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C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

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Content

1987

199 On the Effectiveness of Discrete Devaluation in Balance of Payments Adjustments
by Katseli, Louka Tarsitsa
198 International Cooperation and Reputation in an Empirical Two-Bloc Model
by Currie, David & Levine, Paul L & Vidalis, Nic
197 Economic Burden or Benefit? A Positive View of Old Age
by Thane, Pat
196 Cooperation, Harassment, and Involuntary Unemployment: An Insider-Outsider Approach
by Lindbeck, Assar & Snower, Dennis J.
195 Exchange Rate Protection and Exchange Rate Conflict
by Bliss, Christopher & Joshi, Vijay R
194 Juvenile Unemployment in Interwar Britain: The Emergence of a Problem
by Eichengreen, Barry
193 Hegemonic Stability Theories of the International Monetary System
by Eichengreen, Barry
192 Government Deficits and Speculation
by Honkapohja, Seppo & Lempinen, Urho
191 The Effects of Housing Distortions on Unemployment
by Ashton, Paul & Minford, Patrick & Peel, Michael
190 International Policy Cooperation and Model Uncertainty
by Holtham, Gerald & Hughes Hallett, Andrew
189 Forward Foreign Exchange Rates, Expected Spot Rates, and Premia: A Signal-Extraction Approach
by Wolff, Christian C
188 Exchange Rates, Innovations and Forecasting
by Wolff, Christian C
187 Forward Exchange Rates and Expected Future Spot Rates
by Wolff, Christian C
186 A Quarterly Model of the Labour Market in Interwar Britain
by Hatton, Timothy J.
185 An Intertemporal Version of Mundell's Two-Country Flexible Exchange Rates Model with Disequilibrium Microfoundations: Is Policy Interdependence Inevitable?
by Rankin, Neil
184 Competitiveness, Oil Prices and Government Expenditure in the United Kingdom Business Cycle
by Alogoskoufis, George
183 Monetary Policy and the International Implications of the Phillips Curve in an Open Economy
by Alogoskoufis, George
182 Public Ownership: Concepts and Applications
by Mayer, Colin
181 New Issues in Corporate Finance
by Mayer, Colin
180 Vehicle Currencies, Bank Debt and the Asset Market Approach to Exchange Rate Determination: The US Dollar, 1980-1985
by Thomas, Stephen H & Wickens, Michael R.
179 Demographic Change, Economic Growth and Social Welfare in Europe
by Ermisch, John F & Joshi, Heather
178 Monetary Discipline, Germany, and the European Monetary System
by Melitz, Jacques
177 Sterling Misalignment and British Trade Performance
by Bean, Charles R
176 Cable and Satellite - The Market for Programmes
by Veljanovski, Cento G
175 Commercial Broadcasting in the UK - Over-Regulation and Misregulation?
by Veljanovski, Cento G
174 Road User Charges in Britain
by Newbery, David M G
173 Modelling Energy Demand and Household Welfare Using Micro-Data
by Baker, Paul & Blundell, Richard William & Micklewright, John
172 A Two-Country Model with Asymmetric Phillips Curves and Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market
by Artis, Michael J & Gazioglu, Saziye
171 The Effects of the Tax-Benefit System on UK Unemployment: A Microeconomic Analysis
by Beenstock, Michael
170 Regret and Jubilation in Union Wage Bargaining
by Beenstock, Michael
169 International Policy Coordination in Interdependent Monetary Economies
by van der Ploeg, Frederick
168 Wage Rigidity and Capital Mobility in an Optimizing Model of a Small Open Economy
by van de Klundert, Theo C N J & van der Ploeg, Frederick
167 Monetary and Fiscal Policy in an Optimizing Model with Capital Accumulation and Finite Lives
by Marini, Giancarlo & van der Ploeg, Frederick
166 'Locomotive' and Other Channels of Transmission under Flexible Exchange Rates
by Braga de Macedo, Jorge
165 The Balance of Payments of Oil Importing Countries: An Aggregate Econometric Analysis
by Beenstock, Michael
164 An Aggregate Model of Output, Inflation and Interest Rates for Industrialised Countries
by Beenstock, Michael
163 Portugal and Europe: The Longest Transition
by Braga de Macedo, Jorge
162 Currency Inconvertibility, Trade Taxes and Smuggling
by Braga de Macedo, Jorge
161 Smugglers' Blues at the Central Bank: Lessons from Sudan
by Braga de Macedo, Jorge & Branson, William H
160 Patterns of World Trade in Manufactures: Does Trade Policy Matter?
by Winters, L. Alan
159 Macroeconomic Policy Games with Incomplete Information: Some Extensions
by Driffill, John
158 Explaining Changes in the Union Mark-up for Male Manual Workers in Great Britain, 1953-83
by Beenstock, Michael & Whitbread, Chris
157 Family Responsibilities and Pay Differentials: Evidence from Men and Women Born in 1946
by Joshi, Heather & Newell, Marie-Louise
156 Pay Differences Between Men and Women: Longitudinal Evidence from the 1946 Birth Cohort
by Joshi, Heather & Newell, Marie-Louise
155 Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices
by Nickell, Stephen & Wadhwani, Sushil B
154 Dynamic Specification, the Long Run and the Estimation of Transformed Regression Models
by Breusch, Trevor S & Wickens, Michael R.
153 Budget Deficits, Interest Rates and the Incentive Effects of Income Tax Cuts
by Bean, Charles R & van Wijnbergen, Sweder
152 The Price, Output and Exchange Rate-Overshooting Effects of Monetary, Fiscal and Exchange Intervention Policy in a Two-Country Disequilibrium Model
by Rankin, Neil
151 Macroeconomic Policy Design with Incomplete Information: A New Argument for Coordinating Economic Policies
by Hughes Hallett, Andrew
150 Econometric Approaches to the Specification of Life-Cycle Labour Supply and Commodity Demand Behaviour
by Blundell, Richard William
149 Unemployment and Female Labour Supply
by Blundell, Richard William & Ham, John & Meghir, Costas

