IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v120y2019icp188-199.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stability and bifurcation analysis of an epidemic model with the effect of media

Author

Listed:
  • Kar, T.K.
  • Nandi, Swapan Kumar
  • Jana, Soovoojeet
  • Mandal, Manotosh

Abstract

In the present study, we develop and analyze an SEIR epidemic model to assess the consequences of media awareness program and treatment control. The disease transmission rate as well as the treatment function are taken in the saturated form. Different equilibrium points and their stability are discussed. The threshold parameter, basic reproduction number is obtained and it is seen that the system may posses a backward bifurcation. An optimal control problem is formulated with treatment and media awareness parameters as control parameters and solved it analytically. The cost-effectiveness analysis is performed to find out the best strategy to be applied to control the transmission of diseases. In addition to our analytical results, several numerical simulations are also illustrated. Finally, a brief discussion is given regarding the role of treatment and media awareness program.

Suggested Citation

  • Kar, T.K. & Nandi, Swapan Kumar & Jana, Soovoojeet & Mandal, Manotosh, 2019. "Stability and bifurcation analysis of an epidemic model with the effect of media," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 188-199.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:120:y:2019:i:c:p:188-199
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2019.01.025
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077918304028
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2019.01.025?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klein, Eili & Laxminarayan, Ramanan & Smith, David L. & Gilligan, Christopher A., 2007. "Economic incentives and mathematical models of disease," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(5), pages 707-732, October.
    2. Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Islam, Saeed & Zaman, Gul, 2018. "Media coverage campaign in Hepatitis B transmission model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 331(C), pages 378-393.
    3. Artalejo, J.R. & Economou, A. & Lopez-Herrero, M.J., 2015. "The stochastic SEIR model before extinction: Computational approaches," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 265(C), pages 1026-1043.
    4. Cai, Yongli & Jiao, Jianjun & Gui, Zhanji & Liu, Yuting & Wang, Weiming, 2018. "Environmental variability in a stochastic epidemic model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 329(C), pages 210-226.
    5. El Fatini, Mohamed & Lahrouz, Aadil & Pettersson, Roger & Settati, Adel & Taki, Regragui, 2018. "Stochastic stability and instability of an epidemic model with relapse," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 326-341.
    6. Yang, Wei & Shu, Zhan & Lam, James & Sun, Chengjun, 2017. "Global dynamics of an HIV model incorporating senior male clients," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 311(C), pages 203-216.
    7. Li, Xue-Zhi & Li, Wen-Sheng & Ghosh, Mini, 2009. "Stability and bifurcation of an SIS epidemic model with treatment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 2822-2832.
    8. Khajanchi, Subhas & Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Kar, Tapan Kumar, 2018. "Dynamics of tuberculosis transmission with exogenous reinfections and endogenous reactivation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 497(C), pages 52-71.
    9. Tilahun, Getachew Teshome & Makinde, Oluwole Daniel & Malonza, David, 2018. "Co-dynamics of Pneumonia and Typhoid fever diseases with cost effective optimal control analysis," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 438-459.
    10. Diaz, Paul & Constantine, Paul & Kalmbach, Kelsey & Jones, Eric & Pankavich, Stephen, 2018. "A modified SEIR model for the spread of Ebola in Western Africa and metrics for resource allocation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 324(C), pages 141-155.
    11. Jana, Soovoojeet & Haldar, Palash & Kar, T.K., 2016. "Optimal control and stability analysis of an epidemic model with population dispersal," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 67-81.
    12. Yang, Lu-Xing & Draief, Moez & Yang, Xiaofan, 2016. "The optimal dynamic immunization under a controlled heterogeneous node-based SIRS model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 403-415.
    13. Zhang, Tianrui & Yang, Lu-Xing & Yang, Xiaofan & Wu, Yingbo & Tang, Yuan Yan, 2017. "Dynamic malware containment under an epidemic model with alert," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 249-260.
    14. Lahrouz, A. & El Mahjour, H. & Settati, A. & Bernoussi, A., 2018. "Dynamics and optimal control of a non-linear epidemic model with relapse and cure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 496(C), pages 299-317.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a hybrid stochastic SEQIHR epidemic model with media coverage, quarantine strategies and pre-existing immunity under discrete Markov switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 410(C).
    2. Khatun, Mst Sebi & Mahato, Kiriti Bhusan & Das, Pritha, 2024. "Dynamics of an SuSaV IR epidemic model with stochastic optimal control and awareness programs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    4. Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Khajanchi, Subhas & Kar, T.K., 2020. "The impact of the media awareness and optimal strategy on the prevalence of tuberculosis," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
