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Content
2020
- 2020-44 Financial factors and the business cycle
by Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong
- 2020-43 Diagnosing housing fever with an econometric thermometer
by Shuping Shi & Peter C B Phillips
- 2020-42 Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets
by Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb
- 2020-41 Flickering lifelines: Electrification and household welfare in India
by Ashish Kumar Sedai & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb
- 2020-40 Secular stagnation and low interest rates under the fear of a government debt crisis
by Keiichiro Kobayashi & Kozo Ueda
- 2020-39 The moderating role of green energy and energy-innovation in environmental Kuznets: Insights from quantile-quantile analysis
by Hammed Oluwaseyi Musibau & Maria Yanotti & Joaquin Vespignani & Rabindra Nepal
- 2020-38 A note on the impact of the inclusion of an anchor number in the inflation expectations survey question
by Monique Reid & Hanjo Odendaal & Stan Du Plessis & Pierre Siklos
- 2020-37 The role of financial journalists in the expectations channel of the monetary transmission mechanism
by Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos & Timothy Guetterman & Stan Du Plessis
- 2020-36 Financial conditions and the risks to economic growth in the United States since 1875
by Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey
- 2020-35 Social distancing and contagion in a discrete choice model of COVID-19
by Giorgos Baskozos & Giorgos Galanis & Corrado Di Guilmi
- 2020-34 The role of precautionary and speculative demand in the global market for crude oil
by Jamie L. Cross & Bao H. Nguyen & Trung Duc Tran
- 2020-33 Clean energy and household remittances in Bangladesh: Evidence from a natural experiment
by Gazi M Hassan
- 2020-32 Shock dependence of exchange rate pass-through: A comparative analysis of BVARs and DSGEs
by Mariarosaria Comunale
- 2020-31 The effectiveness of currency intervention in a commodity-exporter: Evidence from Mongolia
by Victor Pontines & Davaajargal Luvsannyam & Enkhjin Atarbaatar & Ulziikhutag Munkhtsetseg
- 2020-30 Forecasting natural gas prices using highly flexible time-varying parameter models
by Shen Gao & Chenghan Hou & Bao H. Nguyen
- 2020-29 Trade elasticity: Estimates from product-level data
by Juyoung Cheong & Do Won Kwak & Kam Ki Tang
- 2020-28 Too many shocks spoil the interpretation
by Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson
- 2020-27 On bootstrapping tests of equal forecast accuracy for nested models
by Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque
- 2020-25 Anchored inflation expectations
by Carlos Carvalho & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston
- 2020-24 Subdued potential growth: Sources and remedies
by Sinem Kilic Celik & M.Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge
- 2020-23 Can this time be different? Policy options in times of rising debt
by M.Ayhan Kose & Peter S. O. Nagle & Franziska L. Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara
- 2020-20 Demographic impacts on life cycle portfolios and financial market structures
by Weifeng Liu & Phitawat Poonpolkul
- 2020-19 The global macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19: Seven scenarios
by Warwick McKibbin & Roshen Fernando
- 2020-18 Disentangling commodity demand, commodity supply, and international liquidity shocks on an emerging market
by Renee Fry-McKibbin & Rodrigo da Silva Souza
- 2020-17 Global implications of a US-led currency war
by Adam Triggs & Warwick J McKibbin
- 2020-16 Resource rents, political rights and civil liberties
by Robert Breunig & Anthony Wiskich & Chris Wokker
- 2020-15 How wages respond to the job-finding and job-to-job transition rates? Evidence from New Zealand administrative data
by Christopher Ball & Nicolas Groshenny & Özer Karagedikli & Murat Özbilgin & Finn Robinson
- 2020-14 Monetary policy when preferences are quasi-hyperbolic
by Richard Dennis & Oleg Kirsanov
- 2020-13 Emerging and developing economies: Ten years after the global recession
by M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge
- 2020-12 Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
by Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad
- 2020-11 Dual labor market, inflation, and aggregate demand in an agent-based model of the Japanese macroeconomy