1986

148 Theoretical and Empirical Determinants of International Labour Mobility: A Greek-German Perspective
by Glytsos, Nicholas & Katseli, Louka Tarsitsa
147 Long-Term Unemployment, Excess Demand and the Wage Equation in Britain, 1925-39
by Crafts, Nicholas
146 Endogenous Market Thinness and Stock Price Volatility
by Pagano, Marco
145 From Labour History to the History of Industrial Relations
by Zeitlin, Jonathan
144 Market Size, the Informational Content of Stock Prices and Risk: A Multiasset Model and some Evidence
by Pagano, Marco
143 Government Deficits, Private Investment and the Current Account: An Intertemporal Disequilibrium Analysis
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
142 Trading Volume and Asset Liquidity
by Pagano, Marco
141 How Should Control Theory be Used by a Time-Consistent Government?
by Cohen, Daniel & Michel, Philippe
140 Economics of the Family: Applications to Divorce and Remarriage
by Ermisch, John F
139 East-West Trade, Embargoes and Expectations
by Smith, Alasdair
138 Is Time-Inconsistent Behaviour Really Possible?
by Hughes Hallett, Andrew
137 Strategic Investment, Multinational Corporations and Trade Policy
by Smith, Alasdair
136 The Economic Consequences of the Franc Poincare
by Eichengreen, Barry & Wyplosz, Charles
135 The Advantages of Tying One's Hands: EMS Discipline and Central Bank Credibility
by Giavazzi, Francesco & Pagano, Marco
134 Productivity, Wages and Prices Inside and Outside of Manufacturing in the US, Japan and Europe
by Gordon, Robert J
133 Efficiency Wages Versus Insiders and Outsiders
by Lindbeck, Assar & Snower, Dennis J.
132 Structural Adjustment, Macroeconomic Adjustment and Poverty: A Methodology for Analysis
by Kanbur, Ravi
131 Between Fordism and Flexibility: The Automobile Industry and its Workers - Past, Present and Future
by Tolliday, Steven & Zeitlin, Jonathan
130 The Anatomy of Financial Crises
by Eichengreen, Barry & Portes, Richard
129 Fiscal Prerequisites for a Viable Managed Exchange Rate Regime: A Non-Technical Eclectic Introduction
by Buiter, Willem H.
128 Structural and Stabilization Aspects of Fiscal and Financial Policy in the Dependent Economy
by Buiter, Willem H.
127 The Econometric Analysis of Risk Terms
by Pagan, Adrian & Ullah, Aman
126 Granger Causality and Policy Ineffectiveness: A Rejoinder
by Buiter, Willem H.
125 A Gold Standard Isn't Viable Unless Supported by Sufficiently Flexible Monetary and Fiscal Policy
by Buiter, Willem H.
124 The Consistency of Optimal Policy in Stochastic Rational Expectations Models
by Backus, David & Driffill, John
123 Monetary Policy Interactions under Managed Exchange Rates
by Giavazzi, Francesco & Giovannini, Alberto
122 Policy Design and Operation in a Macroeconomic Model with a Managed Exchange Rate under Different Expectational Regimes
by Christodoulakis, Nikos & Vines, David & Weale, Martin
120 Trade Policy with Increasing Returns and Imperfect Competition: Contradictory Results from Competing Assumptions
