IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v152y2021ics0960077921006986.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stochastic effects on an HIV/AIDS infection model with incomplete diagnosis

Author

Listed:
  • Rao, Feng
  • Luo, Junling

Abstract

In this paper, we establish a stochastic differential equation model of the HIV/AIDS infection including four classes: susceptible individuals, undiagnosed HIV infected, diagnosed HIV infected and AIDS infected individuals. For the deterministic model, we obtain that the basic reproduction number R0 can determine whether there is a unique disease-free equilibrium or an endemic equilibrium, and show the solution of the model is positive and global. The mathematical analysis of the stochastic model (SDE) corresponding to the deterministic model (ODE) is investigated to determine the conditions for the stability of the random equilibria. The reproduction number R0s of the SDE model is derived, and by applying the Markov semigroups, it shows that the threshold parameter R0s can be used to control the stochastic dynamics of the model. What’s more, by solving the Fokker-Planck equation, we derive an expression of the probability density function of the SDE model around the quasi-endemic equilibrium of the ODE model under a certain condition. A series of numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the analytical results. Our study demonstrates that (i) reducing the recruitment rate of susceptible population and increasing diagnosis rate are the effective methods for controlling the HIV/AIDS disease; and (ii) large environmental noise intensity and small valid disease contact rate can suppress the outbreak of disease.

Suggested Citation

  • Rao, Feng & Luo, Junling, 2021. "Stochastic effects on an HIV/AIDS infection model with incomplete diagnosis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:152:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921006986
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111344
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077921006986
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111344?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li, Qiuyue & Cong, Fuzhong & Liu, Tianbao & Zhou, Yaoming, 2020. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic HIV model with two infective stages," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    2. Fiasconaro, A & Valenti, D & Spagnolo, B, 2003. "Role of the initial conditions on the enhancement of the escape time in static and fluctuating potentials," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 325(1), pages 136-143.
    3. Bernardo Spagnolo & Davide Valenti, 2008. "Volatility Effects on the Escape Time in Financial Market Models," Papers 0810.1625, arXiv.org.
    4. Zhou, Baoquan & Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing, 2020. "Dynamics and density function analysis of a stochastic SVI epidemic model with half saturated incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic staged progression AIDS model with staged treatment and second-order perturbation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    6. Spagnolo, B. & La Barbera, A., 2002. "Role of the noise on the transient dynamics of an ecosystem of interacting species," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 315(1), pages 114-124.
    7. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Dai, Yucong & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SVIS epidemic model with standard incidence and vaccination strategies," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    8. Hattaf, Khalid & Dutta, Hemen, 2020. "Modeling the dynamics of viral infections in presence of latently infected cells," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tan, Yiping & Cai, Yongli & Sun, Xiaodan & Wang, Kai & Yao, Ruoxia & Wang, Weiming & Peng, Zhihang, 2022. "A stochastic SICA model for HIV/AIDS transmission," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1).
    2. Rao, Feng & Kang, Yun, 2023. "Dynamics of a stochastic prey–predator system with prey refuge, predation fear and its carry-over effects," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "Ergodic property, extinction and density function of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and general stochastic perturbations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Akgül, Akif & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Durdu, Ali & Pala, Muhammed Ali & Boyraz, Ömer Faruk & Yildiz, Mustafa Zahid, 2021. "A simple fractional-order chaotic system based on memristor and memcapacitor and its synchronization application," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Song, Yi & Xu, Wei, 2021. "Asymmetric Lévy noise changed stability in a gene transcriptional regulatory system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Park, Jinwoo & Kim, Tae-Hyeon & Kim, Sungjoon & Lee, Geun Ho & Nili, Hussein & Kim, Hyungjin, 2021. "Conduction mechanism effect on physical unclonable function using Al2O3/TiOX memristors," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Agudov, N.V. & Dubkov, A.A. & Safonov, A.V. & Krichigin, A.V. & Kharcheva, A.A. & Guseinov, D.V. & Koryazhkina, M.N. & Novikov, A.S. & Shishmakova, V.A. & Antonov, I.N. & Carollo, A. & Spagnolo, B., 2021. "Stochastic model of memristor based on the length of conductive region," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    6. Kim, Tae-Hyeon & Kim, Sungjoon & Hong, Kyungho & Park, Jinwoo & Hwang, Yeongjin & Park, Byung-Gook & Kim, Hyungjin, 2021. "Multilevel switching memristor by compliance current adjustment for off-chip training of neuromorphic system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
    7. Chun Zhang & Tao Yang & Shi-Xian Qu, 2021. "Impact of time delays and environmental noise on the extinction of a population dynamics model," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 94(11), pages 1-16, November.
    8. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a hybrid stochastic SEQIHR epidemic model with media coverage, quarantine strategies and pre-existing immunity under discrete Markov switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 410(C).
    9. Zhang, Wenyue & Shi, Peiming & Li, Mengdi & Han, Dongying, 2021. "A novel stochastic resonance model based on bistable stochastic pooling network and its application," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    10. Li, Jiang-Cheng & Tao, Chen & Li, Hai-Feng, 2022. "Dynamic forecasting performance and liquidity evaluation of financial market by Econophysics and Bayesian methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
    11. Duan, Wei-Long & Lin, Ling, 2021. "Noise and delay enhanced stability in tumor-immune responses to chemotherapy system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    12. Chen, Ruyin & Xiong, Yue & Jiang, Luoluo & He, Zhifen & Zhou, Jiawei, 2021. "Binocular rivalry subjected to noises and time delay," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    13. Liu, Yue, 2022. "Extinction, persistence and density function analysis of a stochastic two-strain disease model with drug resistance mutation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 433(C).
    14. Yablokov, A.A. & Glushkov, E.I. & Pankratov, A.L. & Gordeeva, A.V. & Kuzmin, L.S. & Il’ichev, E.V., 2021. "Resonant response drives sensitivity of Josephson escape detector," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    15. Li, Mengdi & Shi, Peiming & Zhang, Wenyue & Han, Dongying, 2021. "A novel underdamped continuous unsaturation bistable stochastic resonance method and its application," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    16. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    17. Wu, Jian-Li & Duan, Wei-Long & Luo, Yuhui & Yang, Fengzao, 2020. "Time delay and non-Gaussian noise-enhanced stability of foraging colony system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    18. Zhou, Wei & Zhong, Guang-Yan & Li, Jiang-Cheng, 2022. "Stability of financial market driven by information delay and liquidity in delay agent-based model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    19. Zhang, Qiumei & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "Dynamics of stochastic predator-prey systems with continuous time delay," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    20. Rao, Feng & Wang, Weiming & Li, Zhenqing, 2009. "Spatiotemporal complexity of a predator–prey system with the effect of noise and external forcing," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1634-1644.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:152:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921006986. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.