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Optimal Filtering of Jump Diffusions: Extracting Latent States from Asset Prices

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Cited by:

  1. Salima El Kolei, 2013. "Parametric estimation of hidden stochastic model by contrast minimization and deconvolution," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 76(8), pages 1031-1081, November.
  2. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2017. "Equity index variance: Evidence from flexible parametric jump–diffusion models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 85-103.
  3. Brix, Anne Floor & Lunde, Asger & Wei, Wei, 2018. "A generalized Schwartz model for energy spot prices — Estimation using a particle MCMC method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 560-582.
  4. Yun, Jaeho, 2014. "Out-of-sample density forecasts with affine jump diffusion models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 74-87.
  5. Bardgett, Chris & Gourier, Elise & Leippold, Markus, 2019. "Inferring volatility dynamics and risk premia from the S&P 500 and VIX markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(3), pages 593-618.
  6. Boswijk, H. Peter & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Vladimirov, Evgenii, 2024. "Estimating option pricing models using a characteristic function-based linear state space representation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(1).
  7. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S. & Grose, Simone D., 2012. "Probabilistic forecasts of volatility and its risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 217-236.
  8. Otero, Karina V., 2016. "Intensity of default in sovereign bonds: Estimation of an unobservable process," MPRA Paper 86782, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Diego Amaya & Jean-François Bégin & Geneviève Gauthier, 2022. "The Informational Content of High-Frequency Option Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2166-2201, March.
  10. Angelos Alexopoulos & Petros Dellaportas & Omiros Papaspiliopoulos, 2019. "Bayesian prediction of jumps in large panels of time series data," Papers 1904.05312, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
  11. Liu Xiangdong & Li Xianglong & Zheng Shaozhi & Qian Hangyong, 2020. "PMCMC for Term Structure of Interest Rates under Markov Regime Switching and Jumps," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 159-169, April.
  12. Jaros{l}aw Gruszka & Janusz Szwabi'nski, 2023. "Portfolio Optimisation via the Heston Model Calibrated to Real Asset Data," Papers 2302.01816, arXiv.org.
  13. Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Petitjean, Mikael & Vargas, Nicolas, 2021. "Market instability and technical trading at high frequency: Evidence from NASDAQ stocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  14. Maroulas, Vasileios & Pan, Xiaoyang & Xiong, Jie, 2020. "Large deviations for the optimal filter of nonlinear dynamical systems driven by Lévy noise," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 203-231.
  15. Jondeau, Eric & Lahaye, Jérôme & Rockinger, Michael, 2015. "Estimating the price impact of trades in a high-frequency microstructure model with jumps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 205-224.
  16. Peter Christoffersen & Steven Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2009. "The Shape and Term Structure of the Index Option Smirk: Why Multifactor Stochastic Volatility Models Work So Well," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(12), pages 1914-1932, December.
  17. Fulop, Andras & Li, Junye, 2013. "Efficient learning via simulation: A marginalized resample-move approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 146-161.
  18. Martin, Gael M. & Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Maheu, John & Nibbering, Didier & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024. "Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 811-839.
  19. Bauwens, Luc & Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2014. "Marginal likelihood for Markov-switching and change-point GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 508-522.
  20. Guay, François & Schwenkler, Gustavo, 2021. "Efficient estimation and filtering for multivariate jump–diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 251-275.
  21. Chen, Bin & Hong, Yongmiao, 2011. "Generalized spectral testing for multivariate continuous-time models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 268-293, October.
  22. Sabiwalsky, Ralf, 2012. "Does Basel II pillar 3 risk exposure data help to identify risky banks?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-008, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  23. Asger Lunde & Anne Floor Brix & Wei Wei, 2015. "A Generalized Schwartz Model for Energy Spot Prices - Estimation using a Particle MCMC Method," CREATES Research Papers 2015-46, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  24. Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  25. Bingxin Li, 2020. "Option-implied filtering: evidence from the GARCH option pricing model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1037-1057, April.
  26. Creel, Michael & Kristensen, Dennis, 2015. "ABC of SV: Limited information likelihood inference in stochastic volatility jump-diffusion models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 85-108.
  27. Moreno, Manuel & Serrano, Pedro & Stute, Winfried, 2011. "Statistical properties and economic implications of jump-diffusion processes with shot-noise effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(3), pages 656-664, November.
  28. Fileccia, Gaetano & Sgarra, Carlo, 2018. "A particle filtering approach to oil futures price calibration and forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 21-34.
  29. Wei Wei & Denis Pelletier, 2015. "A Jump-Diffusion Model with Stochastic Volatility and Durations," CREATES Research Papers 2015-34, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  30. Bruno Feunou & Cédric Okou, 2018. "Risk‐neutral moment‐based estimation of affine option pricing models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 1007-1025, November.
  31. Jonathan R. Stroud & Michael S. Johannes, 2014. "Bayesian Modeling and Forecasting of 24-Hour High-Frequency Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(508), pages 1368-1384, December.