by Corrado Di Guilmi & Yoshi Fujiwara
- 2020-10 Global recessions
by M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara & Marco E. Terrones
- 2020-09 Debt and financial crises
by Wee Chian Koh & M. Ayhan Kose & Peter S. Nagle & Franziska L. Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara
- 2020-08 State-level wage Phillips curves
by George Kapetanios & Simon Price & Menelaos Tasiou & Alexia Ventouri
- 2020-07 Identification robust empirical evidence on the Euler equation in open economies
by Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson
- 2020-06 Rational bubbles in non-linear business cycle models: Closed and open economies
by Robert Kollmann
- 2020-05 Who did it? A European detective story was it real, financial, monetary and/or institutional: Tracking growth in the Euro area with an atheoretical tool
by Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli
- 2020-04 Evolution or revolution? Distributed ledger technologies in financial services
by Anil Savio Kavuri & Alistair Milne
- 2020-03 The case for reform of the RBA's policy and communication strategy
by Bruce Preston
- 2020-02 The real effects of loan-to-value limits: Empirical evidence from Korea
by Victor Pontines
- 2020-01 Aging labor, ICT capital, and productivity in Japan and Korea
by Jong-Wha Lee & Do Won Kwak & Eunbi Song
2019
- 2019-91 Private news and monetary policy - Forward guidance as Bayesian persuasion
by Ippei Fujiwara & Yuichiro Waki
- 2019-90 Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach
by Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani
- 2019-89 The industrial impact of economic uncertainty shocks in Australia
by Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani
- 2019-88 Dynamic cost of living index for storable goods
by Kozo Ueda
- 2019-87 Empirical evidence on the dynamics of investment under uncertainty in the US
by Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson & Kazuki Tomioka
- 2019-86 Risk-sensitive preferences and age-dependent risk aversion
by Phitawat Poonpolkul
- 2019-85 Evaluating the portfolio rebalancing hypothesis in the presence of the international goods market
by Kate McKinnon
- 2019-84 Investigating the drivers of international comovement in real financial asset returns
by Kate McKinnon
- 2019-83 Uncertainty in a disaggregate model: A data rich approach using Google search queries
by Kalvinder Shields & Trung Duc Tran
- 2019-82 The Growth Effects of El Niño and La Niña: Local Weather Conditions Matter
by Cécile Couharde & Olivier Damette & Rémi Generoso & Kamiar Mohaddes
- 2019-81 Checking if the straitjacket fits
by Adrian Pagan & Michael Wickens
- 2019-80 US banking deregulation and local economic growth: Direct effects and externalities
by Pieter IJtsma & Sherrill Shaffer & Laura Spierdijk
- 2019-79 What is new about cryptocurrencies? A visual analysis
by Anil Savio Kavuri & Alistair Milne & Justine Wood
- 2019-78 Oil curse, economic growth and trade openness
by Monoj Kumar Majumder & Mala Raghavan & Joaquin Vespignani
- 2019-77 Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs
by Joshua C.C. Chan
- 2019-76 Small firms and domestic bank dependence in Europe’s great recession
by Mathias Hoffmann & Egor Maslov & Bent E. Sørensen
- 2019-75 Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results
by Efrem Castelnuovo
- 2019-74 Turning point and oscillatory cycles
by Mariano Kulish & Adrian Pagan
- 2019-73 Animal spirits, risk premia and monetary policy at the zero lower bound
by Christian R. Proaño & Benjamin Lojak
- 2019-72 Decreasing substitutability between clean and dirty energy
by Anthony Wiskich
- 2019-71 A comment on innovation in "The environment and directed technical change"
by Anthony Wiskich
- 2019-70 Optimal climate policy with directed technical change, extensive margins and decreasing substitutability between clean and dirty energy
by Anthony Wiskich
- 2019-69 US monetary policy since the 1950s and the changing content of FOMC minutes
by Pierre L Siklos
- 2019-68 A tale of two taxes: State-dependency of tax policy
by K. Peren Arin & Emin Gahramanov & Tolga Omay & Mehmet A. Ulubasoglu
- 2019-67 On the transmission channels for the resource curse
by K. Peren Arin & Elias Braunfels & Christina Zenker
- 2019-66 A closer look at the employment effects of fiscal policy shocks: What have minorities got to do with it?
