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Different no more: Country spreads in advanced and emerging economies

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  • Born, Benjamin
  • Müller, Gernot J.
  • Pfeifer, Johannes
  • Wellmann, Susanne

Abstract

Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We illustrate this on the basis of about 3,100 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Prior to the financial crisis, spread fluctuations in advanced economies are an order of magnitude smaller than in emerging economies. After 2008 their behavior has largely converged along a number of dimensions. We also provide evidence on the transmission of spread shocks and find it similar across sample periods and country groups. The importance of spread shocks as a source of output fluctuations in advanced economies has increased after 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot J. & Pfeifer, Johannes & Wellmann, Susanne, 2020. "Different no more: Country spreads in advanced and emerging economies," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 129, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:tuewef:129
    DOI: 10.15496/publikation-38867
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    Cited by:

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    3. Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
    4. Ioannou, Demosthenes & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Stracca, Livio, 2024. "The international impact of a fragile EMU," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    5. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2021. "Is to Forgive to Forget? Sovereign Risk in the Aftermath of a Default," Development Working Papers 475, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    6. Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Klein, Mathias & Pessoa, Sofia, 2022. "The Political Costs of Austerity," Working Paper Series 418, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    7. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2024. "Is to Forgive to Forget? Sovereign Risk in the Aftermath of Private or Official Debt Restructurings," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 292-334, March.
    8. Ioannou, Demosthenes & Stracca, Livio & Pagliari, Maria Sole, 2020. "The international dimension of an incomplete EMU," Working Paper Series 2459, European Central Bank.
    9. Ioannou Demosthenes & Pagliari Maria Sole & Stracca Livio, 2020. "The international dimension of a fragile EMU," Working papers 795, Banque de France.
    10. Li, Xiang, 2021. "Dilemma and global financial cycle: Evidence from capital account liberalisation episodes," IWH Discussion Papers 13/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    11. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Surges and instability: The maturity shortening channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Country spreads; Country risk; Interest-rate shocks; Financial crisis; Business cycle; Spread shocks; Average treatment effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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