by Markusen, James R. & Venables, Anthony J
119 When International Policy Coordination Matters: An Empirical Analysis
by Canzoneri, Matthew B & Minford, Patrick
118 Industrial Countries' Agricultural Policy: How, What and Why?
by Winters, L. Alan
117 Protection, Economic War and Structural Change: The 1930s in Ireland
by Neary, J Peter & O'Gráda, Cormac
116 Impacts of Policy Actions on the Family and Household
by Ermisch, John F
115 Capital Accumulation, Inflation and Long-Run Conflict in International Objectives
by van der Ploeg, Frederick
114 Union Activity and Economic Resilience
by Lindbeck, Assar & Snower, Dennis J.
113 Female Labour Force Participation: The Enigma of the Interwar Period
by Hatton, Timothy J.
112 Habits, Rationality and Myopia in the Life-Cycle Consumption Function
by Muellbauer, John
111 The Estimation of Linear Models with Future Rational Expectations by Efficient and Instrumental Variable Methods
by Wickens, Michael R.
110 Britain in Europe: A Survey of Quantitative Trade Studies
by Winters, L. Alan
109 Energy Policy Issues after Privatisation
by Newbery, David M G
108 The Impact of Interdependence on Economic Policy Design: The Case of the US, EEC and Japan
by Hughes Hallett, Andrew
107 Currency Substitution in a Two-Asset Two-Country Model: A Simulation Approach
by Artis, Michael J & Gazioglu, Saziye
106 The Determinants of the Money Multiplier in the United Kingdom
by Beenstock, Michael & Chan, Kam-Fai
105 The Market for Labour in Interwar Britain
by Beenstock, Michael & Warburton, Peter J
104 Rational Expectations and Monetary Policy
by Minford, Patrick
103 Counterfeit Product Trade
by Grossman, Gene
102 The Sustainability of Optimal Cooperative Macroeconomic Policies in a Two-Country World
by Currie, David & Levine, Paul L
101 The Privatisation of British Gas and the Possible Consequences for the European Gas Market
by Newbery, David M G
100 Finance, Trade and Development: Issues in Transatlantic Cooperation
by Portes, Richard
99 Occupational Pension Funds: Getting the Long-Run Answers Right
by Hannah, Leslie
98 Commodity Market Stabilisation and `North-South' Income Transfers: An Empirical Investigation
by Hughes Hallett, Andrew
97 The Prospect of a Depreciating Dollar and Possible Tension Inside the EMS
by Melitz, Jacques
96 The Dynamic Stability of the European Monetary System
by Melitz, Jacques & Michel, Philippe
95 Borrowing to Defend the Exchange Rate and the Timing and Magnitude of Speculative Attacks
by Buiter, Willem H.
94 Credibility and Time Inconsistency in a Stochastic World
by Currie, David & Levine, Paul L
93 Macroeconomic Responses by Developing Countries to Changes in External Economic Conditions
by Buiter, Willem H.
92 Macroeconomic Policy Design in an Interdependent World Economy: An Analysis of Three Contingencies
by Buiter, Willem H.
91 The Theory and Measurement of Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies
by Portes, Richard