by Wifag Adnan & K. Peren Arin & Aysegul Corakci & Nicola Spagnolo
- 2019-65 Weighing cows, geoengineering and coal under a climate tipping risk and a temperature target
by Anthony Wiskich
- 2019-64 The optimal carbon tax with a tipping climate and peak temperature
by Anthony Wiskich
- 2019-63 Transmission of a resource boom: The case of Australia
by Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry-McKibbin & Vladimir Volkov
- 2019-62 Global factors and trend inflation
by Gunes Kamber & Benjamin Wong
- 2019-61 Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs
by Joshua C. C. Chan
- 2019-60 An investigation of the exchange rate pass-through in the Baltic states
by Mariarosaria Comunale
- 2019-59 The shale oil boom and the US economy: Spillovers and time-varying effects
by Hilde C. Bjørnland & Julia Zhulanova
- 2019-58 Early 20th century American exceptionalism: Production, trade and diffusion of the automobile
by Dong Cheng & Mario J Crucini & Hyunseung Oh & Hakan Yilmazkuday
- 2019-57 Did the American recovery and reinvestment act help counties most affected by the great recession?
by Mario J Crucini & Nam T Vu
- 2019-56 Supply flexibility in the shale patch: Evidence from North Dakota
by Hilde C. Bjørnland & Frode Martin Nordvik & Maximilian Rohrer
- 2019-55 Dutch disease dynamics reconsidered
by Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Ragnar Torvik
- 2019-54 A short review on the economics of artificial intelligence
by Yingying Lu & Yixiao Zhou
- 2019-53 How resilient is ASEAN-5 to trade shocks? Regional and global shocks compared
by Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason
- 2019-52 House prices post-GFC: More household debt for longer
by Creina Day
- 2019-51 Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs
by Joshua C. C. Chan
- 2019-50 Australian macro-econometric models and their construction - A short history
by Adrian Pagan
- 2019-49 Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change: A cross-country analysis
by Matthew E. Kahn & Kamiar Mohaddes & Ryan N. C. Ng & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi & Jui-Chung Yang
- 2019-48 Inflation and monetary policy: What South African newspapers report in an era of policy transparency
by Monique Reid & Zinette Bergman & Stan Du Plessis & Manfred Max Bergman & Pierre L. Siklos
- 2019-47 Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools
by Anthony Garratt & Timo Henckel & Shaun P. Vahey
- 2019-46 Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation
by Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu
- 2019-45 An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison
by Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu
- 2019-44 Monetary policy, inflation target and the great moderation: An empirical investigation
by Qazi Haque
- 2019-43 Analyzing credit risk transmission to the non-financial sector in Europe: A network approach
by Christian Gross & Pierre L. Siklos
- 2019-42 Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets: Do speculators contribute?
by Martin T. Bohl & Pierre L. Siklos & Martin Stefan & Claudia Wellenreuther
- 2019-41 Implications of partial information for econometric modeling of macroeconomic systems
by Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson
- 2019-40 Can loss aversion shed light on the deflation puzzle?
by Jenny N. Lye & Ian M. McDonald
- 2019-39 Demographic change, human capital, and economic growth in Korea
by Jong-Suk Han & Jong-Wha Lee
- 2019-38 Yield curve and financial uncertainty: Evidence based on US data
by Efrem Castelnuovo
- 2019-37 Females, the elderly, and also males: Demographic aging and macroeconomy in Japan
by Sagiri Kitao & Minamo Mikoshiba & Hikaru Takeuchi
- 2019-36 Dimensions of inequality in Japan: Distributions of earnings, income and wealth between 1984 and 2014
by Sagiri Kitao & Tomoaki Yamada
- 2019-35 US-China rivalry: The macro policy choices
by Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou
- 2019-34 Residual shape risk on natural gas market with mixed jump diffusion
by Karel Janda & Jakub Kourilek
- 2019-33 New kid on the block? China vs the US in world oil markets
by Jamie Cross & Bao H. Nguyen & Bo Zhang
- 2019-32 On the relationship between domestic saving and the current account: Evidence and theory for developing countries
by Markus Brueckner & Wojtek Paczos & Evi Pappa
- 2019-31 Absolute momentum, sustainable withdrawal rates and glidepath investing in US retirement portfolios from 1925
by Andrew Clare & James Seaton & Peter N. Smith & Stephen Thomas
- 2019-30 Changes in the inflation target and the comovement between inflation and the nominal interest rate
by Yunjong Eo & Denny Lie
- 2019-29 Inflation expectations: Review and evidence
by M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek
- 2019-28 Why do fiscal multipliers depend on fiscal positions?
