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Tests of Financial Models in the Presence of Overlapping Observations

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Cited by:

  1. Puneet Handa, 2006. "Does Stock Return Predictability Imply Improved Asset Allocation and Performance? Evidence from the U.S. Stock Market (1954–2002)," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(5), pages 2423-2468, September.
  2. Dominique Guégan & Marius Cristian Frunza, 2018. "Is the Bitcoin Rush Over?," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 18014, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  3. Sibanjan Mishra, 2019. "Testing Martingale Hypothesis Using Variance Ratio Tests: Evidence from High-frequency Data of NCDEX Soya Bean Futures," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(6), pages 1407-1422, December.
  4. Zheyao Pan, 2018. "A state‐price volatility index for the U.S. government bond market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 573-597, November.
  5. Torben G. Anderson & Tim Bollerslev & Ashish Das, 1998. "Testing for Market Microstructure Effects in Intraday Volatility: A Reassessment of the Tokyo FX Experiment," NBER Working Papers 6666, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, March.
  7. Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2008. "Interpreting long-horizon estimates in predictive regressions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 104-117, June.
  8. Albuquerque, Rui & H. Bauer, Gregory & Schneider, Martin, 2009. "Global private information in international equity markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 18-46, October.
  9. Säfvenblad, Patrik, 1997. "On the Damodaran Estimator of Price Adjustment Coefficients," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 208, Stockholm School of Economics.
  10. Faias, José Afonso, 2023. "Predicting the equity risk premium using the smooth cross-sectional tail risk: The importance of correlation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  11. de Jong, Frank & Nijman, Theo, 1997. "High frequency analysis of lead-lag relationships between financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 259-277, June.
  12. Yiwen (Paul) Dou & David R. Gallagher & David Schneider & Terry S. Walter, 2012. "Out-of-sample stock return predictability in Australia," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 37(3), pages 461-479, December.
  13. Anoop S. KUMAR & Bandi KAMAIAH, 2016. "Efficiency, non-linearity and chaos: evidences from BRICS foreign exchange markets," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 103-118, Spring.
  14. Harvey, Campbell R. & Zhou, Guofu, 1993. "International asset pricing with alternative distributional specifications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 107-131, June.
  15. Regis Augusto Ely, 2011. "Returns Predictability and Stock Market Efficiency in Brazil," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 571-584.
  16. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2009. "Variance‐Ratio Tests Of Random Walk: An Overview," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 503-527, July.
  17. Belaire-Franch Jorge & Contreras Dulce, 2010. "Testing the Martingale Property of Exchange Rates: A Replication," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.
  18. Arize, Augustine C. & Malindretos, John & Nippani, Srinivas, 2004. "Variations in exchange rates and inflation in 82 countries: an empirical investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 227-247, August.
  19. Marius Cristian Frunza & Dominique Guégan, 2018. "Is the Bitcoin Rush Over?," Working Papers 2018:10, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  20. José Afonso Faias & Juan Arismendi Zambrano, 2022. "Equity Risk Premium Predictability from Cross-Sectoral Downturns [International asset allocation with regime shifts]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(3), pages 808-842.
  21. Campbell, John Y., 2001. "Why long horizons? A study of power against persistent alternatives," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 459-491, December.
  22. Harvey, Campbell R. & Huang, Roger D., 2002. "The impact of the Federal Reserve Bank's open market operations," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 223-257, April.
  23. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2006. "On the informational efficiency of S&P500 implied volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 139-153, August.
  24. David Harris & Hsein Kew, 2014. "Portmanteau Autocorrelation Tests Under Q-Dependence And Heteroskedasticity," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 203-217, May.
  25. Gordon M. Bodnar & M.H. Franco Wong, 2000. "Estimating Exchange Rate Exposures: Some "Weighty" Issues," NBER Working Papers 7497, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  26. Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2019. "A Test Of The Efficiency Of The Foreign Exchange Market In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(12th BMEB), pages 439-464, January.
  27. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.
  28. Jia, Rui-Lin & Wang, Dong-Hua & Tu, Jing-Qing & Li, Sai-Ping, 2016. "Correlation between agricultural markets in dynamic perspective—Evidence from China and the US futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 464(C), pages 83-92.
  29. Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan & Everton Dockery, 2021. "Testing for efficiency in the Saudi stock market: does corporate governance change matter?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 61-90, July.
  30. Daniel, Kent, 2001. "The power and size of mean reversion tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 493-535, December.
  31. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005. "The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability," NBER Working Papers 11841, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  32. Deo, Rohit S. & Chen, Willa W., 2003. "The Variance Ratio Statistic at Large Horizons," Papers 2004,04, Humboldt University of Berlin, Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (CASE).
