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A quasi-maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of multivariate diffusions

Author

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  • Hurn, A.S.
  • Lindsay, K.A.
  • McClelland, A.J.

Abstract

A quasi-maximum likelihood procedure for estimating the parameters of multi-dimensional diffusions is developed in which the transitional density is a multivariate Gaussian density with first and second moments approximating the true moments of the unknown density. For affine drift and diffusion functions, the moments are exactly those of the true transitional density and for nonlinear drift and diffusion functions the approximation is extremely good and is as effective as alternative methods based on likelihood approximations. The estimation procedure generalises to models with latent factors. A conditioning procedure is developed that allows parameter estimation in the absence of proxies.

Suggested Citation

  • Hurn, A.S. & Lindsay, K.A. & McClelland, A.J., 2013. "A quasi-maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of multivariate diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 106-126.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:1:p:106-126
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.09.002
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Otero, Karina V., 2016. "Intensity of default in sovereign bonds: Estimation of an unobservable process," MPRA Paper 86782, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. A. S. Hurn & K. A. Lindsay & A. J. McClelland, 2015. "Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Volatility Models Using Option Price Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 579-594, October.
    3. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Yu, Jun & Skaug, Hans J., 2014. "Maximum likelihood estimation of partially observed diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 73-80.
    4. Matyas Barczy & Gyula Pap & Tamas T. Szabo, 2014. "Parameter estimation for the subcritical Heston model based on discrete time observations," Papers 1403.0527, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
    5. Matyas Barczy & Gyula Pap, 2013. "Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for Heston models based on continuous time observations," Papers 1310.4783, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
    6. Matyas Barczy & Balazs Nyul & Gyula Pap, 2015. "Least squares estimation for the subcritical Heston model based on continuous time observations," Papers 1511.05948, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    7. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Li, Chenxu & Li, Chen Xu, 2024. "Maximum likelihood estimation of latent Markov models using closed-form approximations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
    8. esposito, francesco paolo & cummins, mark, 2015. "Filtering and likelihood estimation of latent factor jump-diffusions with an application to stochastic volatility models," MPRA Paper 64987, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic differential equations; Parameter estimation; Quasi-maximum likelihood; Moments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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