1985

90 Primary Commodity Prices, the Business Cycle and the Real Exchange Rate of the Dollar
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
89 Capital Controls and the Real Exchange Rate
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
88 Aid, Export Promotion and the Real Exchange Rate: An African Dilemma?
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
87 Fiscal Deficits, Exchange Rate Crises and Inflation
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
86 On Evaluating the Importance of Non-Linearity in Large Macroeconometric Models
by Fisher, Paul & Salmon, Mark
85 Unemployment in Interwar Britain: New Evidence from London
by Eichengreen, Barry
84 Taxation Versus Spending as the Fiscal Instrument for Demand Management: A Disequilibrium Welfare Approach
by Rankin, Neil
83 Comparative Advantage in UK Manufacturing Trade, 1910-1935
by Crafts, Nicholas & Thomas, Stephen H
82 Demographic Change and Medical Care
by Winter, Jay M
81 European Policy Coordination: An Evaluation
by Oudiz, Gilles
80 Learning-by-doing, Market Structure and Industrial and Trade Policies
by Dasgupta, Partha & Stiglitz, Joseph E
79 Interest Rates and Bond-Financed Deficits in a Ricardian Two-Party Democracy
by Minford, Patrick
78 Alternative Financial Policy Rules in an Open Economy Under Rational and Adaptive Expectations
by Blackburn, Keith & Currie, David & Whittaker, R & Wren-Lewis, Simon
77 How Much Could the International Coordination of Economic Policies Achieve? An Example from US-EEC Policy Making
by Hughes Hallett, Andrew
76 Long-Term Unemployment in Britain in the 1930s
by Crafts, Nicholas
75 Debt and Default in the 1930s: Causes and Consequences
by Eichengreen, Barry & Portes, Richard
74 International Trade, Trade and Industrial Policy and Imperfect Competition: A Survey
by Venables, Anthony J
73 Information Disclosure and the Economics of Science and Technology
by Dasgupta, Partha & David, Paul
72 Modelling Migration to the New World: Some Problems
by Geary, Patrick T. & O'Gráda, Cormac
71 Immigration and the Real Wage: Time Series Evidence from the United States, 1820-1977
by Geary, Patrick T. & O'Gráda, Cormac
70 The Cost and Benefits of Ownership: A Theory of Vertical and Lateral Integration
by Grossman, Sanford J & Hart, Oliver
69 World Oil Prices and Output Losses in Developing Countries
by Pearce, David & Westoby, Richard
68 Procrustean Econometrics: Stretching and Squeezing Data
by Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham Ernest
67 Wage Rigidity, Implicit Contracts, Unemployment and Economic Efficiency
by Newbery, David M G & Stiglitz, Joseph E
66 The Analysis of Unemployment in Interwar Britain: A Survey of Research
by Hatton, Timothy J.
65 Oil Price Shocks, Unemployment, Investment and the Current Account: An Intertemporal Disequilibrium Analysis
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
64 Does Elastic Retract? The Effect of Recession on Women's Labour Force Participation
by Joshi, Heather & Owen, Susan J
63 Credibility and Commitment in Economic Policy
by Backus, David & Driffill, John
62 Company Expectations and New Information: An Application of Kalman Filtering
by Mayer, Colin & Mors, Matthias
61 Theory and Policy of Adjustment in an Open Economy
by Neary, J Peter
60 Incomplete Contracts and Renegotiation
by Hardman Moore, John & Hart, Oliver
59 The Fundamental Theorem of Road User Charges
by Newbery, David M G
58 International Capital Mobility, Shadow Prices and the Cost of Protection
by Neary, J Peter & Ruane, Frances
57 Selection Criteria for a Microeconometric Model of Labour Supply
by Blundell, Richard William & Meghir, Costas
56 Macroeconomic Policies in the OECD and LDC External Adjustment
by McKibbin, Warwick & Sachs, Jeffrey
55 International Monetary Policy to Promote Economic Recovery
by Buiter, Willem H.
54 The Estimation of 'Surprise' Models and the 'Surprise' Consumption Function
by Bean, Charles R
53 Exchange Rates, Risk Premia and New Information: A Note
by Bean, Charles R
52 On Two Aspects of Post-War Irish Emigration
by O'Gráda, Cormac
51 From Survey to Sample: Labor Market Data for Interwar London
by Eichengreen, Barry & Freiwald, Susan
50 Inequality, Malnutrition and Unemployment
by Dasgupta, Partha & Ray, Debraj
49 Subsidisation vs Information Provision as Instruments of Technology Policy
by David, Paul & Stoneman, Paul
48 Unemployment, Health and Welfare During the Depression
by Webster, Charles
47 The Economics of Old Age in Britain: A Long-Run View, 1881-1981
by Johnson, Paul A
46 Net Energy Expenditure and Energy Demand in the UK
by Pearce, David & Westoby, Richard
45 Macroeconomic Aspects of the Effectiveness of Foreign Aid: On the Two-Gap Model, Home Goods Disequilibrium and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
44 Economic Implications of Demographic Change
by Ermisch, John F
43 Wealth and Portfolio Composition: Theory and Evidence
by King, Mervyn & Leape, Jonathan
42 Factor Shadow Prices in Distorted Open Economies
by Smith, Alasdair
41 Public Sector Shadow Prices in Distorted General Equilibrium Models
by Smith, Alasdair
40 Participation in Paid Work: Multiple Regression Analysis of the Women and Employment Survey
by Joshi, Heather
39 What Will Take the Con Out of Econometrics?
by McAleer, Michael & Pagan, Adrian
38 Customs Union, Tariff Reform and Trade in Differentiated Products
by Venables, Anthony J
37 The Next Birth and the Labour Market: A Dynamic Model of Births in England and Wales
by De Cooman, Eric & Ermisch, John F & Joshi, Heather