  33. Kim, Hyeongwoo & Kim, Jintae, 2018. "London calling: Nonlinear mean reversion across national stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 265-277.
  34. Christensen, B. J. & Prabhala, N. R., 1998. "The relation between implied and realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 125-150, November.
  35. Sandip Mukherji, 2011. "Are stock returns still mean‐reverting?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(1), pages 22-27, January.
  36. Yilmaz, Kamil, 2003. "Martingale Property of Exchange Rates and Central Bank Interventions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(3), pages 383-395, July.
  37. Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2007. "Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 651-707.
  38. Erik Hjalmarsson, 2006. "Inference in Long-Horizon Regressions," International Finance Discussion Papers 853, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  39. Chiquoine, Benjamin & Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2009. "Jackknifing stock return predictions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 793-803, December.
  40. Kan, Raymond & Wang, Xiaolu, 2010. "On the distribution of the sample autocorrelation coefficients," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 101-121, February.
  41. Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Wild bootstrapping variance ratio tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 38-43, July.
  42. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier & Kim, Jae H., 2012. "Exchange-rate return predictability and the adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence from major foreign exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1607-1626.
  43. Jae H. Kim, 2004. "Testing for the martingale hypothesis in Asian stock prices: evidence from a new joint variance ratio test," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 98, Econometric Society.
  44. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2008. "The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1577-1605, July.
  45. Hoque, Hafiz A.A.B. & Kim, Jae H. & Pyun, Chong Soo, 2007. "A comparison of variance ratio tests of random walk: A case of Asian emerging stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 488-502.
  46. Kim, Jae H. & Shamsuddin, Abul, 2008. "Are Asian stock markets efficient? Evidence from new multiple variance ratio tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 518-532, June.
  47. Bansal, Naresh & Stivers, Chris, 2022. "Bond risk’s role in the equity risk-return tradeoff," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  48. Amelie Charles & Olivier Darne, 2009. "Testing for Random Walk Behavior in Euro Exchange Rates," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 119, pages 25-45.
  49. Bansal, Naresh & Connolly, Robert A. & Stivers, Chris, 2015. "Equity volatility as a determinant of future term-structure volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 33-51.
  50. Heaton, Chris, 2015. "Testing for multiple-period predictability between serially dependent time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 587-597.
  51. Giulio, Cifarelli, 2004. "Yes, implied volatilities are not informationally efficient: an empirical estimate using options on interest rate futures contracts," MPRA Paper 28655, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  52. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011. "Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
  53. Steven Clark & T. Coggin, 2011. "Are U.S. stock prices mean reverting? Some new tests using fractional integration models with overlapping data and structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 373-391, April.
  54. Eduardo Lima & Benjamin Tabak, 2009. "Tests of Random Walk: A Comparison of Bootstrap Approaches," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 365-382, November.
  55. Robert A Connolly & David Dubofsky & Chris Stivers, 2021. "Economic-State Variation in Uncertainty-Yield Dynamics [Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 60-104.
  56. Perron, Pierre & Chun, Sungju & Vodounou, Cosme, 2013. "Sampling interval and estimated betas: Implications for the presence of transitory components in stock prices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 42-62.
  57. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2008. "Increasing Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Working papers 2008-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2008.
  58. Mukherji, Sandip, 2011. "Are stock returns still mean-reverting?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 22-27, January.
  59. Bruno Biais & Pierre Hillion & Chester Spatt, 1999. "Price Discovery and Learning during the Preopening Period in the Paris Bourse," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(6), pages 1218-1248, December.
  60. Madhavi Latha Challa & Venkataramanaiah Malepati & Siva Nageswara Rao Kolusu, 2020. "S&P BSE Sensex and S&P BSE IT return forecasting using ARIMA," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
  61. Charlotte S. Hansen & Bjorn E. Tuypens, 2004. "Long-Run Regressions: Theory and Application to US Asset Markets," Finance 0410018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  62. Malliaropulos, Dimitrios, 1998. "International stock return differentials and real exchange rate changes," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 493-511, June.
  63. Young-Sook Lee & Tae-Hwan Kim & Paul Newbold, 2005. "Revisiting the Martingale hypothesis for exchange rates," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 19, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  64. Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Fergal A. O'Connor, 2014. "Rationality in Precious Metals Forward Markets: Evidence of Behavioural Deviations in the Gold Markets," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp462, IIIS.
  65. Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
  66. L. Spierdijk & J.A. Bikker, 2012. "Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Implications for Long-Term Investors," Working Papers 12-07, Utrecht School of Economics.
  67. Spierdijk, Laura & Bikker, Jacob A. & van den Hoek, Pieter, 2012. "Mean reversion in international stock markets: An empirical analysis of the 20th century," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 228-249.
