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Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity: A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach
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Cited by:
- Koji Takahashi & Sumiko Takaoka, 2023. "How much do firms need to satisfy employees? - Evidence from credit spreads and online employee reviews," BIS Working Papers 1111, Bank for International Settlements.
- Contessi, Silvio & De Pace, Pierangelo & Guidolin, Massimo, 2020.
"Mildly explosive dynamics in U.S. fixed income markets,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(2), pages 712-724.
- Contessi, Silvio & De Pace, Pierangelo & Guidolin, Massimo, "undated". "Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets," Economics Department, Working Paper Series 1001, Economics Department, Pomona College, revised 12 Feb 2020.
- Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo De Pace & Massimo Guidolin, 2020. "Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets," Working Papers 667, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo De Pace & Massimo Guidolin, 2017. "Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets," Globalization Institute Working Papers 324, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Caldara, Dario & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Gilchrist, Simon & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2016.
"The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 185-207.
- Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 22058, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020.
"Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," IZA Discussion Papers 13000, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2004, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ha, Jongrim & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 14404, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," NBER Working Papers 26798, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kupiec, Paul H., 2020.
"Policy uncertainty and bank stress testing,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Paul H. Kupiec, 2019. "Policy uncertainty and bank stress testing," AEI Economics Working Papers 1022739, American Enterprise Institute.
- Angela Abbate & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1756, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Christoph Görtz & John D. Tsoukalas, 2013. "Sector Specific News Shocks in Aggregate and Sectoral Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 4269, CESifo.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2013.
"Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, April.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Working Paper series 42_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos & Elena Andreou, 2012. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," 2012 Meeting Papers 1196, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 09-2010, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Hasan, Iftekhar & Horvath, Roman & Mares, Jan, 2020.
"Finance and wealth inequality,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018. "Finance and Wealth Inequality," Working Papers 378, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
- Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018. "Finance and Wealth Inequality," Working Papers IES 2018/35, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2018.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial factors and the business cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Andrea Silvestrini & Andrea Zaghini, 2015. "Financial shocks and the real economy in a nonlinear world: a survey of the theoretical and empirical literature," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 255, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2019.
"Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1708-1724.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017. "Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers (Old Series) 1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics,"
Working Papers
22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2024. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," CEPR Discussion Papers 18901, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Paul Kitney, 2016. "Financial factors and monetary policy: Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium," CAMA Working Papers 2016-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Popp, Aaron & Zhang, Fang, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: The role of the financial channel," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 319-349.
- De Santis, Roberto A., 2016. "Credit spreads, economic activity and fragmentation," Working Paper Series 1930, European Central Bank.
- Bassett, William F. & Chosak, Mary Beth & Driscoll, John C. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2014.
"Changes in bank lending standards and the macroeconomy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 23-40.
- William F. Bassett & Mary Beth Chosak & John C. Driscoll & Egon Zakrajšek, 2012. "Changes in bank lending standards and the macroeconomy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012.
"A comprehensive look at financial volatility prediction by economic variables,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 956-977, September.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2010. "A Comprehensive Look at Financial Volatility Prediction by Economic Variables," CREATES Research Papers 2010-58, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012. "A Comprehensive Look at Financial Volatility Prediction by Economic Variables," BIS Working Papers 374, Bank for International Settlements.
- Eicher, Theo S. & García-Peñalosa, Cecilia & Kuenzel, David J., 2018.
"Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 182-209.
- Theo S. Eicher & Cecilia García-Peñalosa & David J. Kuenzel, 2018. "Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2018-004, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
- Theo Eicher & Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa & David Kuenzel, 2018. "Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure," Post-Print hal-01981017, HAL.
- Jae Sim & Egon Zakrajsek & Simon Gilchrist, 2010.
"Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics,"
2010 Meeting Papers
1285, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-69, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Chuliá, Helena & Garrón, Ignacio & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024.
"Daily growth at risk: Financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 762-776.
- Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2022. ""Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same"," IREA Working Papers 202208, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2022.
- Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018.
"Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad?,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 16(1), pages 34-62.
- Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2013. "Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad?," Working Paper 2013/22, Norges Bank.
- Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016. "Dissecting the 2007-2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad?," Working Papers 567, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2017. "The term structure of credit spreads and business cycle in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 27-36.
- Esteban Prieto & Sandra Eickmeier & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016.
"Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1215-1233, November.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Eickmeier, Sandra & Prieto, Esteban, 2013. "Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages," CEPR Discussion Papers 9436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Prieto, Esteban & Eickmeier, Sandra & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2013. "Time variation in macro-financial linkages," Discussion Papers 13/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Duca, John V., 2013.
"Did the commercial paper funding facility prevent a Great Depression style money market meltdown?,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 747-758.
- Duca, John V., 2010. "Did the Commercial Paper Funding Facility Prevent a Great Depression Style Money Market Meltdown?," MPRA Paper 29255, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Feb 2011.
- John V. Duca, 2011. "Did the commercial paper funding facility prevent a Great Depression-style money market meltdown?," Working Papers 1101, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2023.
"Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18298, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2023. "Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach," Working Paper Series 2830, European Central Bank.
- M. Lenza & I. Moutachaker & I. Moutachaker, 2024. "Density forecasts of inflation : a quantile regression forest approach," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers 2024-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
- Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian & Ziegenbein, Alexander, 2016. "Assessing the Non-Linear Effects of Credit Market Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 11410, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017.
"When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1044-1064.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2016. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," Working Papers 1603, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2016. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," MPRA Paper 70489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Leroi RAPUTSOANE, 2016.
"Disaggregated Credit Extension and Financial Distress in South Africa,"
Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 226-240, June.
- Leroi Raputsoane, 2014. "Disaggregated Credit Extension and Financial Distress in South Africa," Working Papers 435, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Harri Ponka, 2017.
"The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 469-482, August.
- Harri Pönkä, 2015. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Anna Samarina & Anh D.M. Nguyen, 2019.
"Does monetary policy affect income inequality in the euro area?,"
Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series
61, Bank of Lithuania.
- Anna Samarina & Anh D.M. Nguyen, 2019. "Does monetary policy affect income inequality in the euro area?," DNB Working Papers 626, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2022.
"The credit spread curve distribution and economic fluctuations in Japan,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- OKIMOTO Tatsuyoshi & TAKAOKA Sumiko, 2020. "The Credit Spread Curve Distribution and Economic Fluctuations in Japan," Discussion papers 20030, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Kwon, Dohyoung, 2020. "Risk Shocks and Credit Spreads," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022. "The Relation between the High-Yield Bond Spread and the Unemployment Rate in the Euro Area," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Görtz & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2022.
"The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 139-164,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1705, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Gambetti, Luca & Korobilis, Dimitris & Tsoukalas, John D. & Zanetti, Francesco, 2017. "The effect of news shocks and monetary policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86145, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Görtz & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "The effect of news shocks and monetary policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 7578, CESifo.
- Gambetti, L & Korobilis, D & Tsoukalas, J & Zanetti, F, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20428, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 1730, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2017_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2018. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Working Paper series 18-19, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Francesco Zanetti & Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 838, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Gortz & Dimitris Korobilis & John Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 19-03, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Merola, Rossana, 2015.
"The role of financial frictions during the crisis: An estimated DSGE model,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 70-82.
- Rossana Merola, 2013. "The role of financial frictions during the crisis: An estimated DSGE model," Working Paper Research 249, National Bank of Belgium.
- Merola, Rossana, 2014. "The role of financial frictions during the crisis: an estimated DSGE model," Dynare Working Papers 33, CEPREMAP.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021.
"Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2017. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity," CEPR Discussion Papers 12256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics 20180521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Staff Reports 847, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021. "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series 2542, European Central Bank.
- Yang, Qiao, 2019. "Stock returns and real growth: A Bayesian nonparametric approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 53-69.
- Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajsek, 2012.
"Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1692-1720, June.
- Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2011. "Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 17021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- van Binsbergen, Jules & Hueskes, Wouter & Koijen, Ralph & Vrugt, Evert, 2013.
"Equity yields,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 503-519.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen & Wouter Hueskes & Ralph Koijen & Evert B. Vrugt, 2011. "Equity Yields," NBER Working Papers 17416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot J. & Pfeifer, Johannes & Wellmann, Susanne, 2020.
"Different no more: Country spreads in advanced and emerging economies,"
University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics
129, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
- Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot & Pfeifer, Johannes & Wellmann, Susanne, 2020. "Different no more: Country spreads in advanced and emerging economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 14392, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Benjamin Born & Gernot Müller & Johannes Pfeifer & Susanne Wellmann, 2020. "Different No More: Country Spreads in Advanced and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series 8083, CESifo.
- Covas, Francisco B. & Rump, Ben & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2014.
