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Prices for State-contingent Claims: Some Estimates and Applications

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Cited by:

  1. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Michael W. Brandt, 2008. "Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Option-Implied State Prices," NBER Working Papers 13854, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Audrino, Francesco & Huitema, Robert & Ludwig, Markus, 2014. "An Empirical Analysis of the Ross Recovery Theorem," Economics Working Paper Series 1411, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  3. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steven & Jacobs, Kris, 2010. "Option Anomalies and the Pricing Kernel," Working Papers 11-17, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
  4. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Duarte, Jefferson, 2003. "Nonparametric option pricing under shape restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1-2), pages 9-47.
  5. Carole Bernard & Oleg Bondarenko & Steven Vanduffel, 2018. "Rearrangement algorithm and maximum entropy," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 261(1), pages 107-134, February.
  6. Gianluca Cassese, 2014. "Option Pricing in an Imperfect World," Papers 1406.0412, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2016.
  7. Gaia Barone, 2008. "Arbitrages and Arrow-Debreu Prices," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 98(6), pages 43-78, November-.
  8. Joseph K. Cheung & John Heaney, 1990. "A contingent†claim integration of cost†volume†profit analysis with capital budgeting," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(2), pages 738-760, March.
  9. Dimitris Bertsimas & Leonid Kogan & Andrew W. Lo, 1997. "Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities in Incomplete Markets: An E-Aritrage Model," NBER Working Papers 6250, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Gianluca Cassese, 2019. "Nonparametric Estimates Of Option Prices And Related Quantities," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(07), pages 1-29, November.
  11. Dimitris Bertsimas & Leonid Kogan & Andrew W. Lo, 2001. "Hedging Derivative Securities and Incomplete Markets: An (epsilon)-Arbitrage Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(3), pages 372-397, June.
  12. Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Gustavo Silva Araujo & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2015. "As Atuações Cambiais do Banco Central Afetam as Expectativas de Mercado?," Working Papers Series 393, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  13. Carole Bernard & Oleg Bondarenko & Steven Vanduffel, 2021. "A model-free approach to multivariate option pricing," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 135-155, July.
  14. Cui, Zhenyu & Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "A data-driven framework for consistent financial valuation and risk measurement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 381-398.
  15. Grith, Maria & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Kneip, Alois & Wagner, Heiko, 2016. "Functional principal component analysis for derivatives of multivariate curves," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-033, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  16. Merton, Robert C, 1998. "Applications of Option-Pricing Theory: Twenty-Five Years Later," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 323-349, June.
  17. Alexandre Baptista, 2000. "Options and Efficiency in Multiperiod Security Markets," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0299, Econometric Society.
  18. Ming Yuan, 2009. "State price density estimation via nonparametric mixtures," Papers 0910.1430, arXiv.org.
  19. Bertsimas, Dimitris. & Kogan, Leonid, 1974- & Lo, Andrew W., 1997. "Pricing and hedging derivative securities in incomplete markets : an e-arbitrage approach," Working papers WP 3973-97., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
  20. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  21. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Lo, Andrew W., 2000. "Nonparametric risk management and implied risk aversion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 9-51.
  22. Bondarenko, Oleg, 2014. "Variance trading and market price of variance risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 81-97.
  23. Johannes Hendrik Venter & Pieter Juriaan de Jongh, 2024. "Trading Option Portfolios Using Expected Profit and Expected Loss Metrics," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-19, August.
  24. Taboga, Marco, 2016. "Option-implied probability distributions: How reliable? How jagged?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 453-469.
  25. Arindam Kundu & Sumit Kumar & Nutan Kumar Tomar, 2019. "Option Implied Risk-Neutral Density Estimation: A Robust and Flexible Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 705-728, August.
  26. Scholes, Myron S, 1998. "Derivatives in a Dynamic Environment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 350-370, June.
  27. Michael O'Neill & Kent Wang & Zhangxin (Frank) Liu & Tom Smith, 2016. "A State-Price Volatility Index for China's Stock Market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 56(3), pages 607-626, September.
  28. Fengler, Matthias & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2011. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Economics Working Paper Series 1136, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised May 2013.
  29. Yacine Aït‐Sahalia, 2002. "Telling from Discrete Data Whether the Underlying Continuous‐Time Model Is a Diffusion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2075-2112, October.
  30. Vladislav Kargin, 2003. "Consistent Estimation of Pricing Kernels from Noisy Price Data," Finance 0311001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  31. Xixuan Han & Boyu Wei & Hailiang Yang, 2018. "Index Options And Volatility Derivatives In A Gaussian Random Field Risk-Neutral Density Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(04), pages 1-41, June.
  32. Gianluca Cassese, 2017. "Asset pricing in an imperfect world," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(3), pages 539-570, October.
  33. Jianlei Han & Martina Linnenluecke & Zhangxin Liu & Zheyao Pan & Tom Smith, 2019. "A general equilibrium approach to pricing volatility risk," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
  34. Dilip B. Madan & Frank Milne, 1994. "Contingent Claims Valued And Hedged By Pricing And Investing In A Basis," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 223-245, July.
  35. Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Pham, Manh Cuong, 2024. "Parametric risk-neutral density estimation via finite lognormal-Weibull mixtures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(2).
