IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v363y2024ics0306261924003970.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing regional variations in hydrogen fuel cell vehicle adoption: An integrative approach using real-world data and analytic hierarchy process in Tokyo

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Qiong
  • Chen, Jinyu
  • Ihara, Tomohiko

Abstract

This research delves into the market potential for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) while placing a significant emphasis on evaluating regional distinctions within the Tokyo metropolitan area. We introduce an innovative methodology that seamlessly integrates real-world data and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to assess the regional market potential of FCVs. This approach is meticulously designed to capture subtle variations among regions and fine-tune the hierarchy of influencing factors, including vehicle performance, economic costs, social contexts, fuel availability, and policy support. Through an extensive case study conducted in Tokyo, this investigation underscores the impact of regional heterogeneity on consumer choices and substantiates these findings by analyzing real-world FCV sales data. This validation reinforces the reliability of the identified key influencing factors and underscores the critical significance of considering regional differences in comprehending FCV market adoption. The assessment methodology introduced offers a systematic framework for stakeholders in the FCV sector, supporting informed strategic decision-making and policy development.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Qiong & Chen, Jinyu & Ihara, Tomohiko, 2024. "Assessing regional variations in hydrogen fuel cell vehicle adoption: An integrative approach using real-world data and analytic hierarchy process in Tokyo," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:363:y:2024:i:c:s0306261924003970
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924003970
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shin, Jungwoo & Hwang, Won-Sik & Choi, Hyundo, 2019. "Can hydrogen fuel vehicles be a sustainable alternative on vehicle market?: Comparison of electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 239-248.
    2. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Brown, Marilyn A., 2010. "Twelve metropolitan carbon footprints: A preliminary comparative global assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 4856-4869, September.
    3. Long, Yin & Yoshida, Yoshikuni, 2018. "Quantifying city-scale emission responsibility based on input-output analysis – Insight from Tokyo, Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 349-360.
    4. Hardman, Scott & Shiu, Eric & Steinberger-Wilckens, Robert & Turrentine, Thomas, 2017. "Barriers to the adoption of fuel cell vehicles: A qualitative investigation into early adopters attitudes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 166-182.
    5. Heffner, Reid R. & Kurani, Kenneth S & Turrentine, Tom, 2007. "Symbolism and the Adoption of Fuel-Cell Vehicles," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt5934t20f, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    6. Le Duigou, Alain & Quéméré, Marie-Marguerite & Marion, Pierre & Menanteau, Philippe & Decarre, Sandrine & Sinegre, Laure & Nadau, Lionel & Rastetter, Aline & Cuni, Aude & Mulard, Philippe & Antoine, L, 2013. "Hydrogen pathways in France: Results of the HyFrance3 Project," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1562-1569.
    7. Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Qiong & Xu, Ning & Li, Wenjing & Yao, Yuhao & Li, Peiran & Yu, Qing & Wen, Chuang & Song, Xuan & Shibasaki, Ryosuke & Zhang, Haoran, 2022. "Roadmap to hydrogen society of Tokyo: Locating priority of hydrogen facilities based on multiple big data fusion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    8. Offer, G.J. & Contestabile, M. & Howey, D.A. & Clague, R. & Brandon, N.P., 2011. "Techno-economic and behavioural analysis of battery electric, hydrogen fuel cell and hybrid vehicles in a future sustainable road transport system in the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1939-1950, April.
    9. Mourato, Susana & Saynor, Bob & Hart, David, 2004. "Greening London's black cabs: a study of driver's preferences for fuel cell taxis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 685-695, March.
    10. Yetano Roche, María & Mourato, Susana & Fischedick, Manfred & Pietzner, Katja & Viebahn, Peter, 2010. "Public attitudes towards and demand for hydrogen and fuel cell vehicles: A review of the evidence and methodological implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 5301-5310, October.
    11. Collantes, Gustavo O, 2007. "Incorporating stakeholders' perspectives into models of new technology diffusion: The case of fuel-cell vehicles," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt9bm1w968, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    12. Hirschman, Elizabeth C, 1980. "Innovativeness, Novelty Seeking, and Consumer Creativity," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 7(3), pages 283-295, December.
    13. Kim, Ju-Hee & Kim, Hyo-Jin & Yoo, Seung-Hoon, 2019. "Willingness to pay for fuel-cell electric vehicles in South Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 497-502.