"Stress-testing US bank holding companies: A dynamic panel quantile regression approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 691-713.
- Francisco Covas & Ben Rump & Egon Zakrajšek, 2013. "Stress-testing U.S. bank holding companies: a dynamic panel quantile regression approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-55, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Takaoka, Sumiko, 2018. "Convenience yield on government bonds and unconventional monetary policy in Japanese corporate bond spreads," MPRA Paper 86418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "Recession Signals and Business Cycle Dynamics: Tying the Pieces Together," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2024.
"Sustainability and credit spreads in Japan,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Tatsuyoshi Okimoto & Sumiko Takaoka, 2024. "Sustainability and Credit Spreads in Japan," Springer Books, in: Sumiko Takaoka (ed.), Environmental Technology Innovation and ESG Investment, pages 11-38, Springer.
- OKIMOTO Tatsuyoshi & TAKAOKA Sumiko, 2021. "Sustainability and Credit Spreads in Japan," Discussion papers 21052, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Tatsuyoshi Okimoto & Sumiko Takaoka, 2023. "Sustainability and Credit Spreads in Japan," CAMA Working Papers 2023-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Stefan Laseen & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2016. "Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?," IMF Working Papers 2016/126, International Monetary Fund.
- Paul Mizen & Veronica Veleanu, 2015. "On the Information Flow from Credit Derivatives to the Macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 2015/21, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016.
"Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say "Probably Not","
Working Papers
2016/08, Czech National Bank.
- Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say “Probably Not”," Working Papers IES 2016/15, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2016.
- Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say "Probably Not"," HSE Working papers WP BRP 137/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Juan Laborda & Sonia Ruano & Ignacio Zamanillo, 2023. "Multi-Country and Multi-Horizon GDP Forecasting Using Temporal Fusion Transformers," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
- Gambacorta, Leonardo & Mayordomo, Sergio & Serena Garralda, Jose-Maria, 2020.
"Dollar borrowing, firm-characteristics, and FX-hedged funding opportunities,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14419, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Leonardo Gambacorta & Sergio Mayordomo & Jose Maria Serena, 2020. "Dollar borrowing, firmcharacteristics, and FX-hedged funding opportunities," BIS Working Papers 843, Bank for International Settlements.
- Leonardo Gambacorta & Sergio Mayordomo & José María Serena, 2020. "Dollar borrowing, firm-characteristics, and FX-hedged funding opportunities," Working Papers 2005, Banco de España.
- Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2021. "Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 178-196.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014.
"The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity,"
MPRA Paper
58360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2014. "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," Working Papers 1496, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2022.
"Unemployment Risk,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1407-1424, August.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Unemployment Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Chauvet, Marcelle & Senyuz, Zeynep & Yoldas, Emre, 2015.
"What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 340-360.
- Chauvet, Marcelle & Senyuz, Zeynep & Yoldas, Emre, 2010. "What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?," MPRA Paper 34104, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2011.
- Marcelle Chauvet & Zeynep Senyuz & Emre Yoldas, 2013. "What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-61, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Marcelle Chauvet & Zeynep Senyuz & Emre Yoldas, 2012. "What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jon D. Samuels & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2013. "Forecasting with Many Models: Model Confidence Sets and Forecast Combination," Staff Working Papers 13-11, Bank of Canada.
- Guender, Alfred V, 2018.
"Credit prices vs. credit quantities as predictors of economic activity in Europe: Which tell a better story?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 380-399.
- Guender, Alfred V., 2017. "Credit prices vs. credit quantities as predictors of economic activity in Europe: which tell a better story?," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2017-6, Bank of Estonia, revised 11 Sep 2017.
- Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos & Ka, Kook, 2020. "High-frequency credit spread information and macroeconomic forecast revision," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 358-372.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2015. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 47-54, September.
- Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023. "Predicting economic growth: evidence from real-estate loans securitization," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-20, March.
- Jaehoon Hahn & Ho-Seong Moon, 2016. "Credit Cycle and the Macroeconomy: Empirical Evidence from Korea," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 22(4), pages 76-108, December.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances," Working Papers 2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- repec:wrk:wrkemf:17 is not listed on IDEAS
- Sangyup Choi, 2018. "Bank Lending Standards, Loan Demand, and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from the Emerging Market Bank Loan Officer Survey," Working papers 2018rwp-126, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Narayan Kundan Kishor, 2021. "Forecasting real‐time economic activity using house prices and credit conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 213-227, March.
- Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013.
"Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December.
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