  36. Gianluca Cassese, 2015. "Non Parametric Estimates of Option Prices Using Superhedging," Papers 1502.03978, arXiv.org.
  37. Jackwerth, Jens Carsten, 2000. "Recovering Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 433-451.
  38. Wang, Zhi, 2000. "Production-based asset pricing: a cross-industry study," ISU General Staff Papers 2000010108000013294, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  39. Josip Arneric & Zdravka Aljinovic & Tea Poklepovic, 2015. "Extraction of market expectations from risk-neutral density," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 33(2), pages 235-256.
  40. Puhl, Martin & Savor, Pavel & Wilson, Mungo, 2024. "Uncertainty premia for small and large risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  41. Takkabutr, Nattapol, 2013. "Option-Implied Risk Aversion Anomalies: Evidence From Japanese Market," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 54(2), pages 137-157, December.
  42. Hardeep Singh Mundi, 2023. "Risk neutral variances to compute expected returns using data from S&P BSE 100 firms—a replication study," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 73(1), pages 215-230, February.
  43. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
  44. Ding, Ashley, 2021. "A state-preference volatility index for the natural gas market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  45. Allan M. Malz, 2013. "Risk-neutral systemic risk indicators," Staff Reports 607, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  46. Allan M. Malz, 2014. "Simple and reliable way to compute option-based risk-neutral distributions," Staff Reports 677, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  47. Yoshino, Joe Akira, 2003. "Market Risk and Volatility in the Brazilian Stock Market," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 6(2), pages 1-19, November.
  48. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Andrew W. Lo, "undated". "Nonparametric Estimation of State-Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices," CRSP working papers 332, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
  49. Erik Vogt, 2014. "Option-implied term structures," Staff Reports 706, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  50. Michael J O’Neill & Zhangxin (Frank) Liu, 2016. "Tail risk hedging for mutual funds using equity market state prices," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 41(4), pages 687-698, November.
  51. Torben G. Andersen & Oleg Bondarenko, 2007. "Construction and Interpretation of Model-Free Implied Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2007-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  52. Bhupinder Bahra, 1997. "Implied risk-neutral probability density functions from option prices: theory and application," Bank of England working papers 66, Bank of England.
  53. René Garcia & Eric Ghysels & Eric Renault, 2004. "The Econometrics of Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-04, CIRANO.
  54. Bruce N. Lehmann, 2005. "Notes for a Contingent Claims Theory of Limit Order Markets," NBER Working Papers 11533, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  55. Breeden, Douglas T. & Gilkeson, James H., 1997. "A path-dependent approach to security valuation with application to interest rate contingent claims," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 541-562, April.
  56. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Wang, Yubo & Yared, Francis, 2001. "Do option markets correctly price the probabilities of movement of the underlying asset?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 67-110, May.
  57. Gurupdesh Pandher, 2000. "Drift Estimation of Generalized Security Price Processes from High Frequency Derivative Prices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 263-284, October.
  58. A. Cherny, 2006. "Weighted V@R and its Properties," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 367-393, September.
  59. Jackwerth, Jens Carsten, 1999. "Option Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Implied Binomial Trees: A Literature Review," MPRA Paper 11634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  60. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-033 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Bo Zhao & Stewart Hodges, 2013. "Parametric modeling of implied smile functions: a generalized SVI model," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 53-77, April.
  62. Michael J. O'Neill & Zhangxin Liu & Tom Smith, 2017. "Fund Volatility Index using equity market state prices," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(3), pages 837-853, September.
  63. Dijkstra, Theo K. & Yao, Yong, 2002. "Moment generating function approach to pricing interest rate and foreign exchange rate claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 163-178, October.
  64. Birke, Melanie & Pilz, Kay F., 2007. "Nonparametric option pricing with no-arbitrage constraints," Technical Reports 2007,30, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
  65. M. Keith Chen & Jonathan E. Ingersoll, Jr. & Edward H. Kaplan, 2008. "Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(8), pages 1381-1394, August.
  66. Ana M. Monteiro & Antonio A. F. Santos, 2020. "Conditional risk-neutral density from option prices by local polynomial kernel smoothing with no-arbitrage constraints," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 41-61, April.
  67. Walter, György, 2002. "VaR-limitrendszer melletti hozammaximalizálás: a kaszinóhatás [Maximizing yield against a VaR limit system: the casino effect]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 212-234.
  68. Marco Avellaneda & Craig Friedman & Richard Holmes & Dominick Samperi, 1997. "Calibrating volatility surfaces via relative-entropy minimization," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 37-64.
  69. Gergely Hudecz & Edmund Moshammer & Marco Onofri, 2024. "Option-implied bond spread risk," Working Papers 66, European Stability Mechanism, revised 25 Nov 2024.
  70. Matthias Fleckenstein & Francis A. Longstaff & Hanno Lustig, 2013. "Deflation Risk," NBER Working Papers 19238, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  71. Li, Yong & Zhang, Mingzhi & Zhang, Yonghui, 2022. "Sequential Bayesian bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel regression with applications," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  72. Ashley Ding, 2019. "Information and volatility linkages across energy and financial markets," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 44(4), pages 594-613, November.
  73. Bruce Lehmann, 2008. "Arbitrage-free Limit Order Books and the Pricing of Order Flow Risk," NBER Working Papers 13848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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