    5. Yu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Jingmeng & Zhang, Yun & Cong, Xuya & Li, Xiaobo & Mostafa, Almetwally M., 2024. "Mathematical modeling and simulation for COVID-19 with mutant and quarantined strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    6. Ndii, Meksianis Z. & Adi, Yudi Ari, 2021. "Understanding the effects of individual awareness and vector controls on malaria transmission dynamics using multiple optimal control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    7. Yuan, Yiran & Li, Ning, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    8. Dutta, Maitreyee & Roy, Binoy Krishna, 2020. "A new fractional-order system displaying coexisting multiwing attractors; its synchronisation and circuit simulation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    9. Yassine Sabbar & Mehmet Yavuz & Fatma Özköse, 2022. "Infection Eradication Criterion in a General Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth, Quarantine Strategy, Media Intrusion, and Quadratic Perturbation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Khajanchi, Subhas & Kar, T.K., 2020. "Transmission dynamics of tuberculosis with multiple re-infections," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Mandal, Manotosh & Jana, Soovoojeet & Nandi, Swapan Kumar & Khatua, Anupam & Adak, Sayani & Kar, T.K., 2020. "A model based study on the dynamics of COVID-19: Prediction and control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    12. Lacitignola, Deborah & Saccomandi, Giuseppe, 2021. "Managing awareness can avoid hysteresis in disease spread: an application to coronavirus Covid-19," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pan, Cheng & Yang, Lu-Xing & Yang, Xiaofan & Wu, Yingbo & Tang, Yuan Yan, 2018. "An effective rumor-containing strategy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 80-91.
    2. Piqueira, José Roberto C. & Cabrera, Manuel A.M. & Batistela, Cristiane M., 2021. "Malware propagation in clustered computer networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    3. El Fatini, Mohamed & El Khalifi, Mohamed & Gerlach, Richard & Laaribi, Aziz & Taki, Regragui, 2019. "Stationary distribution and threshold dynamics of a stochastic SIRS model with a general incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    4. Laaribi, Aziz & Boukanjime, Brahim & El Khalifi, Mohamed & Bouggar, Driss & El Fatini, Mohamed, 2023. "A generalized stochastic SIRS epidemic model incorporating mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    5. Li, Pengdeng & Yang, Xiaofan & Wu, Yingbo & He, Weiyi & Zhao, Pengpeng, 2018. "Discount pricing in word-of-mouth marketing: An optimal control approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 512-522.
    6. Andrea Di Liddo, 2018. "Price and Treatment Decisions in Epidemics: A Differential Game Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 6(10), pages 1-19, October.
    7. Yonghong Xu & Jianguo Ren, 2016. "Propagation Effect of a Virus Outbreak on a Network with Limited Anti-Virus Ability," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-15, October.
    8. Emmanuel Njeuhmeli & Melissa Schnure & Andrea Vazzano & Elizabeth Gold & Peter Stegman & Katharine Kripke & Michel Tchuenche & Lori Bollinger & Steven Forsythe & Catherine Hankins, 2019. "Using mathematical modeling to inform health policy: A case study from voluntary medical male circumcision scale-up in eastern and southern Africa and proposed framework for success," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, March.
    9. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Okyere, Eric & Yankson, Ernest & Opoku, Alex Akwasi & Adom-Konadu, Agnes & Acheampong, Edward & Arthur, Yarhands Dissou, 2022. "Non-fractional and fractional mathematical analysis and simulations for Q fever," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    10. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and general nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    11. Wanduku, Divine, 2017. "Complete global analysis of a two-scale network SIRS epidemic dynamic model with distributed delay and random perturbations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 294(C), pages 49-76.
    12. Fatima, Bibi & Zaman, Gul, 2020. "Co-infection of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus and pulmonary tuberculosis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Wang, Jinling & Jiang, Haijun & Ma, Tianlong & Hu, Cheng, 2019. "Global dynamics of the multi-lingual SIR rumor spreading model with cross-transmitted mechanism," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 148-157.
    14. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Owusu, Mark A. & Jin, Zhen & Oduro, F. T. & Abidemi, Afeez & Gyasi, Esther Opoku, 2020. "Global stability and cost-effectiveness analysis of COVID-19 considering the impact of the environment: using data from Ghana," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    15. Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Singh, Jagdev, 2022. "Mathematical analysis of multi-compartmental malaria transmission model with reinfection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    16. Benazzouz, Meryem & Caraballo, Tomás & El Fatini, Mohamed & Laaribi, Aziz, 2024. "Discontinuous stochastic modeling and discrete numerical approximation for Tuberculosis model with relapse," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    17. Jeremy Greenwood & Philipp Kircher & Cezar Santos & Michèle Tertilt, 2019. "An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1081-1113, July.
    18. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing, 2023. "Analysis of a stochastic inshore–offshore hairtail fishery model with Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    19. Gamboa, M. & López-García, M. & Lopez-Herrero, M.J., 2024. "On the exact and population bi-dimensional reproduction numbers in a stochastic SVIR model with imperfect vaccine," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 468(C).
    20. Ren, Jianguo & Xu, Yonghong, 2017. "A compartmental model for computer virus propagation with kill signals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 446-454.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:120:y:2019:i:c:p:188-199. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.