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Tourism forecasting: A review of methodological developments over the last decade
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- Ru-Xin Nie & Chuan Wu & He-Ming Liang, 2024. "Exploring Appropriate Search Engine Data for Interval Tourism Demand Forecasting Responding a Public Crisis in Macao: A Combined Bayesian Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-21, August.
- Ling Tang & Chengyuan Zhang & Tingfei Li & Ling Li, 2021. "A novel BEMD-based method for forecasting tourist volume with search engine data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1015-1038, August.
- Seong, Byeongchan & Lee, Kiseop, 2021. "Intervention analysis based on exponential smoothing methods: Applications to 9/11 and COVID-19 effects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 290-301.
- Yi-Chung Hu, 2023. "Tourism combination forecasting using a dynamic weighting strategy with change-point analysis," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(14), pages 2357-2374, July.
- Jiao, Xiaoying & Chen, Jason Li & Li, Gang, 2021. "Forecasting tourism demand: Developing a general nesting spatiotemporal model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Wanhai You & Yuming Huang & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2024. "Forecasting tourist flows in the COVID‐19 era using nonparametric mixed‐frequency VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 473-489, March.
- Han Liu & Yongjing Wang & Haiyan Song & Ying Liu, 2023. "Measuring tourism demand nowcasting performance using a monotonicity test," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1302-1327, August.
- Yang, Yang & Fan, Yawen & Jiang, Lan & Liu, Xiaohui, 2022. "Search query and tourism forecasting during the pandemic: When and where can digital footprints be helpful as predictors?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Jiao, Xiaoying & Li, Gang & Chen, Jason Li, 2020. "Forecasting international tourism demand: a local spatiotemporal model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Yuhong Yang & Tarik Dogru & Chao Liang & Jianqiong Wang & Pengfei Xu, 2024. "Developing and testing the efficacy of a novel forecasting methodology: Theory and evidence from China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 2043-2069, December.
- Jian-Wu Bi & Tian-Yu Han & Hui Li, 2022. "International tourism demand forecasting with machine learning models: The power of the number of lagged inputs," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 621-645, May.
- Jessica Bollenbach & Stefan Neubig & Andreas Hein & Robert Keller & Helmut Krcmar, 2024. "Enabling active visitor management: local, short-term occupancy prediction at a touristic point of interest," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 521-552, September.
- Cheng-Hong Yang & Borcy Lee & Pey-Huah Jou & Yu-Fang Chung & Yu-Da Lin, 2023. "Analysis and Forecasting of International Airport Traffic Volume," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, March.
- Xu, Shilin & Liu, Yang & Jin, Chun, 2023. "Forecasting daily tourism demand with multiple factors," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Jose I Castillo-Manzano & Mercedes Castro-Nuño & Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta & à lvaro Zarzoso, 2021. "Quality versus quantity: An assessment of the impact of Michelin-starred restaurants on tourism in Spain," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1166-1174, August.
- El houssin Ouassou & Hafsa Taya, 2022. "Forecasting Regional Tourism Demand in Morocco from Traditional and AI-Based Methods to Ensemble Modeling," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
- Zheng, Weimin & Huang, Liyao & Lin, Zhibin, 2021. "Multi-attraction, hourly tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Kulshrestha, Anurag & Krishnaswamy, Venkataraghavan & Sharma, Mayank, 2020. "Bayesian BILSTM approach for tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Ulrich Gunter, 2021. "Improving Hotel Room Demand Forecasts for Vienna across Hotel Classes and Forecast Horizons: Single Models and Combination Techniques Based on Encompassing Tests," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-36, November.
- Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu & Rodica Pripoaie & Carmen-Mihaela Cretu & Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu & Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu & Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir & Florentina Chițu, 2022. "A Projection Approach of Tourist Circulation under Conditions of Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-21, February.
- Li, Hengyun & Hu, Mingming & Li, Gang, 2020. "Forecasting tourism demand with multisource big data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Gunter, Ulrich & Zekan, Bozana, 2021. "Forecasting air passenger numbers with a GVAR model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Lingyu, Tang & Jun, Wang & Chunyu, Zhao, 2021. "Mode decomposition method integrating mode reconstruction, feature extraction, and ELM for tourist arrival forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Mingming Hu & Haifeng Yang & Doris Chenguang Wu & Shuai Ma, 2024. "A novel two-stage combination model for tourism demand forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 1925-1950, December.
- Jaume Rosselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2022. "Gravity models for tourism demand modeling: Empirical review and outlook," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1358-1409, December.
- Ke Xu & Junli Zhang & Junhao Huang & Hongbo Tan & Xiuli Jing & Tianxiang Zheng, 2024. "Forecasting Visitor Arrivals at Tourist Attractions: A Time Series Framework with the N-BEATS for Sustainable Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-28, September.