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The propagation of uncertainty through travel demand models: An exploratory analysis

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  1. Yin, Yafeng & Madanat, Samer M. & Lu, Xiao-Yun, 2009. "Robust improvement schemes for road networks under demand uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(2), pages 470-479, October.
  2. Anatoliy KULIK & Kostiantyn DERGACHOV & Oleksandr RADOMSKYI, 2015. "Binocular technical vision for wheeled robot controlling," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 10(1), pages 55-62, March.
  3. Sumalee, Agachai & Xu, Wei, 2011. "First-best marginal cost toll for a traffic network with stochastic demand," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 41-59, January.
  4. Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Sumalee, Agachai, 2008. "Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 890-910, December.
  5. Shuhong Ma & Yan Zhang & Chaoxu Sun, 2019. "Optimization and Application of Integrated Land Use and Transportation Model in Small- and Medium-Sized Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, May.
  6. Westin, Jonas & de Jong, Gerard & Vierth, Inge & Krüger, Niclas & Karlsson, Rune & Johansson, Magnus, 2015. "Baserunning - analyzing the sensitivity and economies of scale of the Swedish national freight model system using stochastic production-consumption-matrices," Working papers in Transport Economics 2015:10, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), revised 15 Sep 2016.
  7. Sanko, Nobuhiro & Morikawa, Takayuki & Nagamatsu, Yoshitaka, 2013. "Post-project evaluation of travel demand forecasts: Implications from the case of a Japanese railway," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 209-218.
  8. Maria Börjesson & Jonas Eliasson & Mattias Lundberg, 2014. "Is CBA Ranking of Transport Investments Robust?," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 48(2), pages 189-204, May.
  9. David Hartgen, 2013. "Hubris or humility? Accuracy issues for the next 50 years of travel demand modeling," Transportation, Springer, vol. 40(6), pages 1133-1157, November.
  10. Chow, Joseph Y.J. & Regan, Amelia C., 2011. "Network-based real option models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 682-695, May.
  11. Alan T Murray & Ran Wei & Tony H Grubesic, 2014. "An Approach for Examining Alternatives Attributable to Locational Uncertainty," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 41(1), pages 93-109, February.
  12. Zhang, Chao & Chen, Xiaojun & Sumalee, Agachai, 2011. "Robust Wardrop's user equilibrium assignment under stochastic demand and supply: Expected residual minimization approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 534-552, March.
  13. Parthasarathi, Pavithra & Levinson, David, 2010. "Post-construction evaluation of traffic forecast accuracy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 428-443, November.
  14. Mark W Horner & Alan T Murray, 2004. "Spatial Representation and Scale Impacts in Transit Service Assessment," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 31(5), pages 785-797, October.
  15. Nobuhiro Sanko, 2017. "Temporal transferability: trade-off between data newness and the number of observations for forecasting travel demand," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(6), pages 1403-1420, November.
  16. Li, Guoyuan & Chen, Anthony & Ryu, Seungkyu & Kitthamkesorn, Songyot & Xu, Xiangdong, 2024. "Modeling elasticity, similarity, stochasticity, and congestion in a network equilibrium framework using a paired combinatorial weibit choice model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
  17. Byung Chung & Tao Yao & Chi Xie & Andreas Thorsen, 2011. "Robust Optimization Model for a Dynamic Network Design Problem Under Demand Uncertainty," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 371-389, June.
  18. Merlin, Louis A. & Levine, Jonathan & Grengs, Joe, 2018. "Accessibility analysis for transportation projects and plans," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 35-48.
  19. Barahimi, Amir Hossein & Eydi, Alireza & Aghaie, Abdolah, 2021. "Multi-modal urban transit network design considering reliability: multi-objective bi-level optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
  20. Hoque, Jawad Mahmud & Erhardt, Gregory D. & Schmitt, David & Chen, Mei & Wachs, Martin, 2021. "Estimating the uncertainty of traffic forecasts from their historical accuracy," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 339-349.
  21. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Wong, S.C. & Cheng, Lin, 2015. "Selection bias in build-operate-transfer transportation project appraisals," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 245-251.
  22. Hua Sun & Ziyou Gao & W. Szeto & Jiancheng Long & Fangxia Zhao, 2014. "A Distributionally Robust Joint Chance Constrained Optimization Model for the Dynamic Network Design Problem under Demand Uncertainty," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 409-433, December.
  23. Gerard Jong & Andrew Daly & Marits Pieters & Stephen Miller & Ronald Plasmeijer & Frank Hofman, 2007. "Uncertainty in traffic forecasts: literature review and new results for The Netherlands," Transportation, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 375-395, July.
  24. Hoque, Jawad Mahmud & Zhang, Ian & Schmitt, David & Erhardt, Gregory D., 2024. "Are public transit investments based on accurate forecasts? An analysis of the improving trend of transit ridership forecasts in the United States," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  25. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Lin & Yang, Chao, 2017. "A link-based mean-excess traffic equilibrium model under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 53-75.
  26. Manzo, Stefano & Nielsen, Otto Anker & Prato, Carlo Giacomo, 2015. "How uncertainty in input and parameters influences transport model :output A four-stage model case-study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 64-72.
  27. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong, 2010. "The [alpha]-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 493-513, May.
  28. Ali Najmi & Taha H. Rashidi & James Vaughan & Eric J. Miller, 2020. "Calibration of large-scale transport planning models: a structured approach," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1867-1905, August.
  29. Krug, Jean & Burianne, Arthur & Bécarie, Cécile & Leclercq, Ludovic, 2021. "Refining trip starting and ending locations when estimating travel-demand at large urban scale," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  30. Börjesson, Maria & Jonsson, R. Daniel & Berglund, Svante & Almström, Peter, 2014. "Land-use impacts in transport appraisal," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 82-91.
  31. Aguas, Oriana & Bachmann, Chris, 2022. "Assessing the effects of input uncertainties on the outputs of a freight demand model," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  32. Shao, Hu & Lam, William H.K. & Sumalee, Agachai & Chen, Anthony & Hazelton, Martin L., 2014. "Estimation of mean and covariance of peak hour origin–destination demands from day-to-day traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 52-75.
  33. Yang, Chao & Chen, Anthony & Xu, Xiangdong & Wong, S.C., 2013. "Sensitivity-based uncertainty analysis of a combined travel demand model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 225-244.
  34. Hironori Kato & Yuichiro Kaneko & Masashi Inoue, 2010. "Comparative analysis of transit assignment: evidence from urban railway system in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area," Transportation, Springer, vol. 37(5), pages 775-799, September.
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