by Raju Huidrom & M. Ayhan Kose & Jamus J. Lim & Franziska L. Ohnsorge
- 2019-27 Risk aversion among Australian households
by Robert Breunig & Owen Freestone
- 2019-26 Stagnation vs singularity: The global implications of alternative productivity growth scenarios
by Warwick J. McKibbin & Adam Triggs
- 2019-25 An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models
by Mala Raghavan
- 2019-24 Global inflation synchronization
by Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge
- 2019-23 A provincial view of consumption risk sharing: Asset classes as shock absorbers
by Victor Pontines
- 2019-22 Understanding inflation in emerging and developing economies
by Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge
- 2019-21 Macroeconomic time-series evidence that energy efficiency improvements do not save energy
by Stephan B. Bruns & Alessio Moneta & David I. Stern
- 2019-20 The relationship between fuel and food prices: Methods, outcomes, and lessons for commodity price risk management
by Karel Janda & Ladislav Kristoufek
- 2019-19 Large Bayesian vector autoregressions
by Joshua C. C. Chan
- 2019-18 FinTech and the future of financial services: What are the research gaps?
by Anil Savio Kavuri & Alistair Milne
- 2019-17 Measuring multi-product banks' market power using the Lerner index
by Sherrill Shaffer & Laura Spierdijk
- 2019-16 Role of expectations in a liquidity trap
by Kohei Hasui & Yoshiyuki Nakazono & Yuki Teranishi
- 2019-15 Improved methods for combining point forecasts for an asymmetrically distributed variable
by Ozer Karagedikli & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly
- 2019-14 The Australian real-time fiscal database: A overview and an illustration of its use in analysing planned and realised fiscal policies
by Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kalvinder Shields & Madeleine Sui-Lay Tan
- 2019-13 Measuring the fiscal multiplier when plans take time to implement
by Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kian Ong & Kalvinder Shields
- 2019-12 Money-financed fiscal stimulus: The effects of implementation lag
by Takayuki Tsuruga & Shota Wake
- 2019-11 The US-China trade dispute: A macro perspective
by Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou
- 2019-10 Uncertainty and sign-dependent effects of oil market shocks
by Bao H. Nguyen & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto & Trung Duc Tran
- 2019-09 Financial integration and the global effects of China's growth surge
by Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou
- 2019-08 Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage
by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon
- 2019-07 The gains from catch-up for China and the US: An empirical framework
by Mardi Dungey & Denise R. Osborn
- 2019-06 Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks using a GVAR
by Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Kamiar Mohaddes
- 2019-05 The dynamics of health care and growth: A model with physician in dual practice
by Baris Alpaslan & King Yoong Lim & Yan Song
- 2019-04 Global economic and environmental outcomes of the Paris Agreement
by Weifeng Liu & Warwick McKibbin & Adele Morris & Peter J Wilcoxen
- 2019-03 Tourist arrivals, energy consumption and pollutant emissions in a developing economy–Implications for sustainable tourism
by M. Indra al Irsyad & Rabindra Nepal & Sanjay Kumar Nepal
- 2019-02 Estimating the impacts of financing support policies towards photovoltaic market in Indonesia: A social-energy-economy-environment (SE3) model simulation
by M. Indra al Irsyad & Anthony Halog & Rabindra Nepal
- 2019-01 Will the real eigensystem VAR please stand up? A univariate primer
by Leo Krippner
2018
2017