    14. Piras, M. & De Bellis, V. & Malfi, E. & Novella, R. & Lopez-Juarez, M., 2024. "Hydrogen consumption and durability assessment of fuel cell vehicles in realistic driving," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    15. O'Garra, Tanya & Mourato, Susana & Garrity, Lisa & Schmidt, Patrick & Beerenwinkel, Anne & Altmann, Matthias & Hart, David & Graesel, Cornelia & Whitehouse, Simon, 2007. "Is the public willing to pay for hydrogen buses? A comparative study of preferences in four cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 3630-3642, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Yong & Yu, Yifeng & Zou, Bai, 2011. "Analyzing public awareness and acceptance of alternative fuel vehicles in China: The case of EV," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 7015-7024.
    2. Jia, Wenjian & Jiang, Zhiqiu & Wang, Qian & Xu, Bin & Xiao, Mei, 2023. "Preferences for zero-emission vehicle attributes: Comparing early adopters with mainstream consumers in California," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 21-32.
    3. Zhang, Xian & Wang, Ke & Hao, Yu & Fan, Jing-Li & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2013. "The impact of government policy on preference for NEVs: The evidence from China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 382-393.
    4. Yetano Roche, María & Mourato, Susana & Fischedick, Manfred & Pietzner, Katja & Viebahn, Peter, 2010. "Public attitudes towards and demand for hydrogen and fuel cell vehicles: A review of the evidence and methodological implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 5301-5310, October.
    5. Hardman, Scott & Shiu, Eric & Steinberger-Wilckens, Robert & Turrentine, Thomas, 2017. "Barriers to the adoption of fuel cell vehicles: A qualitative investigation into early adopters attitudes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 166-182.
    6. Kang, Min Jung & Park, Heejun, 2011. "Impact of experience on government policy toward acceptance of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in Korea," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3465-3475, June.
    7. Ko, Sungmin & Shin, Jungwoo, 2023. "Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    8. Kinga Stecuła & Piotr Olczak & Paweł Kamiński & Dominika Matuszewska & Hai Duong Duc, 2022. "Towards Sustainable Transport: Techno-Economic Analysis of Investing in Hydrogen Buses in Public Transport in the Selected City of Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-14, December.
    9. Ye, Tuo & Zhao, Songyu & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Chau, Frankie, 2024. "Social media sentiment of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in China: Evidence from artificial intelligence algorithms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Simona Bigerna & Paolo Polinori, 2015. "Willingness to Pay and Public Acceptance for Hydrogen Buses: A Case Study of Perugia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(10), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Kelley, Scott & Krafft, Aimee & Kuby, Michael & Lopez, Oscar & Stotts, Rhian & Liu, Jingteng, 2020. "How early hydrogen fuel cell vehicle adopters geographically evaluate a network of refueling stations in California," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    12. Moritz A. Drupp & Zachary M. Turk & Ben Groom & Jonas Heckenhahn, 2024. "Limited Substitutability, Relative Price Changes and the Uplifting of Public Natural Capital Values," CESifo Working Paper Series 11156, CESifo.
    13. Huan, Ning & Yamamoto, Toshiyuki & Sato, Hitomi & Sala, Roser & Goncalves, Lila, 2024. "Perceptions to connections: A multidimensional investigation of hydrogen acceptance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    14. Soyeong Park & Solji Nam & Myoungjin Oh & Ie-jung Choi & Jungwoo Shin, 2020. "Preference Structure on the Design of Hydrogen Refueling Stations to Activate Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-13, August.
    15. Tarigan, Ari K.M. & Bayer, Stian B., 2012. "Temporal change analysis of public attitude, knowledge and acceptance of hydrogen vehicles in Greater Stavanger, 2006–2009," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(8), pages 5535-5544.
    16. González Palencia, Juan C. & Otsuka, Yuki & Araki, Mikiya & Shiga, Seiichi, 2017. "Scenario analysis of lightweight and electric-drive vehicle market penetration in the long-term and impact on the light-duty vehicle fleet," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 1444-1462.
    17. Zhao, Tian & Liu, Zhixin & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2022. "Developing hydrogen refueling stations: An evolutionary game approach and the case of China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    18. Chung, Younshik & Song, Taijin & Park, Jungsik, 2012. "Freeway booking policy: Public discourse and acceptability analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 223-231.
    19. Wu, Yunna & Liu, Fangtong & He, Jiaming & Wu, Man & Ke, Yiming, 2021. "Obstacle identification, analysis and solutions of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles for application in China under the carbon neutrality target," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    20. Libo Wu & Changhe Li & Haoqi Qian & ZhongXiang Zhang, 2013. "Understanding the Consumption Behaviors on Electric Vehicles in China - A Stated Preference Analysis," Working Papers 2013.79, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:363:y:2024:i:c:s0306261924003970. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.