  68. Shyh-wei Chen, 2009. "Random walks in asian foreign exchange markets:evidence from new multiple variance ratio tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 1296-1307.
  69. Ser‐Huang Poon, 1996. "Persistence and mean reversion in UK stock returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 2(2), pages 169-196, July.
  70. Chen, Long, 2009. "On the reversal of return and dividend growth predictability: A tale of two periods," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 128-151, April.
  71. Robert F. Stambaugh, "undated". "Estimating Conditional Expectations When Volatility Fluctuates," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 17-93, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
  72. Simone Bianco & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Unexpected volatility and intraday serial correlation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 465-475.
  73. Moon, Seongman & Velasco, Carlos, 2013. "Tests for m-dependence based on sample splitting methods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 143-159.
  74. Diniz-Maganini, Natalia & Rasheed, Abdul A. & Sheng, Hsia Hua, 2023. "Price efficiency of the foreign exchange rates of BRICS countries: A comparative analysis," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
  75. Qiu, Mei & Pinfold, John F. & Rose, Lawrence C., 2011. "Predicting foreign exchange movements using historic deviations from PPP," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 485-497, October.
  76. Park, Chul Woo, 1999. "Maturity structure of public debt and expected bond returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(9), pages 1407-1435, September.
  77. Sanjay Sehgal & Tarunika Jain Agrawal, 2017. "Bank Risk Factors and Changing Risk Exposures in the Pre- and Post-financial Crisis Periods: An Empirical Study for India," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 42(4), pages 356-378, November.
  78. Roberto Ortiz & Mauricio Contreras & Marcelo Villena, 2015. "On the Efficient Market Hypothesis of Stock Market Indexes: The Role of Non-synchronous Trading and Portfolio Effects," Papers 1510.03926, arXiv.org.
  79. Mr. Shaun K. Roache & Alexander P. Attie, 2009. "Inflation Hedging for Long-Term Investors," IMF Working Papers 2009/090, International Monetary Fund.
  80. Kim, Jae & Doucouliagos, Hristos & Stanley, T. D., 2014. "Market efficiency in Asian and Australasian stock markets: a fresh look at the evidence," Working Papers eco_2014_9, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
  81. Dominique Guegan & Marius Cristian Frunza, 2018. "Is the Bitcoin Rush Over?," Post-Print halshs-01822992, HAL.
  82. Puah, Chin-Hong & Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling & Habibullah, Muzafar Shah, 2012. "Rationality of business operational forecasts: evidence from Malaysian distributive trade sector," MPRA Paper 37599, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  83. Eduardo José Araújo Lima & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2008. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Relationship between the Random Walk Hypothesis and Official Interventions," Working Papers Series 173, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  84. Dominique Guegan & Marius Cristian Frunza, 2018. "Is the Bitcoin Rush Over?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01822992, HAL.
  85. H. R. Seddighi & Il-Hyun Yoon, 2018. "Stock Market Efficiency and Price Limits: Evidence from Korea’s Recent Expansion of Price Limits," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(2), pages 191-200.
  86. Singleton, Kenneth J., 2001. "Estimation of affine asset pricing models using the empirical characteristic function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 111-141, May.
  87. Mohanty, Sunil K. & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2020. "Regulatory reform and market efficiency: The case of Indian agricultural commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  88. Dilip Kumar & Srinivasan Maheswaran, 2014. "Are major global stock markets efficient? An application of the martingale difference hypothesis with wild bootstrap," American Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(2/3/4), pages 217-233.
  89. Alexander Reisz, 1999. "Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty and Corporate Debt Yields: an Empirical Investigation," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-043, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  90. Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2005. "On the Predictability of Global Stock Returns," Working Papers in Economics 161, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
  91. Howard Chan & Robert Faff & Philip Gharghori & Yew Ho, 2007. "The relation between R&D intensity and future market returns: does expensing versus capitalization matter?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 25-51, July.
  92. Chao Jiang & Ira G. Kawaller & Paul D. Koch, 2016. "Designing A Proper Hedge: Theory Versus Practice," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 39(2), pages 123-144, June.
  93. Adrian Austin & Swarna Dutt, 2015. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A New Look at the Evidence on Long-Horizon Predictability," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 147-159, March.
  94. Katusiime, Lorna & Shamsuddin, Abul & Agbola, Frank W., 2015. "Foreign exchange market efficiency and profitability of trading rules: Evidence from a developing country," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 315-332.
  95. Ferson, Wayne E & Korajczyk, Robert A, 1995. "Do Arbitrage Pricing Models Explain the Predictability of Stock Returns?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(3), pages 309-349, July.
  96. repec:idn:journl:v:1:y:2019:i:sp1:p:1-26 is not listed on IDEAS
  97. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
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