  32. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2018. "Model Complexity and Out-of-Sample Performance: Evidence from S&P 500 Index Returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-29.
  33. Bégin, Jean-François & Sanders, Barbara, 2024. "Benefit volatility-targeting strategies in lifetime pension pools," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 72-94.
  34. Wei Wei & Asger Lunde, 2023. "Identifying Risk Factors and Their Premia: A Study on Electricity Prices," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1647-1679.
  35. Dupret, Jean-Loup & Hainaut, Donatien, 2022. "A subdiffusive stochastic volatility jump model," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  36. Calvet, Laurent-Emmanuel & Czellar , Veronika, 2011. "state-observation sampling and the econometrics of learning models," HEC Research Papers Series 947, HEC Paris.
  37. A. S. Hurn & K. A. Lindsay & A. J. McClelland, 2015. "Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Volatility Models Using Option Price Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 579-594, October.
  38. Jaros{l}aw Gruszka & Janusz Szwabi'nski, 2022. "Parameter Estimation of the Heston Volatility Model with Jumps in the Asset Prices," Papers 2211.14814, arXiv.org.
  39. Song, Zhaogang & Xiu, Dacheng, 2016. "A tale of two option markets: Pricing kernels and volatility risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 176-196.
  40. Flávio B. Gonçalves & Gareth O. Roberts, 2014. "Exact Simulation Problems for Jump-Diffusions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 907-930, December.
  41. Gael M. Martin & Brendan P.M. McCabe & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Christian P. Robert, 2014. "Approximate Bayesian Computation in State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 20/14, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  42. Ornthanalai, Chayawat, 2014. "Lévy jump risk: Evidence from options and returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 69-90.
  43. Giesecke, Kay & Schwenkler, Gustavo, 2018. "Filtered likelihood for point processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 33-53.
  44. Kirkby, J. Lars, 2023. "Hybrid equity swap, cap, and floor pricing under stochastic interest by Markov chain approximation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(2), pages 961-978.
  45. Ren-Her Wang & John Aston & Cheng-Der Fuh, 2010. "The Role of Additional Information in Option Pricing: Estimation Issues for the State Space Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 36(4), pages 283-307, December.
  46. Neil Shephard & Thomas Flury, 2009. "Learning and filtering via simulation: smoothly jittered particle filters," Economics Series Working Papers 469, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  47. Bégin, Jean-François, 2020. "Levelling the playing field: A VIX-linked structure for funded pension schemes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 58-78.
  48. Doron Avramov & Satadru Hore, 2015. "Cross-Sectional Factor Dynamics and Momentum Returns," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers RPA 15-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  49. Hong, Yi & Jin, Xing, 2022. "Pricing of variance swap rates and investment decisions of variance swaps: Evidence from a three-factor model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 975-985.
  50. Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(6), pages 1661-1716.
  51. Hurn, A.S. & Lindsay, K.A. & McClelland, A.J., 2013. "A quasi-maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of multivariate diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 106-126.
  52. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Li, Chenxu & Li, Chen Xu, 2024. "Maximum likelihood estimation of latent Markov models using closed-form approximations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
  53. Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele, 2017. "From bond yield to macroeconomic instability: A parsimonious affine model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1116-1135.
  54. repec:wyi:journl:002117 is not listed on IDEAS
  55. Michael C. Fu & Bingqing Li & Rongwen Wu & Tianqi Zhang, 2020. "Option Pricing Under a Discrete-Time Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility with Co-Jump Model," Papers 2006.15054, arXiv.org.
  56. Cortazar, Gonzalo & Lopez, Matias & Naranjo, Lorenzo, 2017. "A multifactor stochastic volatility model of commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 182-201.
  57. repec:wyi:journl:002142 is not listed on IDEAS
  58. Goodarzi, Milad & Meinerding, Christoph, 2023. "Asset allocation with recursive parameter updating and macroeconomic regime identifiers," Discussion Papers 06/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  59. Avramov, Doron & Hore, Satadru, 2017. "Cross-sectional factor dynamics and momentum returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 69-96.
  60. Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2018. "Latent jump diffusion factor estimation for commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 35-54.
  61. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fearnley, Marcus & Fisher, Adlai J. & Leippold, Markus, 2015. "What is beneath the surface? Option pricing with multifrequency latent states," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 498-511.
  62. Michael B. Gordy & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2015. "Bayesian Estimation of Time-Changed Default Intensity Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  63. Ignatieva, Katja & Wong, Patrick, 2022. "Modelling high frequency crude oil dynamics using affine and non-affine jump–diffusion models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  64. Bates, David S., 2012. "U.S. stock market crash risk, 1926–2010," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(2), pages 229-259.
  65. Kaeck, Andreas & Alexander, Carol, 2012. "Volatility dynamics for the S&P 500: Further evidence from non-affine, multi-factor jump diffusions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3110-3121.
  66. Fulop, Andras & Li, Junye, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of dynamic asset pricing models with informative observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(1), pages 114-138.
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