & Zhang, Xiaoxiao & Qian, Xiaomin & Liu, Jin & Gan, Xuehui, 2023. "Time-delayed feedback bistable stochastic resonance system and its application in the estimation of the Polyester Filament Yarn tension in the spinning process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    15. Vasileiadis, Nikolaos & Loukas, Panagiotis & Karakolis, Panagiotis & Ioannou-Sougleridis, Vassilios & Normand, Pascal & Ntinas, Vasileios & Fyrigos, Iosif-Angelos & Karafyllidis, Ioannis & Sirakoulis,, 2021. "Multi-level resistance switching and random telegraph noise analysis of nitride based memristors," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    16. Kim, Dahye & Kim, Sunghun & Kim, Sungjun, 2021. "Logic-in-memory application of CMOS compatible silicon nitride memristor," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
    17. Lu, Chun & Liu, Honghui & Zhang, De, 2021. "Dynamics and simulations of a second order stochastically perturbed SEIQV epidemic model with saturated incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    18. Wang, Yan & Jiang, Daqing & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Hayat, Tasawar, 2018. "Modelling a stochastic HIV model with logistic target cell growth and nonlinear immune response function," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 276-292.
    19. Wang, Yang & Li, Huanyun & Guan, Yan & Chen, Mingshu, 2022. "Predefined-time chaos synchronization of memristor chaotic systems by using simplified control inputs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    20. Lu, Minmin & Wang, Yan & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "Stationary distribution and probability density function analysis of a stochastic HIV model with cell-to-cell infection," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 410(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:165:y:2022:i:p1:s096007792200947x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.