IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/gjagec/97707.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Automated model linkages: the example of CAPRI

Author

Listed:
  • Britz, Wolfgang

Abstract

Increasing demand for policy impact assessment regarding social, economic and environmental aspects asks for combined application of different models and tools. The paper discusses concepts and challenges in linking models, taking CAPRI (Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact) model as an example. CAPRI combines different economic models, spatial downscaling and interfaces to bio-physical components. 250 non-linear regional programming models with econometrically estimated costs functions cover the EU-27, Norway and Western Balkans. They are consistently linked to a spatial globally closed trade model, covering 60 countries / country blocks and 50 primary and secondary agricultural products. The link is based on sequential calibration: the market models prices drive the programming models whereas its supply and feed demand curves are calibrated to the programming models’ results, iteratively repeated to convergence. CAPRI integrates projection results from other model systems in the baseline generation and calibrates the supply models to econometric estimations or the supply response from other models as in SEAMLESS. The spatial down-scaling component breaks down the regional EU-27 results regarding cropping shares, crop yields, animal stocking densities and fertilizer application rates to about 140 000 1x1 km pixel cluster and links these results to a statistical meta model of the bio-physical model DNDC.

Suggested Citation

  • Britz, Wolfgang, 2008. "Automated model linkages: the example of CAPRI," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 57(08), pages 1-5.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gjagec:97707
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.97707
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/97707/files/2_Britz.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.97707?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beghin, John C. & Dong, Fengxia & Elobeid, Amani & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Fuller, Frank H. & Hart, Chad E. & Kovarik, Karen P. & Tokgoz, Simla & Yu, Tun-Hsiang & Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Edward & Woma, 2006. "FAPRI 2006 U.S. And World Agricultural Outlook," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12597, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
      • Beghin, John C. & Dong, Fengxia & Elobeid, Amani E. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Fuller, Frank H. & Hart, Chad E. & Kovarik, Karen & Tokgoz, Simla & Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward) & Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Eddi, 2006. "FAPRI 2006 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook," FAPRI Staff Reports 7319, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gocht, Alexander & Britz, Wolfgang & Ciaian, Pavel & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2011. "EU-wide Distributional Effects of EU Direct Payments Harmonization analyzed with CAPRI," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114624, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Deppermann, A. & Grethe, H. & Offermann, F., 2011. "Effekte einer EU-Agrarmarktliberalisierung auf Betriebsebene: Simulationen anhand eines europäischen Agrarsektormodells und eines Angebotsmodells für den deutschen Agrarsektor," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 46, March.
    3. Maja KOŽAR & Markus KEMPEN & Wolfgang BRITZ & Emil ERJAVEC, 2012. "Flattening and redistribution of the CAP direct payments for the EU27 regions," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 58(10), pages 443-453.
    4. Ruth Delzeit & Robert Beach & Ruben Bibas & Wolfgang Britz & Jean Chateau & Florian Freund & Julien Lefevre & Franziska Schuenemann & Timothy Sulser & Hugo Valin & Bas van Ruijven & Matthias Weitzel &, 2020. "Linking Global CGE Models with Sectoral Models to Generate Baseline Scenarios: Approaches, Challenges, and Opportunities," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 5(1), pages 162-195, June.
    5. Heckelei, Thomas & Britz, Wolfgang & Zhang, Yinan, 2012. "Positive Mathematical Programming Approaches – Recent Developments in Literature and Applied Modelling," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 1(1), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Britz, Wolfgang & Delzeit, Ruth, 2013. "The impact of German biogas production on European and global agricultural markets, land use and the environment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1268-1275.
    7. María Blanco & Benjamin Van Doorslaer & Wolfgang Britz & Heinz-Peter Witzke, 2012. "Exploring the feasibility of integrating water issues into the CAPRI model," JRC Research Reports JRC77058, Joint Research Centre.
    8. Mittenzwei, Klaus & Britz, Wolfgang & Wieck, Christine, 2014. "Does the “green box” of the European Union distort global markets?," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, April.
    9. Henseler, Martin & Dechow, Rene, 2014. "Simulation of regional nitrous oxide emissions from German agricultural mineral soils: A linkage between an agro-economic model and an empirical emission model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 70-82.
    10. Blanco, María & Ramos, Fabien & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Martínez, Pilar & Fumagalli, Davide & Ceglar, Andrej & Fernández, Francisco J., 2017. "Climate change impacts on EU agriculture: A regionalized perspective taking into account market-driven adjustments," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 52-66.
    11. Ruth Delzeit & Roberto Beach & Ruben Bibas & Wolfgang Britz & Jean Chateau & Florian Freund & Julien Lefevre & Franziska Schuenemann & Timothy Sulser & Hugo Valin & Bas van Ruijven & Matthias Weitzel , 2020. "Linking global CGE models with sectoral models to generate baseline scenarios: Approaches, opportunities and pitfalls," Post-Print hal-03128285, HAL.
    12. Waldemar BOJAR & Leszek KNOPIK & Jacek ŻARSKI & Renata KUŚMIEREK-TOMASZEWSKA, 2015. "Integrated assessment of crop productivity based on the food supply forecasting," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(11), pages 502-510.
    13. Gocht, Alexander & Britz, Wolfgang, 2011. "EU-wide farm type supply models in CAPRI--How to consistently disaggregate sector models into farm type models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 146-167, January.
