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Dynamics of Price Transmission in the Presence of a Major Food Safety Shock: Impact of H5N1 Avian Influenza on the Turkish Poultry Sector

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  • Saghaian, Sayed H.
  • Ozertan, Gokhan
  • Spaulding, Aslihan D.

Abstract

This article addresses the dynamic impact of the 2005 H5N1 avian influenza outbreak on the Turkish poultry sector. Contemporary time-series analyses with historical decomposition graphs are used to address differences in monthly price adjustments between market levels along the Turkish poultry supply channel. The empirical results show that price adjustments are asymmetric with respect to both speed and magnitude along the marketing channel. Results also reveal a differential impact of the exogenous shock on producers and retailers. The findings have critical efficiency and equity implications for the supply-chain participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Saghaian, Sayed H. & Ozertan, Gokhan & Spaulding, Aslihan D., 2008. "Dynamics of Price Transmission in the Presence of a Major Food Safety Shock: Impact of H5N1 Avian Influenza on the Turkish Poultry Sector," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(3), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:47274
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.47274
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin B. Schmidt, 2000. "The Dynamic Behavior of Wages and Prices: Cointegration Tests within a Large Macroeconomic System," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(1), pages 123-138, July.
    2. Bordo, Michael David, 1980. "The Effects of Monetary Change on Relative Commodity Prices and the Role of Long-Term Contracts," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(6), pages 1088-1109, December.
    3. Sayed H. Saghaian & Leigh J. Maynard & Michael R. Reed, 2007. "The effects of E. coli 0157:H7, FMD and BSE on Japanese retail beef prices: A historical decomposition," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 131-147.
    4. Sayed H. Saghaian, 2007. "Beef safety shocks and dynamics of vertical price adjustment: The case of BSE discovery in the U.S. beef sector," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 333-348.
    5. Jochen Meyer & Stephan von Cramon‐Taubadel, 2004. "Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Survey," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 581-611, November.
    6. Martin B. Schmidt, 2000. "The Dynamic Behavior of Wages and Prices: Cointegration Tests within a Large Macroeconomic System," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(1), pages 123-138, July.
    7. Djunaidi, Harjanto & Djunaidi, Andrew C.M., 2007. "The Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza on World Poultry Trade and the U.S. Poultry Industry: A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-11, August.
    8. Martin B. Schmidt, 2000. "The Dynamic Behavior of Wages and Prices: Cointegration Tests within a Large Macroeconomic System," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 67(1), pages 123-138, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Degye Goshu, 2016. "The Dynamics of Food Price Convergence in Ethiopia," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 24(01), April.
    2. Lan Yi & Jianping Tao & Caifeng Tan & Zhongkun Zhu, 2019. "Avian Influenza, Public Opinion, and Risk Spillover: Measurement, Theory, and Evidence from China’s Broiler Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-44, April.
    3. Alejandro Acosta & Carlos Barrantes & Rico Ihle, 2020. "Animal disease outbreaks and food market price dynamics: Evidence from regime‐dependent modelling and connected scatterplots," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), pages 960-976, July.
    4. Hovhannisyan, Vardges & Devadoss, Stephen, 2021. "Effects of COVID-19 on the US Livestock and Meat Supply Chain," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315860, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Omid Zamani & Thomas Bittmann & Jens‐Peter Loy, 2022. "The role of temperature for seasonal market integration: a case study of poultry in Iran," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(1), pages 187-215, January.
    6. Samantha L. Durborow & Chanjin Chung & Seon‐woong Kim, 2017. "Implications of the 2006 E. coli outbreak on spatial price transmission in the U.S. fresh spinach market," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 475-492, September.
    7. Solomon Odiase & Sayed H. Saghaian, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Vertical Price Transmission in the U.S. Fresh Banana Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, May.
    8. T. S. Amjath-Babu & Timothy J. Krupnik & Shakuntala H. Thilsted & Andrew J. McDonald, 2020. "Key indicators for monitoring food system disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from Bangladesh towards effective response," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 12(4), pages 761-768, August.
    9. Hassouneh, Islam & Radwan, Amr & Serra, Teresa & Gil, José M., 2012. "Food scare crises and developing countries: The impact of avian influenza on vertical price transmission in the Egyptian poultry sector," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 264-274.
    10. Seok, Jun Ho & Kim, GwanSeon & Reed, Michael R. & Kim, Soo-Eun, 2018. "The impact of avian influenza on the Korean egg market: Who benefited?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 151-165.
    11. Ning Xie & Yurong Zhu & Heng Liu & Feng Ye & Xiaochun Liu, 2024. "Impacts of Different Epidemic Outbreaks on Broiler Industry Chain Price Fluctuations in China: Implications for Sustainable Food Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-17, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Development; Livestock Production/Industries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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