1984

36 Macroeconomic Policy Design and Control Theory - A Failed Partnership?
by Currie, David
35 The Ethical Foundations of Population Policies
by Dasgupta, Partha
34 Aggregate Production Functions and Productivity Measurement: A New Look
by Muellbauer, John
33 Measuring the Transformation of the European Economies: Income, Health and Welfare
by Floud, Roderick
32 British Manufacturing Productivity 1955-1983: Measurement Problems, Oil Shocks and Thatcher Effects
by Mendis, Lionel & Muellbauer, John
31 How Long is a Piece of Elastic? The Measurement of Female Activity Rates in British Censuses, 1951-1981
by Joshi, Heather & Owen, Susan J
30 Tariffs, Employment and the Current Account: Real Wage Resistance and the Macroeconomics of Protectionism
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
29 International Policy Coordination in Historical Perspective: A View from the Interwar Years
by Eichengreen, Barry
28 Fiscal Policy in Open, Interdependent Economies
by Buiter, Willem H.
27 Dynamic Games and the Time Inconsistency of Optimal Policy in Open Economies
by Miller, Marcus & Salmon, Mark
26 A North-South Growth Model along Kaldorian Lines
by Vines, David
25 Taxation of Foreign Multinationals: A Sequential Bargaining Approach to Tax Holidays
by Doyle, Christopher & van Wijnbergen, Sweder
24 The Short-Run Demand for Money: A Reconsideration
by Gordon, Robert J
23 Rational Expectations and Labour Market Equilibrium in Britain 1855-1913
by Hatton, Timothy J.
22 The Terms of Trade, Labour Supply and the Current Account
by Bean, Charles R
21 On Fiscal Deficits, the Real Exchange Rate and the World Rate of Interest
by van Wijnbergen, Sweder
20 Rational Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics
by Wickens, Michael R.
19 The Costs of Inflation: Some Theoretical Issues
by Hardman Moore, John
18 The British Labour Market in Different Economic Eras, 1857-1938
by Hatton, Timothy J.
17 Health, Economic Structure and Social Indicators
by Wilkinson, Richard
16 Ageing and the Economy: Historical Issues
by Thane, Pat
15 Policy Evaluation and Design for Continuous Time Linear Rational Expectations Models: Some Recent Developments
by Buiter, Willem H.
14 The Effect of Protection on Manufactured Exports from Developing Countries
by Hughes, Gordon & Newbery, David M G
13 Measuring Aspects of Fiscal and Financial Policy
by Buiter, Willem H.
12 Technical Education 1850-1914: Speculations on Human Capital Formation
by Floud, Roderick
11 The Effects of American Policies - A New Classical Interpretation
by Minford, Patrick
10 Vacancies and Unemployment in the 1920s
by Hatton, Timothy J.
9 International Trade in Identical Commodities: Cournot Equilibrium with Free Entry
by Venables, Anthony J
8 North-South Interaction and Commod Control
by Kanbur, Ravi & Vines, David
7 An Empirical Investigation into the Causes of the Failure of the Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate
by Smith, Peter N & Wickens, Michael R.
6 Did the Catholics always have Larger Families? Religion, Wealth, and Fertility in Rural Ulster Before 1911
by O'Gráda, Cormac
5 Health: Historical Issues
by Webster, Charles
4 An Evaluation of Alternative Indicator Regimes for Monetary Policy
by Currie, David & Levine, Paul L
3 Factor Content Functions and the Theory of International Trade
by Neary, J Peter & Schweinberger, Albert G
2 Allocative and Stabilisation Aspects of Budgetary and Financial Policy
by Buiter, Willem H.
1 Human Resources & the Labour Force: Issues for Contemporary & Comparative Research
by Ermisch, John F & Joshi, Heather

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