IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jorssa/v185y2022i2p447-470.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A decision support system for addressing food security in the United Kingdom

Author

Listed:
  • Martine J. Barons
  • Thais C. O. Fonseca
  • Andy Davis
  • Jim Q. Smith

Abstract

This paper presents an integrating decision support system (IDSS) for food security in the United Kingdom. In ever‐larger dynamic systems, such as the food system, it is increasingly difficult for decision makers (DMs) to effectively account for all the variables within the system that may influence the outcomes of interest under enactments of various candidate policies. Each of the influencing variables is likely, themselves, to be dynamic subsystems with expert domains supported by sophisticated probabilistic models. Recent increases in food poverty in the United Kingdom have raised the questions about the main drivers of food insecurity, how this may be changing over time and how evidence can be used in evaluating policy for decision support. In this context, an IDSS is proposed for household food security to allow DMs to compare several candidate policies which may affect the outcome of food insecurity at the household level.

Suggested Citation

  • Martine J. Barons & Thais C. O. Fonseca & Andy Davis & Jim Q. Smith, 2022. "A decision support system for addressing food security in the United Kingdom," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(2), pages 447-470, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:185:y:2022:i:2:p:447-470
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12771
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12771
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/rssa.12771?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martine J. Barons & Sophia K. Wright & Jim Q. Smith, 2018. "Eliciting Probabilistic Judgements for Integrating Decision Support Systems," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Luis C. Dias & Alec Morton & John Quigley (ed.), Elicitation, chapter 0, pages 445-478, Springer.
    2. Martine J Barons & Willy Aspinall, 2020. "Anticipated impacts of Brexit scenarios on UK food prices and implications for policies on poverty and health: a structured expert judgement update," Papers 2010.15484, arXiv.org.
    3. Coleman-Jensen, Alisha & Rabbitt, Matthew P. & Gregory, Christian A. & Singh, Anita, 2016. "Statistical Supplement to Household Food Security in the United States in 2015," Administrative Publications 292103, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Martine J Barons & Willy Aspinall, 2019. "Anticipated impacts of Brexit scenarios on UK food prices and implications for policies on poverty and health: a structured expert judgement approach," Papers 1904.03053, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    5. Coleman-Jensen, Alisha & Rabbitt, Matthew P. & Gregory, Christian A. & Singh, Anita, 2016. "Household Food Security in the United States in 2015," Economic Research Report 262191, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    6. Manuele Leonelli & James Smith, 2015. "Bayesian decision support for complex systems with many distributed experts," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 235(1), pages 517-542, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jae Yeon Park & Arlette Saint Ville & Timothy Schwinghamer & Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez, 2019. "Heterogeneous factors predict food insecurity among the elderly in developed countries: insights from a multi-national analysis of 48 countries," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(3), pages 541-552, June.
    2. Alexandria J. Drake & Lora A. Phillips & Brajesh Karna & Shakthi Bharathi Murugesan & Lily K. Villa & Nathan A. Smith, 2023. "Food insecurity and disasters: predicting disparities in total and first-time food pantry visits during the COVID-19 pandemic," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(2), pages 493-504, April.
    3. Ourega-Zoé Ejebu & Stephen Whybrow & Lynda Mckenzie & Elizabeth Dowler & Ada L Garcia & Anne Ludbrook & Karen Louise Barton & Wendy Louise Wrieden & Flora Douglas, 2018. "What can Secondary Data Tell Us about Household Food Insecurity in a High-Income Country Context?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Jeffrey H Dorfman & Christian Gregory & Zhongyuan Liu & Ran Huo, 2019. "Re-Examining the SNAP Benefit Cycle Allowing for Heterogeneity," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 404-433.
    5. Wendy L. Ward & Taren M. Swindle & Angela L. Kyzer & Nicola Edge & Jasmin Sumrall & Leanne Whiteside-Mansell, 2019. "Maternal Depression: Relationship to Food Insecurity and Preschooler Fruit/Vegetable Consumption," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Marcia Y. Shade & Matthew Witry & Katie Robinson & Kevin Kupzyk, 2019. "Analysis of oral dietary supplement use in rural older adults," Journal of Clinical Nursing, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(9-10), pages 1600-1606, May.
    7. Elena Grimaccia & Alessia Naccarato, 2019. "Food Insecurity Individual Experience: A Comparison of Economic and Social Characteristics of the Most Vulnerable Groups in the World," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 391-410, May.
    8. Robin L. Dillon & Vicki M. Bier & Richard Sheffield John & Abdullah Althenayyan, 2023. "Closing the Gap Between Decision Analysis and Policy Analysts Before the Next Pandemic," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 20(2), pages 109-132, June.
    9. Joshua Berning & Rebecca Cleary & Alessandro Bonanno, 2023. "Food insecurity and time use in elderly vs. non‐elderly: An exploratory analysis," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(1), pages 280-299, March.
    10. Joshua Berning & Alessandro Bonanno & Rebecca Cleary, 2024. "Disparities in food insecurity among Black and White households: An analysis by age cohort, poverty, education, and home ownership," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(1), pages 234-254, March.
    11. Sourik Beltrán & Marissa Pharel & Canada T Montgomery & Itzel J López-Hinojosa & Daniel J Arenas & Horace M DeLisser, 2020. "Food insecurity and hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, November.
    12. Ren, Xin & Nane, Gabriela F. & Terwel, Karel C. & van Gelder, Pieter H.A.J.M., 2024. "Measuring the impacts of human and organizational factors on human errors in the Dutch construction industry using structured expert judgement," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    13. Coleman, Paul & Dhaif, Fatema & Oyebode, Oyinlola, 2020. "Food shortages, stockpiling and panic buying ahead of Brexit as reported by the British media: a mixed methods content analysis," SocArXiv vfqhn, Center for Open Science.
    14. Jayashankar, Priyanka & Raju, Sekar, 2020. "The effect of social cohesion and social networks on perceptions of food availability among low-income consumers," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 316-323.
    15. Jackson, Dylan B. & Johnson, Kecia R. & Vaughn, Michael G. & Hinton, Marissa E., 2019. "The role of neighborhoods in household food insufficiency: Considering interactions between physical disorder, low social capital, violence, and perceptions of danger," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 58-67.
    16. Danielle L. Nunnery & Jigna M. Dharod, 2017. "Potential determinants of food security among refugees in the U.S.: an examination of pre- and post- resettlement factors," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(1), pages 163-179, February.
    17. Katharine M. Broton & Kari E. Weaver & Minhtuyen Mai, 2018. "Hunger in Higher Education: Experiences and Correlates of Food Insecurity among Wisconsin Undergraduates from Low-Income Families," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 7(10), pages 1-25, September.
    18. Mark Christopher Navin & J. M. Dieterle, 2018. "Cooptation or solidarity: food sovereignty in the developed world," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 35(2), pages 319-329, June.
    19. Swann, Christopher A., 2017. "Household history, SNAP participation, and food insecurity," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1-9.
    20. Andrew Gelman & Christian Hennig, 2017. "Beyond subjective and objective in statistics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(4), pages 967-1033, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:185:y:2022:i:2:p:447-470. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rssssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.