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Stability and bifurcation analysis of an epidemic model with the effect of media

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  • Kar, T.K.
  • Nandi, Swapan Kumar
  • Jana, Soovoojeet
  • Mandal, Manotosh

Abstract

In the present study, we develop and analyze an SEIR epidemic model to assess the consequences of media awareness program and treatment control. The disease transmission rate as well as the treatment function are taken in the saturated form. Different equilibrium points and their stability are discussed. The threshold parameter, basic reproduction number is obtained and it is seen that the system may posses a backward bifurcation. An optimal control problem is formulated with treatment and media awareness parameters as control parameters and solved it analytically. The cost-effectiveness analysis is performed to find out the best strategy to be applied to control the transmission of diseases. In addition to our analytical results, several numerical simulations are also illustrated. Finally, a brief discussion is given regarding the role of treatment and media awareness program.

Suggested Citation

  • Kar, T.K. & Nandi, Swapan Kumar & Jana, Soovoojeet & Mandal, Manotosh, 2019. "Stability and bifurcation analysis of an epidemic model with the effect of media," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 188-199.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:120:y:2019:i:c:p:188-199
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2019.01.025
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    2. Khatun, Mst Sebi & Mahato, Kiriti Bhusan & Das, Pritha, 2024. "Dynamics of an SuSaV IR epidemic model with stochastic optimal control and awareness programs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    4. Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Khajanchi, Subhas & Kar, T.K., 2020. "The impact of the media awareness and optimal strategy on the prevalence of tuberculosis," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
    5. Yu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Jingmeng & Zhang, Yun & Cong, Xuya & Li, Xiaobo & Mostafa, Almetwally M., 2024. "Mathematical modeling and simulation for COVID-19 with mutant and quarantined strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    6. Ndii, Meksianis Z. & Adi, Yudi Ari, 2021. "Understanding the effects of individual awareness and vector controls on malaria transmission dynamics using multiple optimal control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    7. Yuan, Yiran & Li, Ning, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    8. Dutta, Maitreyee & Roy, Binoy Krishna, 2020. "A new fractional-order system displaying coexisting multiwing attractors; its synchronisation and circuit simulation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    9. Yassine Sabbar & Mehmet Yavuz & Fatma Özköse, 2022. "Infection Eradication Criterion in a General Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth, Quarantine Strategy, Media Intrusion, and Quadratic Perturbation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Khajanchi, Subhas & Kar, T.K., 2020. "Transmission dynamics of tuberculosis with multiple re-infections," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Mandal, Manotosh & Jana, Soovoojeet & Nandi, Swapan Kumar & Khatua, Anupam & Adak, Sayani & Kar, T.K., 2020. "A model based study on the dynamics of COVID-19: Prediction and control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    12. Lacitignola, Deborah & Saccomandi, Giuseppe, 2021. "Managing awareness can avoid hysteresis in disease spread: an application to coronavirus Covid-19," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

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