    14. Gocht, Alexander & Britz, Wolfgang, 2010. "Eu-Wide Farm Types Supply In Capri - How To Consistently Disaggregate Sector Models Into Farm Type Model," 50th Annual Conference, Braunschweig, Germany, September 29-October 1, 2010 93960, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    15. Britz, Wolfgang & van Ittersum, Martin K. & Oude Lansink, Alfons G.J.M. & Heckelei, Thomas, 2012. "Tools for Integrated Assessment in Agriculture. State of the Art and Challenges," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 1(2), pages 1-26, August.
    16. Mittenzwei, Klaus & Britz, Wolfgang & Wieck, Christine, 2012. "Studying the effects of domestic support provisions on global agricultural trade: WTO and OECD policy indicators in the CAPRI model," Conference papers 332212, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    17. Blanco, Maria & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Britz, Wolfgang, 2012. "Assessing agriculture-water relationships: a Pan-European multidimensional modelling approach," 126th Seminar, June 27-29, 2012, Capri, Italy 126031, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Himics, Mihaly & Britz, Wolfgang, 2013. "Trade Diversion Effects of Preferential Trade Agreements Under Tariff Rate Quota Regimes," 135th Seminar, August 28-30, 2013, Belgrade, Serbia 160383, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Wąs, Adam & Zawalińska, Katarzyna & Britz, Wolfgang, 2014. "Impact Of “Greening” The Common Agricultural Policy On Sustainability Of European Agriculture: From Perspective Of The Baltic Sea Countries," Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, University of Life Sciences, Poznan, Poland, vol. 34(4), December.
    20. Martin Henseler & Ruth Delzeit & Marcel Adenäuer & Sarah Baum & Peter Kreins, 2020. "Nitrogen Tax and Set-Aside as Greenhouse Gas Abatement Policies Under Global Change Scenarios: A Case Study for Germany," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(2), pages 299-329, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. von Braun, Joachim, 2007. "The world food situation: New driving forces and required actions," Food policy reports 18, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. World Bank, 2008. "Ukraine Agricultural Competitiveness," World Bank Publications - Reports 19478, The World Bank Group.
    3. Samarendu Mohanty & E. Wesley & F. Peterson, 2005. "Food security and government interventions: A study of Indian grain markets," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 337-352.
    4. Jacinto F. Fabiosa & Yekaterina S. Ukhova, 2000. "New Aggregate and Source-Specific Pork Import Demand Elasticity for Japan: Implications to U.S. Exports," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 00-wp253, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    5. Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward) & Bessler, David A. & Fuller, Stephen W., 2006. "Cointegration and Causality Analysis of World Vegetable Oil and Crude Oil Prices," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21439, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes, 2001. "Response to an Asymmetric Demand for Attributes: An Application to the Market for Genetically Modified Crops," Midwest Agribusiness Trade Research and Information Center (MATRIC) Publications (archive only) 01-mwp5, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    7. Deblitz, Claus, 2005. "Selected Results of the IFCN Beef Network," 15th Congress, Campinas SP, Brazil, August 14-19, 2005 24239, International Farm Management Association.
    8. Nolte, Stephan & Grethe, Harald, 2012. "Der Markt für Zucker," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 61(Supplemen), pages 1-14, February.
    9. Frank Fuller & John C. Beghin & Jacinto Fabiosa & Samarendu Mohanty & Cheng Fang & Phillip Kaus, 2002. "Accession of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland to the European Union: Impacts on Agricultural Markets," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 407-428, March.
    10. Schluep Campo, Isabelle & Beghin, John C., 2006. "Dairy food consumption, supply, and policy in Japan," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 228-237, June.
    11. Nusser, Michael & Sheridan, Patrick & Walz, Rainer & Wydra, Sven & Seydel, Philipp, 2007. "Makroökonomische Effekte von nachwachsenden Rohstoffen," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 56(05-06), pages 1-11.
    12. Nolte, Stephan & Buysse, Jeroen & Van der Straeten, Bart & Claeys, Dakerlia & Lauwers, Ludwig H. & Van Huylenbroeck, Guido, 2010. "Modelling the effects of an abolition of the EU sugar quota on internal prices, production and imports," 114th Seminar, April 15-16, 2010, Berlin, Germany 61346, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Nusser, Michael & Sheridan, Patrick & Walz, Rainer & Wydra, Sven & Seydel, Philipp, 2007. "Makroökonomische Effekte von nachwachsenden Rohstoffen," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 56(5/6).
    14. Jacinto F. Fabiosa & Yekaterina S. Ukhova, 2000. "New Aggregate and Source-Specific Pork Import Demand Elasticity for Japan: Implications to U.S. Exports," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications (archive only) 00-wp253, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    15. Reynolds, Sanri & Meyer, Ferdinand & Cutts, Michela & Vink, Nick, 2009. "Modeling Long-term Commodities: the Development of a Simulation Model for the South African Wine Industry within a Partial Equilibrium Framework," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 201-218, January.
    16. Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Du, Xiaodong & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2011. "Second generation biofuels: Economics and policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4222-4234, July.
    17. Banse, Martin & Grethe, Harald, 2006. "Using the Logistic Functional Form for Modelling International Price Transmission in Net Trade Simulation Models," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25344, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Sengupta, Sanchita, 2010. "Three Essays in Environmental and Agricultural Issues," ISU General Staff Papers 201001010800002848, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    19. Tangen, Alyssa & Koo, Won W. & Taylor, Richard D., 2011. "Recent Changes in Chinese and India's Agriculture and Implications on Global Trade of Agricultural Commodities," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 99345, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    20. Hamda, Yonas & Qasmi, Bashir & Fausti, Scott, 2009. "Grain Elevator Industry Revisited," Issue Briefs 2009509, South Dakota State University, Department of Economics.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:gjagec:97707. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iahubde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.